***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

papichino said:
Is it just me or when they red hot scared to put in high units bets I keep on thinking im due to a slump
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Nah not just you, ive had that issue too. Hit at 75% for a month, then increase unit size and hit at 25% lol. OG dogpolice dogpolice told me don’t get greedy and increase bet size because gambling gods don’t like that.
I’m not sure the answer though tbh. I’m hitting like crazy right now and need to size up
 
nickname.esco said:
SMFH.

I gotta learn to walk away.

Hit on the slots last night twice for 300.
and the other day for 500.

and stil lwalked out down 100.

why am i like this!
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BIG LEEMELONE said:
Gambling really teaches you about yourself more than anything. This is what they bank on
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True but sports betting is different than slot machines.... with slots it’s guaranteed negative EV, every dollar u put in is going to have a negative return, it’s literally computerized. People win on slots because every session is “short term” and anything can happen short term but casinos own the “long run” which is guaranteed profit for them/loss for you. So when people say they lost on slots I’m like “duh what did you expect”
 
i like that thought.

If ihit in the casino.
gotta realize my short term time has come and not try to over extend.
that hot streak will have you blind forreal.

win limit.

im tryna get nice with this sports betting though.
 
Got some great analysis on reddit on the Pels game. Guy is 8–0 on his picks and talked be into the Sixers game yesterday. Got in last night at -5.5 and the line actually moved to -4.5 which is crazy to me. I can post his analysis if anyone is interested.

Other than that I decided to use the last of my bonus on a parlay:

NO -4.5
MEM -1
Nets +3.5

I think the Spurs have played above their head with those wins over MIL and BOS. Traveling to MEM against a Grizz team coming off a solid win the other night with Ja and JJJ meshing beautifully.Grizz are 1st in pts in the paint while SA is in the bottom half of pts in the paint scoring and defense. They should have the edge rebounding as well. Spurs are more disciplined than the Grizz (top 6 in fouls committed andleast turnovers). Still I love the Grizz in this spot.

As far as the nets go, I think they came gut wrenchingly close to beating OKC the other night and Miami isn’t nearly what they are At home as they are on the road (similar to the Sixers). This is just a hunch. Miami could just steamroll them but I like the spot.

BOL yall
 
My mans in the pen and he’s been on a heater lol. He hit a 4 team NBA / NCABB parlay yesterday in the joint lmao. He just hit me now asking what i like on these NFL games this weekend. I’m dying laughing that’s crazy to me
 
Olympus said:
Got some great analysis on reddit on the Pels game. Guy is 8–0 on his picks and talked be into the Sixers game yesterday. Got in last night at -5.5 and the line actually moved to -4.5 which is crazy to me. I can post his analysis if anyone is interested.

Other than that I decided to use the last of my bonus on a parlay:

NO -4.5
MEM -1
Nets +3.5

I think the Spurs have played above their head with those wins over MIL and BOS. Traveling to MEM against a Grizz team coming off a solid win the other night with Ja and JJJ meshing beautifully.Grizz are 1st in pts in the paint while SA is in the bottom half of pts in the paint scoring and defense. They should have the edge rebounding as well. Spurs are more disciplined than the Grizz (top 6 in fouls committed andleast turnovers). Still I love the Grizz in this spot.

As far as the nets go, I think they came gut wrenchingly close to beating OKC the other night and Miami isn’t nearly what they are At home as they are on the road (similar to the Sixers). This is just a hunch. Miami could just steamroll them but I like the spot.

BOL yall
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Link please.
 
D StaXX said:
Link please.
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To add: Knicks are also wishout Morris and DSJ. And the pels are at 6th most possessions per game vs NY’s 22 and the real kicker - 4th is fastbreak points while NY is 20th in fastbreak points against. NO could overwhelm them with the pace and go up big.

There’s some argument against his analysis in there too which is worth a look. I’m rolling with the Pels though.
 
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im thnking.
Wash/Atl Over
Atlanta
New ORleans/NYK Over
New Orleans
Miami
Mavericks

thoughts? lets talk about it.
 
I think Utah covers the big spread (-12) but they can be slow starters and might be able to get a better line in-game.
 
Im guessing you took ML? Nets just closed the lead to 8 at least? Lol

I took the Knicks to cover 4.5 without Morris, DSJ, or Randle :lol: :smh:
 
53% on the Vikings according to mybookie, but line not budging.

Screenshot_20200110-204733_Chrome.jpg


Don't like that, but convinced myself it's a Kirk Cousins buffer in case he does something stupid.

ML also interesting.
 
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