Here is a guy I follow who is pretty good handicapper. It's his biggest play ever tonight
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http://winningaddicts.com/
He's putting 44 grand on itThis will be my biggest bet of the year personally. This is a blowout play that will come through tonight, but because of a very poor 2[sup]nd[/sup] half performance last week in New York coupled with three straight Kansas City wins—the line is sitting at a very comfortable 3—and we are all going to hammer it. The Chargers are light years ahead of this Chiefs team in terms of talent. They have dominated this series, already winning the first game 20-17 this year. That game was a pathetic performance by San Diego, highlighted by poor defense and turnovers—but it was very typical of the San Diego/Norv Turner coached Chargers in September. San Diego has yet to play even close to its capabilities, and this Kansas City team has won three straight against Minnesota by 5, Indy by 4, and Oakland by a 28-0 score in which they had 2 interceptions run back for touchdowns. This Kansas City offense is without one of the top running backs in the NFL, Jamaal Charles, and they cannot move the ball consistently. They are averaging only 173 passing yards per game, 100 fewer yards than San Diego puts up, and Phillip Rivers is having one of the worst starts he has had in his pro career. Arrowhead is famous for being a very tough environment, and with lots of momentum coming in with 3 straight wins, they will be ready to go, but San Diego has won 3 of its last 4 trips to KC, and Rivers has had lots of success vs this franchise. San Diego averages 392 yards per game to Kansas City’s 303, while they give up only 297 to Kansas City’s 361. Yes, some of KC’s bad numbers were put up in their two drubbings by a total score of 89-10 in their first two outings, but they also had an outlier with the Raiders last week—as they used a poor Kyle Boller and a guy who was literally right off his couch. The Chargers are 1-0 ATS as a road favorite this year, although they were, at times, a favorite against the Jets last week before going off as a slight dog, but this is a divisional rivalry game, so I think those numbers mean a lot less than normal. The weather should be totally cooperative for San Diego’s passing game to flourish, and while KC averages 129 per game on the ground, if SD can get a lead—that is huge trouble for Matt Cassel, who continues to underperform while collecting his huge paycheck. Todd Haley is a good head coach, and he has done an incredible job rallying his troops after a brutal start that saw his team lose their all-Pro star safety Eric Berry, their star RB, and their crucial tight end Tony Moeaki. If Haley was coaching this Chargers team, they would probably have a SuperBowl appearance, but the fact is, Chargers backers are stuck with Norv Turner. Even with Norv vs Haley, the Chargers are a better team, and the better team usually wins on Monday night. Both teams bring it for MNF—a huge event in every player’s year, and when both bring it—the better team wins. (See: NE over Miami, OAK over Denver, NYG over STL, DAL over WAS, TB over Indy, DET over CHI, NYJ over MIA, *and the one outlier is last week with JAX over the Ravens). Norv Turner has been very successful after losses, while Todd Haley’s record after wins isn’t superb. The Chargers give up only 175 passing yards per game, 4[sup]th[/sup] best in the NFL, and since KC is 30[sup]th[/sup] in passing offense, it really means KC will have to be successful on the ground to win the game. It is tough to be one-dimensional and win in the NFL. KC is 18[sup]th[/sup]in the league in passing yards against and 24[sup]th[/sup] in rushing yards against—both stats that do not bode well for them tonight. I am willing to put my reputation on the line tonight for this game. Obviously I never advise anyone to put money down that will “change their life,