RustyShackleford
Supporter
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- Jul 20, 2009
Let me explain this once and for all.
3rd parties are doomed, ALWAYS.
1. The current parties have zero incentive to allow 3rd parties to exist.
2. The more successful a 3rd party is, the less likely people are to vote for it in the next election cycle. Why?
Spoiler effect that's why.
The people who vote for a 3rd party are essentially insuring victory for the party they like least, the better a 3rd party does the more obvious this becomes the voting populace.
Even in non two party system we see the winners curse happen to 3rd parties.
Example
In Canada the far left wing "NDP party". (the biggest 3rd party) two elections ago won an unprecedented amount of seats, out performing the tradition left wing "Liberal Party" and insuring the "Conservative party" victory, and giving the conservative's a majority.
What happens next election? Did the NDP build on that momentum?
NOPE.
They got crushed. Why? Because it became clear to left wing people voting NDP is essentially a spoiler vote.
This happened in a country where 3rd parties have ballot access and get to go to debates, this winners curse effect would be 100 times more powerful in a two party system,
Voting 3rd party is ALWAYS stupid.
We had a viable third party in the United States called the Reform Party, which form in 1996. I took one election for them to be at each others throats and be irrelevant in 2000 because they elected a far right winger in what was suppose to be a moderate party.
That same year, Ralph Nader cost Gore the election, and the Green Party was seen toxic to the left 4 years later. Btw, they are constantly at each others throats in that party too.
We have had modern third parties in America, they have all been trash, and it has nothing to do with the DNC or GOP sabotaging them.
All the people wanting a third party, should go look up Paul LePage. He is a straight up racist that got elected twice with under 40% of the voter because a independent liberal and his rabid followers played spoiler twice.
Forming coalitions within the two main party's is a smarter way to go.
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