The main difference, another East scout said, is James' ability in the post. He began cultivating a post-up game three years ago, and had success with it almost immediately. But this year has been different.
"He is the best post-up player in the league, really," the scout said. "You used to be able to get him to take jumpers in the post, but now he is smarter, he is able to get by you and get himself an easy basket. It's a nightmare. He is that much more efficient."
Indeed, when you break down the numbers, it is clear that James’ post-up game has evolved into the league’s best. First, start with frequency (post-up plays as a percentage of James’ total offensive possessions), going back to the 2010-11 season, his first in Miami:
Season | Possession % |
2010-11 | 8.0% |
2011-12 | 13.9% |
2012-13 | 11.9% |
2013-14 | 16.2% |
(Source: Synergy Sports Tech) | |
Now, take a look at a few aspects of James’ post game over the last four years — the frequency with which he would go to the rim out of the post, his overall efficiency (points per possession) on post-up possessions and his rank within the league in post efficiency:
Season | To rim | PPP | Rank |
2010-11 | 13.7% | 1.043 | 4 |
2011-12 | 14.9% | 0.959 | 5 |
2012-13 | 15.0% | 0.972 | 4 |
2013-14 | 29.6% | 1.185 | 1 |
As you can see, James has drastically altered his approach toward his post-up game. Last year, when James set up in the post, it was likely that he would take a jump shot. It is now twice as likely, though — nearly a 30 percent chance — that he will instead go to the basket and get a shot at the rim.
That’s how James’ post-up game has changed, and it reflects an overall shift into what’s become a common bit of wisdom in the modern NBA —t hat the two best shots a player can take are 3-pointers and layups.