With MLB's trade deadline just five weeks away, there are currently 22 teams within six games of a playoff slot. This means just eight teams can be considered "sellers" at this juncture, and some of those teams consider themselves in either "hold" or even "buy" mode.
Most contending teams are looking for pitching, whether it's starters, setup relievers, lefty specialists or closers. With so few true "sellers," the asking prices are pretty exorbitant at the moment and could stay that way due to the lack of supply and high demand.
Here is a list of 15 pitchers -- seven starters and eight relievers -- I think could be dealt prior to the trade deadline, along with their chances of being dealt and possible trade partners.
Starting pitchers
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David Price, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 2
Price is the best starting pitcher on the market, and the trade return for him should be the highest of any player moved between now and the deadline. The Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals have the strongest farm systems among the teams pursing Price, with the Cardinals having the most young pitching to get a deal done. The Atlanta Braves, Los Angeles Angels and New York Yankees all have enough quantity to get a deal done, but they don't have the pitching-prospect quality the Dodgers and Cardinals can offer.
Chance of being traded: 75 percent
Possible fits: Cardinals, Dodgers, Braves, Blue Jays, Angels, Yankees
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Jeff Samardzija, RHP, Chicago Cubs (Age: 29)
Cubs general manager Jed Hoyer told me last week that his first choice is to re-sign Samardzija, and that the Cubs need more players like Samardzija, not fewer. And Samardzija told me yesterday that he prefers to stay in Chicago and see the rebuilding program through. I believe both of them. I think the only way the Cubs deal Samardzija between now and the deadline is if they are overwhelmed with a trade offer that brings them pitchers they think can become even better than Samardzija, which is unlikely. Therefore, I expect both sides to continue negotiations, working to get a deal done, whether it's prior to the deadline or in the offseason. If Samardzija is traded, I think the Toronto Blue Jays have the best shot at getting him, especially if they include starting pitcher prospect Aaron Sanchez in the package.
Chance of being traded: 30 percent
Possible fits: Blue Jays, Braves, Red Sox, Yankees, Mariners
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Cliff Lee, LHP, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 35)
Lee is recovering from a left elbow strain and is expected back by mid-July, just in time to show teams he still has ace stuff. Lee has been one of the game's best postseason pitchers, as evidenced by his 7-3 record and 2.52 ERA in seven different playoff series. However, his $25 million-per-year contract through next year, with a $27.5 million vesting option for 2016, will be a detriment if the Phillies decide to trade him. The Phillies also continue to be in buy mode, not sell mode, and would have to have a poor July to even consider moving their veterans. In addition, Lee has a no-trade clause that blocks 20 teams, including the Yankees, who probably are the only team that would even consider taking him. An elbow injury, big contract and partial no-trade clause make it unlikely that Lee is dealt. But never say never when we're talking about Lee and/or the Yankees.
Chance of being traded: 1 percent
Possible fits: Yankees
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Bartolo Colon, RHP, New York Mets (Age: 41)
Colon might end up being the best acquisition for a contending team looking to improve its rotation down the stretch, as the prospect cost will be considerably less than that for Price or Samardzija due to Colon's age. Colon has been one of the best pitchers in baseball in June (4-0, 1.75 ERA, 0.91 WHIP), and his timing couldn't be better. The Mets will be looking for an upgrade at shortstop, a long-term solution at second base if they trade Daniel Murphy or an impact bat at first base or left field. A one-for-one deal with a good prospect at the high Class A or Double-A level would be the most likely return.
Chance of being traded: 50 percent
Possible fits: Yankees, Blue Jays, Angels, Indians, Pirates, Mariners
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Jorge De La Rosa, LHP, Colorado Rockies (Age: 33)
De La Rosa is having another solid year for the Rockies and could be a real sleeper at the trade deadline. The Rockies have yet to extend his contract, and with his free agency looming, trading him now would be better than the draft-pick compensation. To get a significant return, he'll have to pitch more like he did in May than he has so far in June. However, there are several GMs who believe he will really take off once he finally gets away from pitching half of his games at Coors Field.
Chance of being traded: 30 percent
Possible fits: Braves, Indians
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Jason Hammel, RHP, Cubs (Age: 31)
Hammel is having the best year of his career, sporting a 6-5 record, 2.99 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Hammel is a free agent at season's end, and as much as the Cubs would prefer to keep Samardzija, they want to trade Hammel since they don't control him past this season and want to sell him while his stock is the highest of his career. Their blueprint when they signed him was for him to have a good first half so they could trade him at the deadline like they did last year with Scott Feldman. The first part of the plan has worked, based on how Hammel has pitched. Now it's up to Jed Hoyer and Theo Epstein to get the prospect return they were looking for when they signed him.
Chance of being traded: 75 percent
Possible fits: Mariners, Angels, Indians
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Ian Kennedy, RHP, San Diego Padres (Age: 29)
The Padres are interviewing GMs and hope to have one in place in a timely manner so the new GM can start reshaping and rebuilding the game's worst offense. When the wheeling and dealing begins, expect Kennedy to be dealt to help the back of a rotation of a contending team. Kennedy has a 3.90 ERA in 16 starts, and his 9.6 K's per nine innings (103 strikeouts in 97 innings) is a career high.
Chance of being traded: 50 percent
Possible fits: Angels, Mariners, Indians, Braves, Pirates
Relief pitchers
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Huston Street, closer, Padres (Age: 30)
Street is the most sought-after closer on the market because of both his dominant performance (0.96 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 20 saves) and his affordable contract ($7 million this year, with a team option for $7 million next year). Teams are lining up, and they should be. The Padres should be looking for a good young hitter in return, and this could be the trade piece that defines the next Padres general manager.
Chance of being traded: 70 percent
Possible fits: Angels, Tigers, Orioles, Reds, Dodgers
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Jonathan Papelbon, closer, Phillies (Age: 33)
Papelbon has had a bounce-back season, as shown by his 1.48 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 18 saves. The five-time All-Star makes $13 million per season, which includes a vesting option at the same rate in 2016. Papelbon has a no-trade clause that covers eight teams of his choice (those teams have not been made public). There aren't many teams that are willing to allocate $13 million to their closer role, and with both Street and Joakim Soria possibly on the market, it's unlikely Papelbon gets dealt even if the Phillies do decide to go to sell mode.
Chance of being traded: 1 percent
Possible fits: N/A
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Joakim Soria, closer, Texas Rangers (Age: 30)
The Rangers did well in signing Soria to a reasonable contract while he was recovering from Tommy John surgery. Soria makes only $5.5 million this year, with a team option at $7 million or $500,000 buyout next year. Soria has an impressive 1.75 ERA with 15 saves and a 0.62 WHIP. That, combined with the affordable contract, should bring a significant prospect back in a deal. Teams could utilize him either as a closer or setup man. He knows how to pitch, and his 35 K's and three walks in 25 2/3 innings show that he's all the way back to his 2007-10 form.
Chance of being traded: 50 percent
Possible fits: Angels, Tigers, Orioles, Reds, Yankees, Dodgers, Indians
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Joaquin Benoit, setup man, Padres (Age: 36)
Benoit is one of the best eighth-inning relievers in baseball and would be a perfect fit with the Reds, helping to set up Aroldis Chapman. His average fastball remains at 95 mph, and he has a hard slider and solid changeup. He is showing no signs of slowing down at age 36.
Chance of being traded: 80 percent
Possible fits: Reds, Yankees, Orioles, Angels, Marlins, Dodgers
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Brad Ziegler, setup man, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 34)
Ziegler's ERA is under 2.50 for the fourth consecutive season, and he leads the National League in total appearances since the start of the 2013 season. His low arm angle adds diversity to a major league bullpen, and his leadership qualities are a real plus as well.
Chance of being traded: 50 percent
Possible fits: Orioles, Yankees, Tigers, Indians, Reds, Marlins, Dodgers
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Alex Torres, situational lefty, Padres (Age: 26)
Torres is best known for being the only pitcher in baseball to wear the new protective cap, but he should be best known for being one of the best situational lefties in the game. Last year, his ERA was 1.71 in the AL (with the Rays), and this year it's 1.97 in the NL. His walk rate would be the biggest concern to a potential trade suitor, but the fact that left-handed batters have hit only .183 against him in 165 plate appearances, with only four extra-base hits, speaks volumes about how he could contribute down the stretch.
Chance of being traded: 50 percent
Possible fits: Angels, Nationals, Orioles
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Oliver Perez, situational lefty, Diamondbacks (Age: 32)
Perez has posted a solid 2.35 ERA and 1.21 WHIP and would be a great fit for the Angels, who are looking to add another lefty to their bullpen. Perez makes $1.75 million this year and is slated to make $2.5 million next year.
Chance of being traded: 75 percent
Possible fits: Angels, Nationals, Orioles
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Tony Sipp, situational lefty, Houston Astros (Age: 30)
Sipp was released by the Padres on May 1 and immediately signed with the Astros. He has been impressive with Houston, posting a 1.89 ERA and 0.63 WHIP in 19 appearances, with 25 strikeouts and just 10 hits and two walks in 19 innings. He might have just pitched his way on to a contending team. There are too many teams looking for a second or third left-hander, and if used correctly, there's no reason he can't keep this up.
Chance of being traded: 50 percent
Possible fits: Angels, Orioles, Nationals