Record: 9-4
Units: +18.8
Today's Play:
Heat ML 5u
Herro's questionable as of right now, but that shouldn't stop a Miami team that is second in the league in 3P% at 37.8%. Over their last 3 games the Heat have shot 40.5% from 3 with 2 of those games on the road and one of those road games being in OKC who rank 5th in opponent 3P% at 31.7% per game and the Heat still shot the 3 at 38.9%. The other game was at home against the Spurs where they shot 42.5% from beyond the arc. The Spurs on the other hand shoot 36.5% from 3, good for 7th in the league, but have shot a paltry 26.6% over their last 3, 30% when these two teams last met. Now both teams allow a lot of 3PT attempts (both rank in the bottom 5) but the Sours don't really take a lot of 3s (3rd least) while Miami sits in the middle of the league at 14th most attempted. I say all this to say that 3PT shooting is an area where Miami can really jump on the Spurs.
Miami's turnovers do concern me (4th most in the league) especially since the Spurs take care of the ball (top 5 least turnovers per game) BUT Spurs are near the bottom of the league in steals and Miami has taken care of the ball much better over their last 3 and committing just 10 turnovers against the Spurs a couple games ago.
Couple all of this with the fact that Miami is tops in the league in winning close games while the Spurs are middle of the pack and I've gotta take the Heat here.
Fading NFL today. BOL everyone!
