***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

IMO

If you dont have a big bank roll its no point in playing a big ML to win peanuts. Its a waste and nothing is a lock in betting

Unless someone can give me solid reasons as to why its smart. I just dont see it


Even you do have a big bank roll, it's still a stupid play. I'll never forget the idiot that laid serious cash on Argentina to beat Iran during the 2014 World Cup. I can only imagine how clinched his ******* was up until the point that Messi saved the day.

It's literally high risk, low reward. Not worth it. And that's without even factoring in the win rate needed to break even with those high odds. My absolute max juice is 50% and that's only in baseball and sometimes tennis. Otherwise, it's 15%.
 
How much do you normally throw down on these ML bets to make it worth it?

I can't wait for baseball to come back

If it's a Prize Fight and Vasyl Lomachenko, Terrence Crawford, Anthony Joshua, Cyborg Justino and other big fighters are fighting a tune up fight. I'll bet my entire account on it. I've been gambling for over 30 years and I've never lost betting a "sure" thing. Even if the money line is extremely high in NFL, I'd put some money on it. Say the Chiefs ML is -750 this week against the Raiders. If I bet $200 on it I'd get back $26.67. I'll take a free $26 into my account any day of the week. Little money adds up to Big money, if you play your cards right and be smart about it.

I don't bet Money Lines here though. Spreads Only!
A sure thing is a 5 Star Hammer Lock and I haven't lost one of those in 5 years. Posted a few Spread 5 Star Hammer Locks here and remain undefeated.
 
Thanks for the advise bro! Good to know.

I always get caught up in the parlays... a suckers bet i need to start just hitting some layups
 
If it's a Prize Fight and Vasyl Lomachenko, Terrence Crawford, Anthony Joshua, Cyborg Justino and other big fighters are fighting a tune up fight. I'll bet my entire account on it. I've been gambling for over 30 years and I've never lost betting a "sure" thing. Even if the money line is extremely high in NFL, I'd put some money on it. Say the Chiefs ML is -750 this week against the Raiders. If I bet $200 on it I'd get back $26.67. I'll take a free $26 into my account any day of the week. Little money adds up to Big money, if you play your cards right and be smart about it.

I don't bet Money Lines here though. Spreads Only!
A sure thing is a 5 Star Hammer Lock and I haven't lost one of those in 5 years. Posted a few Spread 5 Star Hammer Locks here and remain undefeated.

You claim to have >200 wagers on your "record" this year but I've not seen one official play from you in the past few months you've posted. It's fine if you want to tout how great you are at gambling (even though you're lacking documented proof of positive units and/or ROI over time), but it's pretty irresponsible and dangerous to give advice on betting on huge favorites because they're 'sure things'. If it were that easy, everyone would be doing it.
 
You claim to have >200 wagers on your "record" this year but I've not seen one official play from you in the past few months you've posted. It's fine if you want to tout how great you are at gambling (even though you're lacking documented proof of positive units and/or ROI over time), but it's pretty irresponsible and dangerous to give advice on betting on huge favorites because they're 'sure things'. If it were that easy, everyone would be doing it.

I moved to a chat room and was off the forum due to reasons. Most of the gamblers here joined the chat room. purple sneaks purple sneaks freakydestroyer freakydestroyer @206to813 @pokeyneil30 geno90221 geno90221 to name a few. They witnessed me go 60% in 2017 and 63% in 2018. All you have to do is ask them.
 
Yup very high %
Prob left NT around the mlb season? But ive always checked in here

Not to mention I was at 67% until the start of November.:smokin:wow: Remember I was saying, if I get to 70% I'm retiring.:lol:Then I went into a funk and went down to 63% which is my lowest % all year.
 
I had a system that was hitting 70 something %, for a couple months but it was so time consuming and tedious that it burnt me out. :ohwell:
 
How many units you up this year? ROI? Its great you’re providing “locks” for others, but no professional bettor I know is dumb enough to retire at a 70% hit rate. If you’ve been consistently hitting at >60% in 30 years of gambling you’d be making millions by now by employing effective bankroll management strategies (i.e. Kelly Criterion). But hey, if its working for you keep at it. Good luck with future picks as well.
 
How many units you up this year? ROI? Its great you’re providing “locks” for others, but no professional bettor I know is dumb enough to retire at a 70% hit rate. If you’ve been consistently hitting at >60% in 30 years of gambling you’d be retired by now by employing effective bankroll management strategies (i.e. Kelly Criterion). But hey, if its working for you keep at it. Good luck with future picks as well.

It's taken a lot of years to get to 60%. It wasn't all that great in the beginning. I have had MANY losses to figure out the game. I started hitting around 60% in 2004. I give more than half my gambling money away. I just gamble for fun.
 
Probably The Last Bet of 2018 (This goes on my record)
Bet for tomorrow (Saturday)
NCAA Football Orange Bowl
Oklahoma Sooners +14.5 over the Alabama Crimson Tide
 
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4U Michigan -6


And dogpolice dogpolice , as an OU homer, it pains me to say this, but we are going to get killed. Our corners are trash, we haven't had a legitimate safety since Nic Harris, and outside of Caleb Kelly, and maybe Curtis Bolton, our entire front seven is going to get abused. Alabama is going to be able to run the ball at will.

Outside of winning the coin toss and taking the ball first and then going out and scoring on every possession, I just don't see how OU wins this, since that is the only way I think they cover,

Offensively, the biggest question mark is going to be whether or not the offensive line is as good as they've looked all year. Up to this point, they've looked like 5 future HOFers. But even if they are as good as advertised, Kyler won't have anywhere close to the amount of time in the pocket that he's enjoyed throughout this year, and that's mainly going to be because of the Bama secondary and the extra rushers they'll allow the defense to bring. And as legendary as he's been this year, Kyler has a tendency to get a bit reckless and throw some pretty boneheaded interceptions when he's pressured.

That being said, I hope I'm completely wrong and that they end up blowing Bama out by 50.
 
4U Michigan -6


And dogpolice dogpolice , as an OU homer, it pains me to say this, but we are going to get killed. Our corners are trash, we haven't had a legitimate safety since Nic Harris, and outside of Caleb Kelly, and maybe Curtis Bolton, our entire front seven is going to get abused. Alabama is going to be able to run the ball at will.

Outside of winning the coin toss and taking the ball first and then going out and scoring on every possession, I just don't see how OU wins this, since that is the only way I think they cover,

Offensively, the biggest question mark is going to be whether or not the offensive line is as good as they've looked all year. Up to this point, they've looked like 5 future HOFers. But even if they are as good as advertised, Kyler won't have anywhere close to the amount of time in the pocket that he's enjoyed throughout this year, and that's mainly going to be because of the Bama secondary and the extra rushers they'll allow the defense to bring. And as legendary as he's been this year, Kyler has a tendency to get a bit reckless and throw some pretty boneheaded interceptions when he's pressured.

That being said, I hope I'm completely wrong and that they end up blowing Bama out by 50.

This Oklahoma team reminds me a lot of Johnny Manziel's Texas A&M team that gave Nick Saban headaches. Glad I waited for the big Alabama line push to get Oklahoma at +14.5

In other betting news: Cyborg down to -180 over Amanda Nunes:wow: Cyborg will destroy her
 
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^

Yea, but this Bama team is not that Bama team. And OU's defense is nowhere close to being as good as that A&M defense was.

Good luck tho, my man. I'll be rooting for ya.

I don't like betting against my team, but I've got 5U on Bama 1H -7. Hoping to stop the bleeding.
 
^

Yea, but this Bama team is not that Bama team. And OU's defense is nowhere close to being as good as that A&M defense was.

Good luck tho, my man. I'll be rooting for ya.

I don't like betting against my team, but I've got 5U on Bama 1H -7. Hoping to stop the bleeding.

If Oklahoma can play a Lakers Showtime type offense and tire out their defense, they have a chance to win it in the end. Just have to keep our defense off the field. Oklahoma's defense is horrible.
 
4U Michigan -6


And dogpolice dogpolice , as an OU homer, it pains me to say this, but we are going to get killed. Our corners are trash, we haven't had a legitimate safety since Nic Harris, and outside of Caleb Kelly, and maybe Curtis Bolton, our entire front seven is going to get abused. Alabama is going to be able to run the ball at will.

Outside of winning the coin toss and taking the ball first and then going out and scoring on every possession, I just don't see how OU wins this, since that is the only way I think they cover,

Offensively, the biggest question mark is going to be whether or not the offensive line is as good as they've looked all year. Up to this point, they've looked like 5 future HOFers. But even if they are as good as advertised, Kyler won't have anywhere close to the amount of time in the pocket that he's enjoyed throughout this year, and that's mainly going to be because of the Bama secondary and the extra rushers they'll allow the defense to bring. And as legendary as he's been this year, Kyler has a tendency to get a bit reckless and throw some pretty boneheaded interceptions when he's pressured.

That being said, I hope I'm completely wrong and that they end up blowing Bama out by 50.

nailed it. OU was always a sucker bet. the experts on tv always tripping over themselves to hype of a lopsided matchup like this :lol:


yet here we are :lol:
 
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