The arm strength is just a warning sign, but obviously the kid has amazing intangibles. He's mature, smart, high IQ on the field, athletic, strong, etc.
He can be a good pro. I'm not fully counting him out, clearly the kid has talent and is worth a high draft pick for a struggling organization.
When I say arm strength I don't just mean it as I worry about him being able to toss 70 yard bombs. Those are rare plays, only a few can make only a few times a week.
His arm strength worries me because against an NFL defense in those tight windows I don't know if he'll consistently be able to fit the ball into tight windows with the right velocity.
It's not about MM being able to toss it 70 yards. That's not what makes you successful as a pro.
It's being able to consistently move the chains on 3rd and 9, 3rd and 12, even 3rd and 6. On passing downs when the pro defense knows youre passing, can you hit the receiver at the right time in the right spot with the right velocity. If any of that is off, you look like Geno throwing constant pick 6's.
Bortles is a good comparison. He has a lot of great intangibles and he might end up being fine, he's still very young and has lots of time to grow. But his arm strength last year led to a LOT of picks because when his receivers finally did get open (which was a rarity) he wasn't able to get the ball to them quick enough. Those floaters were constantly picked off and many taken back for 6.
That's what I worry about with MM. It ain't about hitting receivers on the sidelines with a 50 yard go route. I'm sure he can do that.
It's about the 15 yard cross route on 3rd and 10 in the middle of the field. Can he hit those windows quickly?
That's what we'll have to wait and see.
In the mean time tho, I am NOT a MM hater. There is nothing you can hate about this kid personally. He has the exact work ethic, personality, size, smarts and athleticism you'd want from your franchise QB.
I DO want him to do well.
I really do.
Those tight windows just worry me for him in the NFL. Receivers are never as open in the pros as they are for him playing in Oregon. Never, outside of a few defensive breakdowns from time to time.