Long time lurker and old time poster, coming back so that I have an outlet to explain my picks which also serves as reassurance for myself.
Teaser: Denver -2.5, Under 46
Longer rest for Denver with their last game being on a Thursday night and this being a Monday night. Coming off two losses and the line movement makes me believe Vegas views this as a major comeback spot for Denver. Although I do agree, I don't trust Denver's offense to cover a number slightly above a touchdown. Houston's defense should do enough to keep this game competitive and within striking distance. It'll come down to which quarterback makes the first mistake. Not sold on this Houston coaching staff and when matched up with a good, experienced staff this Houston team crumbles. With that being said, I trust Kubiak to keep young Siemian out of high risk situations more so than I do with O'brien and Osweiler.