***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

[super t1ght]

I bet pats +6 last Sunday and parlayed with Seahawks -2.5 (bought a point).
My book has pats +5 still, I think ill do a straight wager if I see +6.


Prez or anyone else what do u think about over56?

 

[prez t]

this is ******g mind blowing if true, which i assume it is

it is indeed . the last multiple score loss other than the AFC 'ship game was against the Browns on Nov 7, 2010

 

[mr marcus]

NE with Brady at QB hasn't been a touchdown underdog since Brady's first playoff run versus both Pitt and Stl...heard that on the radio, not sure if true. both were over 7 though.

it's true which is why my ml bet will be a L but Brady my dude so it is what it is 

 

[prez t]

i sprinkled a little on the ML as well . the pats are in every game , and def have a chance to win on Sunday . im also loving the Niners +3 . they are the best team in football right now -- offense is starting to click and their defense is stifling . Seattle's offense has been pedestrian the past few weeks . the key in that game comes down to ball security . if the Niners can take care of the football and not give up defensive touchdowns and/or points off TOs they should win this game

 

[651akathepaul]

Great stuff, Prez.

 

[bryscooplaygrifhold]

So the consensus seems to be Niners +3 or more and Pats +5 or more? These both figure to be games that will be decided in the last quarter if not 5 minutes, thus take the points and the two arguably better coached teams?

Onto tonight, CBB, I have Baylor -3.5 @ Texas Tech and Florida State PK @ Miami ( short trip, and FSU playing reasonably well right now vs. direction-less Miami(FL).

Also contemplating NBA Grizzlies -5.5 @ Bucks :x
Kings +10 @ Wolves and Heat -6.5 @ Wizards after two consecutive losses in NY/NJ

Anyone feel free to counter or disagree

 

[bigsmilesmgr]

Had my plays for the day ready to be placed after work yesterday.

Drexel -3 vs Towson

Wisconsin -3.5 vs Indiana

VCU -2 vs GW

Kentucky +1 vs Arkansas

Georgia +14 vs Florida

Parlay of the 5

ALL LOST

Thank the lord I didn't get off work in time to make them.  Would have been massacred 

Moral of the story- Sometimes not betting is the best play. hahaha 

 

[651akathepaul]

So the consensus seems to be Niners +3 or more and Pats +5 or more? These both figure to be games that will be decided in the last quarter if not 5 minutes, thus take the points and the two arguably better coached teams?

Initially for me those are the definite thoughts. However, I think Seattle might end up being my play after I cap it. Under might be a real possibility despite the number being so low. 39 last I checked.

 

[prez t]

Initially for me those are the definite thoughts. However, I think Seattle might end up being my play after I cap it. Under might be a real possibility despite the number being so low. 39 last I checked.

id probably buy a point and bet the under as well . i just dont see either offense really getting off given circumstances

1. Niners defense is finally healthy and the Seahawks offense has been poor as of late
2. Seahawks have been Kaep's kryptonite over the past two seasons . they are only given up 14ppg at home this season , and only allowed a team over 20 points once

 

[brettnussb]

Thinking Denver/NE OVER could be the play of that game

 

[ohmygosher]

Took Den at -5.5 and Seattle at -3 for this weekend.

 

[certifiedsw]

As low as the O/U is on the Hawks game I just don't see it going over as well Paul. Both defenses playing lights out. Going to be a game dominated by clock management.


17-14 Seattle is what I'm thinking.

 

[23legacy45]

Anyone else taking Pats ML and Niners ML?

 

[yeahitsrust]

So the consensus seems to be Niners +3 or more and Pats +5 or more? These both figure to be games that will be decided in the last quarter if not 5 minutes, thus take the points and the two arguably better coached teams?

Onto tonight, CBB, I have Baylor -3.5 @ Texas Tech and Florida State PK @ Miami ( short trip, and FSU playing reasonably well right now vs. direction-less Miami(FL).

Also contemplating NBA Grizzlies -5.5 @ Bucks :x
Kings +10 @ Wolves and Heat -6.5 @ Wizards after two consecutive losses in NY/NJ

Anyone feel free to counter or disagree

I'm on this also.

 

[vtotheinay]

so of course i didnt post my 8 team soccer parlay for yall today and it hits my bad yall. i was hesitant since i failed the last couple times. this one was 4U to win 28 though. RM score is pending but the final whistle iiterally just blew so its a win.

Pending 8 Team Parlay
Win 1/15/14 3:10pm England Soccer 52 Manchester City (ENG-FACup) -800* vs Blackburn Rovers (ENG-FACup)
Win 1/15/14 12:00pm Italy Soccer 108 AC Milan (ITA-Cup) -524* vs Spezia (ITA-Cup)
Win 1/15/14 3:00pm Italy Soccer 114 Napoli (ITA-Cup) -316* vs Atalanta (ITA-Cup)
Win 1/15/14 11:00am Portugal Soccer 928 Sporting Braga (POR-CUP) -423* vs Beira Mar (POR-CUP)
Win 1/15/14 1:30pm Spain Soccer 155 Athletic Bilbao advances -140* vs Betis advances
Win 1/15/14 1:30pm Spain Soccer 158 Espanyol (ESP-Cup) -204* vs Alcorcon (ESP-Cup)
Pending 1/15/14 3:30pm Spain Soccer 169 Real Madrid (ESP-Cup) -282* vs Osasuna (ESP-Cup)
Win 1/15/14 12:00pm Turkey Soccer 1055 Galatasaray (TUR-Cup) -956* vs Tokatspor (TUR-Cup)

 

[ohmygosher]

^

:x

I've been tailing all your soccer picks too.

Good stuff tho man.

 

[vtotheinay]

^

:x

I've been tailing all your soccer picks too.

Good stuff tho man.

my bad :\ i just needed to get my groove back i guess, didnt wanna keep lettin yall down. i got the fam though!

 

[stork]

Anyone else taking Pats ML and Niners ML?

I can't see the ML being the play. The 49'ers are up against a better team, on the road somewhere that's near impossible to win, they are a dogs for a reason, because they got blown out on their last visit , & narrowly won @ home, which could make the argument for buying +5½ worthwhile i suppose.

The Pats are in the same situation. on the road against a team that came into Gillette and shut them out for 2 quarters, they won that game off a muffed punt in OT. Pats secondary also has not been consistent throughout the season (4 road losses to sub par teams), although I think they are playing at their best now, it's something to reconcile with. and against the best QB & offense (stats) in the league, the points are absolutely the best play in both games.

 

[bodadeezdoe]

so of course i didnt post my 8 team soccer parlay for yall today and it hits

my bad yall. i was hesitant since i failed the last couple times. this one was 4U to win 28 though. RM score is pending but the final whistle iiterally just blew so its a win.

Pending 8 Team Parlay
Win 1/15/14 3:10pm England Soccer 52 Manchester City (ENG-FACup) -800* vs Blackburn Rovers (ENG-FACup)
Win 1/15/14 12:00pm Italy Soccer 108 AC Milan (ITA-Cup) -524* vs Spezia (ITA-Cup)
Win 1/15/14 3:00pm Italy Soccer 114 Napoli (ITA-Cup) -316* vs Atalanta (ITA-Cup)
Win 1/15/14 11:00am Portugal Soccer 928 Sporting Braga (POR-CUP) -423* vs Beira Mar (POR-CUP)
Win 1/15/14 1:30pm Spain Soccer 155 Athletic Bilbao advances -140* vs Betis advances
Win 1/15/14 1:30pm Spain Soccer 158 Espanyol (ESP-Cup) -204* vs Alcorcon (ESP-Cup)
Pending 1/15/14 3:30pm Spain Soccer 169 Real Madrid (ESP-Cup) -282* vs Osasuna (ESP-Cup)
Win 1/15/14 12:00pm Turkey Soccer 1055 Galatasaray (TUR-Cup) -956* vs Tokatspor (TUR-Cup)

 dam i always anticipate your picks bro

 

[651akathepaul]

^ I'm feeling this. These lines are set here for a reason even though a natural inclination might be to lean NE and SF. That's public perception though.

 

[prez t]

I can't see the ML being the play. The 49'ers are up against a better team, on the road somewhere that's near impossible to win, they are a dogs for a reason, because they got blown out on their last visit , & narrowly won @ home, which could make the argument for buying +5½ worthwhile i suppose.

The Pats are in the same situation. on the road against a team that came into Gillette and shut them out for 2 quarters, they won that game off a muffed punt in OT. Pats secondary also has not been consistent throughout the season (4 road losses to sub par teams), although I think they are playing at their best now, it's something to reconcile with. and against the best QB & offense (stats) in the league, the points are absolutely the best play in both games.

my only disagreement is the Seahawks are not the best team in the league . looking at the past month , the niners are playing at a better level . the Seahawks were 2-2 in their last 4 games heading into the playoffs ; if the Cardinals can beat the Hawks in Seattle with Palmer throwing 3 INTs , the Niners can beat them too

i ended up sprinkling a little bit on the MLs just based them being around +200 for each . definitely put the vast majority of my money for the NFL weekend on the spreads though

 

[DeadsetAce]

will only bet on the NFCC game. niners to cover most likely if the line is over 3. if the o/u is anything less than 40....i might have to take the over. i dunno...have a feeling both teams get into the 20's this time around.

 

[stork]

my only disagreement is the Seahawks are not the best team in the league . looking at the past month , the niners are playing at a better level . the Seahawks were 2-2 in their last 4 games heading into the playoffs ; if the Cardinals can beat the Hawks in Seattle with Palmer throwing 3 INTs , the Niners can beat them too

well, I wrote it as the hawks being the better team, which i think most would agree, SF lost 2 at home, Sea only lost 1 at home. In this case I think the entire season is a better predictor of performance then L#, example: the chargers L4 games of the season were wins, 2 over elite teams.

Another edge that has not been mentioned is that the hawks got a nice bye week of the postseason, where as SF had to visit Lambeau and grind out a W in -4 temps, doesn't make a huge difference but it's something i noticed.

 

[TheGodFresco]

my bad :\ i just needed to get my groove back i guess, didnt wanna keep lettin yall down. i got the fam though!

Haha it's all good, I always look forward to your picks

 

[scuse7]

•South Carolina +7 

-Too large a # for a Texas A&M team who is decent, but not worthy of being favored by 7 at home. Frank Martin always has his teams playing hard and grinding. Think they stay within the number.