***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

been betting for about 6 years now. I learned overtime that Betting bad teams with + spreads is dicey. AKA lower percentage. If you look at both teams W/L before yesterday 4 - 3 (pels) Vs (2-4) without doing any math who has the HIGHER PERCENTAGE to win the game?

If you add 3-5 teams on a parlay it evens out the odds. I'm not saying they will always win but if you do it based on numbers not spread the better Team USUALLY wins.

I'm trying to understand your logic, but I can't Pels are a playoff team Thunder is a bad team.
 
and lastly your basically saying you would have picked a bad Thunder team at +8 instead of playoff team (pelicans ) at home ML?

im sure most people would pick Pels ML at home. the percentage is higher for the pels to win
 
l knicks fresh knick l said:
and lastly your basically saying you would have picked a bad Thunder team at +8 instead of playoff team (pelicans ) at home ML?

im sure most people would pick Pels ML at home. the percentage is higher for the pels to win
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You’re completely missing the point

It’s not about the teams, it’s about the numbers. You’re too caught up about teams
 
Me personally. Parlays are literally 1 in a 100,000th chance that they’ll hit. If you do hit. It’ll be like once maybe every 3-6 months.

that’s why I just go big on one team cause you’ll always have a 50/50 shot at hitting.
 
206to813 said:
You’re completely missing the point

It’s not about the teams, it’s about the numbers. You’re too caught up about teams
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nah i hear what your saying about juice ML and parlays. I said in my earlier post that Im 5/6 this year on parlays.

Jynx knock on wood im usually about 75% on the last 3 years. 3/4 parlays a year is a GREAT number.

I don't bet daily. I only bet where there are alot of days with teams playing. I get numbers bro.

Ill ask again you would rather take cruddy Thunder over Pels ?

Tonight is another perfect Example. Lakers are -8.5 over spurs. Who do you trust more to cover that ? I'd rather Lakers ML

and bro stop dodging questions bro. I asked a few and you never answered
 
l knicks fresh knick l said:
Please explain this logic to me sir.
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Spark notes version:

They were 8 point favorites, so what odds did you get on the ML? -300? -400? Let’s split the difference and go with -350. At those odds, you’d have to pick correctly at a 78% clip to turn a profit. You’re not going to pick winners at that rate, at least not consistently, which is why taking those odds, especially in meaningless games, is a bad bet. You’re paying a book $71 to take $100 bet on the Pelicans. No bueno.

You need to factor in the odds you’re getting when placing a wager, and not just the teams competing.
 
youngwolf said:
Spark notes version:

They were 8 point favorites, so what odds did you get on the ML? -300? -400? Let’s split the difference and go with -350. At those odds, you’d have to pick correctly at a 78% clip to turn a profit. You’re not going to pick winners at that rate, at least not consistently, which is why taking those odds, especially in meaningless games, is a bad bet. You’re paying a book $71 to take $100 bet on the Pelicans. No bueno.

You need to factor in the odds you’re getting when placing a wager, and not just the teams competing.
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they were at -300. After all the odds of the other 5 games my odds were at +165. I just explained Whenever I play which isn't often im usually around 75% on a year. This year I was 5/6 on ML team parlays. I explained in the last post that Usually when I play my odds are normally at +110 - +165 ish somewhere between those numbers. I get the more teams and etc on a parlay. I total understand and get you guys. I was giving dude up there examples on teams should win on Records and the higher chance of winning the game. I hope you guys are reading my messages clearly

for the record I never take ML favorites by itself it makes no sense. too much juice
 
youngwolf said:
It being a part of a parlay makes it even worse. You’re just compounding bad bets on top of each other. Needing 6 different, unrelated events to go right just to get +165 odds is not good.
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Lol how is it bad if I hit a 6 teamer last wends? and im 5/6 for this season. and in my last 3 years im 75% correct? sounds like a win to me.

I could understand if I was placing dumb bets on 6 Point spread. That sound idiotic. But my numbers for the last few years been good.
 
yall can have yall opinions on yall parlays. But I have numbers that work for me and its been working for the last 3 years. We can faithfully agree to disagree
 
l knicks fresh knick l said:
nah i hear what your saying about juice ML and parlays. I said in my earlier post that Im 5/6 this year on parlays.

Jynx knock on wood im usually about 75% on the last 3 years. 3/4 parlays a year is a GREAT number.

I don't bet daily. I only bet where there are alot of days with teams playing. I get numbers bro.

Ill ask again you would rather take cruddy Thunder over Pels ?

Tonight is another perfect Example. Lakers are -8.5 over spurs. Who do you trust more to cover that ? I'd rather Lakers ML

and bro stop dodging questions bro. I asked a few and you never answered
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Bball gods was talking to you lol

But hey man do your thing!

EB60B4DE-6DC8-4131-8A86-795C60869D13.jpeg
 
206to813 said:
Bball gods was talking to you lol

But hey man do your thing!

EB60B4DE-6DC8-4131-8A86-795C60869D13.jpeg
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lol dude was waiting all night for this game to end.

Ask me was this one of the games I bet on? through the next weeks I'll post the games that I actually do play with ML its gonna be a 6 teamer with all ML.

I DIDNT PLAY THIS ON A PARLAY BECAUSE THERE WERE ONLY 5 GAMES ON THE SLATE. IT GOES AGAINST MY PLAYS.

once again dude is dodging the questions I asked. SMH
 
l knicks fresh knick l said:
lol dude was waiting all night for this game to end.

Ask me was this one of the games I bet on? through the next weeks I'll post the games that I actually do play with ML its gonna be a 6 teamer with all ML.

I DIDNT PLAY THIS ON A PARLAY BECAUSE THERE WERE ONLY 5 GAMES ON THE SLATE. IT GOES AGAINST MY PLAYS.

once again dude is dodging the questions I asked. SMH
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It’s all good man that’s not necessary unless you want to. I’m glad you’re hitting. Just trying to help. Do your thing.
 
parlays are not a winning strategy. even teasers get blown up very quickly. BUT, if it works for you, then keep at it

I hate sports without fans

Bills -6!
 
This Buffalo Bills performance in Game 1 of 6 of Super Wild Card Weekend is dangerous for me the bettor. I’m not betting this weekend, right?

But when the Bills win by a lot, and knowing right now I’d be all over them at -6, that’ll grease the betting wheels thinking I SHOULDA bet and then I’ll have faulty stupid confidence going into Games 2-6 when I’m telling you, I’m not betting.

Hopefully through this admission I will say **** you to all the game spreads when not if Buffalo wins by 20.
 
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