***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

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:pimp:
 
Jazz and bulls got me good today. Waiting now for the weekend.

All NBA overs gonna hit tonight, for those guys who sometimes blindly throw stuff at trends. Tomorrow, they may push closer to the norm.

Had a parlay with Baylor/Louisville/WVU. Stupid me. I'm done with parlays. I get more than 60% of my picks right. I gotta push that into straight bets.
 
Dunno if I buy into “trends” like that. Each game is it’s on independent event so therefore any pattern you see doesn’t really hold an statistical significance
 
True. I guess it's partially hunch factor. But Everything does try to get back to 50%. Some teams sit above .500 ats. Some sit below. The majority sit within .500

Statistically speaking, you'd probably just have to look at other/u #s with no rest/1d/2d etc.

Today, three of the worst ats teams covered. Blazers, nets, and Spurs. As someone else mentioned here, there's definitely a ceiling and a floor. Some people go about betting that way too.
 
way too early in the morning pick: keep it rolling, thunder! -1

waiting for this rockets and bucks line
 
Thinking Zverev as well. Thiem might be gassed from going to war with Rafa. And besides the first set, Zverev dominated his last match.

Got greedy. Should’ve just took the games. I think he was getting 4.5. :sick::smh:
 
Got greedy. Should’ve just took the games. I think he was getting 4.5. :sick::smh:
Yeah same, seems like he gassed on that last set. Oh well. I'll probably chill until the SuperBowl besides the finals and any other decent Odds Boosts.

O/U shifted from 54.5 to 53.5 which tells me there's sharp money coming in on the under (read somewhere that 99% of O/U bets was on the over this week). Going to wait to see if it hits 52.5 then throwing a chunk on the Over as well as the Chiefs to cover.

Some prop bets I'm looking at:

-Coin Toss: Tails, -103
-Mahomes MVP +110
-Kelce Anytime TD Scorer +105
-Total SF 3rd Down Conversions: O5.5, +120
-Will Patrick Mahomes Throw a 1st Quarter TD?: Yes, +125 (I know chiefs start slow but theres just too much value here)
-Deebo Samuel Recieving Yards: O54.5, -112
 
Will the basketball gods curse anyone taking Blazers and the points tonight? 5D has it blazers+13
 
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