***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

won on yankees and rangers last night.
won on cubs this afternoon.

hopefully that means we're back on track.

going braves and dodgers for tonight
 
I just may throw a dub or something at Klay for MVP. He was like +5000 and with how he's playing he just may win it.
 
Raptors 3-0 in 1st quarters this series. Think I might let it ride

**** the first half too but I haven't been playing that. Might run both today

Took some time to think about it and thankfully I didn't play this :lol:. Especially once I heard Looney was back. Figured this would be a reversal game with gsw taking control early and Toronto weathering the storm and taking it after. Put a small amount on raps +6.5 +7.5 and +8 in the first. Back on raptors 1st quarter and 1st half for game 5
 
Thiem came through with the $ Manziel. Grueling five sets.

Saw on social media, some whale taking a beating. Lost big on Dubs in G3, Bruins G5 and GSW G4. Was chasing to recoup his previous losses.

youngwolf youngwolf money with WTA. Congrats, your girl Ash came through.
 
Y'all probably don't want the detailed technical breakdown I dropped in the MMA thread, but we goin' in on this UFC 238 card heavy.

Locked in (three to four units):
Moraes finna humble Cejudo. If you don't count the split L vs. Assuncao (somewhat controversial), Marlon hasn't lost since 2011. He's gonna catch Henry with a knee or kick(s). The line is trending in the wrong direction for my purposes though, Moraes was -150 and climbing. 4U.

I'm an "Aljo" guy for sure but getting strange vibes that mirror what I felt about Munhoz leading into the Garbrandt matchup. Both guys are excellent grapplers but even with Sterling's striking evolving, the Brazuca has better hands. As he showed vs. Cody. 2.5U-3U here.

Speculative value (throw a unit or two):
Jessica Eye was over +1,000 on 5D to beat Valentina. There is little risk in Shevchenko finishing Eye, she's a stand-out kickboxer but rather feather-fisted. Eye is a talented boxer and strong in the clinch. She'll have to absorb damage to walk through some Valentina shots, but Jessica is a live 'dog at an uber-inflated price. 1U recommended.

Same with Ansaroff. She was like +600 at one point on the books but that number has come down significantly. Her GF is Amanda Nunes, two-weight champ. Rattled off four victories consecutively. Including Ws over former Invicta champ Angela Hill and title contender "Claudinha." Tatiana is undefeated but with far less MMA experience. Nina gets the decision here. 2U.

Tempting (unit or two):
KK has only lost to some of the best female fighters. Joanna, Andrade, Waterson and Gadelha. Grasso is less proven and hasn't been tested to the extent Karolina has. +100 on 5D for Kowalkiewicz. 2U.

You can get "Bully" Lamas as high as +130. Kattar good with his striking but Ricardo has a sizable grappling advantage. Gut feeling Lamas finds Kattar's neck for a guillotine choke in R2 or R3.

Not touching:
Ferguson vs. Cerrone. It's truly a pick 'em. Nobody knows "El Cucuy's" current mind frame. There are numerous reports and detailed incidents from his wife exposing mental instability. My guess is "Cowboy" tags Ferguson early but Tony finds a way to rally back with a crazy finish. That's seemingly his modus operandi. See the Pettis bout.
 
Agreed on Moraes.

Having a hard time agreeing with Ferguson mental state being a reason to stay away. He's a crazy dude and I dont see how that holds him back in a fight lol. But real talk Cowboy has looked good but his entire career he wins fights and loses fights. Ferguson simply just wins fights and will prove again he's deserving of a title shot. The one thing I dont like about the fight for Ferguson is that its 3 rounds instead of 5. But regardless Ferguson at -150 is great value. I've also read some reports that Cowboy had a rough cut, he didnt look great at weigh ins. And a rumor of him having staph infection. I cant say if these are true or not but it makes me like Ferguson even more.

I'm torn on Sterling/Munhoz. I want to take Sterling and see his rise continuing. He has all the tools to win this fight. But Munhoz and yourself proved me wrong last time against Cody.

Petr Yan will win but Rivera is good enough that Yan's line is too high for me to take that chance. will throw him somewhere in a parlay.

I like Tai Tuivasa but im leaning to fade him here. Ivanov has 6 wins by submission which doesnt bode well for Tai who has a poor gas tank. As long as he doesnt get knocked out in the 1st round he should win. And at +160 i like the odds.
 
I'm curious as to why Petr Yan is such a strong favorite. Sure he's on a roll having dispatched Dodson, and finished D-Silva and "Yashabo" but if nothing else, Jimmie Rivera knows how to fight smartly and win on points. We not gonna see much grappling in this bout either way. Not touching.

Pretty confident in an Ivanov sub in the second (or third) round. Man's is serious with the Sambo and judo. We all know exactly what Tuivasa wants to do. Come out swinging and take out Ivanov in the opening minutes. As you mentioned, "Bagata" is wise and experienced enough to let Tai blow his gas tank early and watch him fade down the stretch. Not betting this one either, unless I get super hot.
 
Won good off a 3 team parlay of no score in the first inning of the Dodger's, Dbacks, and Colorado game
 
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I chose Ferguson to win in round 2 in UFC 238 and thanks to the unexpected TKO I won big. Made a rack today in earnings

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Thiem came through with the $ Manziel. Grueling five sets.

Saw on social media, some whale taking a beating. Lost big on Dubs in G3, Bruins G5 and GSW G4. Was chasing to recoup his previous losses.

youngwolf youngwolf money with WTA. Congrats, your girl Ash came through.

When he let those 2 match points come and go on serve, I thought he was finished. He showed a lot of resolve to come back after that. Good call on the ML, bro.
 
Only play for the morning is a play that was placed almost 2 months ago:

Also locked in Rafa to win the FO @ -110 for 10U this morning after watching dismantle RBA. Only way I'll be concerned is if he picks up an injury between now and then. Otherwise, no sweat.

¡VAMOS RAFA!
 
won my first 5 baseball bets yesterday. put all my winnings on no runs in the first inning of the nats game trying to double it all up. lost of course lol

twins ML to start the day
 
After the 238 card...I'm a fade on sight RN. Down 10U off UFC alone. Plus my five on Thiem (+750) to win the FO didn't hit either. I've got my Bs winning by two goals in STL. Fade me, bros.
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Never a good feeling but we chasing now, my Gs. Got the Dutch around +110. Think they edge Portugal by a goal. Considered van de Beek for first goal at 12/1.
 
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I feel like the majority of hockey fans only see it going two possible ways. First path, Blues finish it tonight on home ice. The alternate route, Bs force a G7 and hoist their seventh Cup at the Garden. If you believe the latter, as I do, might as well lock in the Bruins to win the SCF before G6 starts because you obviously won't get better odds than this present moment before the puck drops.
 
Good stuff, brodie. Got it at +250 but close enough. LFG!!

Randomly think Bergy gets one of the two Boston first-period goals.
 
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