***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

[651akathepaul]

TCU: Just a gut pick here. No real analysis except for its not MSU's year and while the same can be said for TCU, I think they're still slightly the better team. This game was almost a pick 'em (not sure where the line is at now), but I can definitely see TCU winning by a FG. Wouldn't be surprised if this is an overtime game either.

 

[651akathepaul]

Watch the games instead of nitpicking stats. Syracuse has handled the "three headed monster" well in the last two times they've faced each other. The defensive line is just as solid as it was last year with the key player being Brandon Sharpe who has filled Chandler Jones' shoes nicely at the LE. The problem will be special teams which has cost Syracuse big this year and is the reason they're playing in the Pinstripe Bowl instead of a BCS game.

Step off. I didn't look up stats. And while I'm not as familiar with Syracuse as I am with WVU....This game is in the snow. Different than the last time they met, I'm sure.

Thanks for your opinion, but no need to puff your chest out at me here, partner.

 

[jhawk826]

Watch the games instead of nitpicking stats. Syracuse has handled the "three headed monster" well in the last two times they've faced each other. The defensive line is just as solid as it was last year with the key player being Brandon Sharpe who has filled Chandler Jones' shoes nicely at the LE. The problem will be special teams which has cost Syracuse big this year and is the reason they're playing in the Pinstripe Bowl instead of a BCS game.

Step off. I didn't look up stats. And while I'm not as familiar with Syracuse as I am with WVU....This game is in the snow. Different than the last time they met, I'm sure.

Thanks for your opinion, but no need to puff your chest out at me here, partner.

No one is puffing their chest. I'm calling it like it is. All you had to do was look at the last two matchups. The weather, specifically the wind, will be a factor. The ball will be ran a lot more than people think if it picks up before the game and it starts snowing. Its already raining out here with snow mixed in. West Virginia's receivers do not play well in the snow (ie the Rutgers game last season).

 

[651akathepaul]

They may be familiar with West Virginia, but if I remember right, Tavon Austin did not run the ball nearly as much, which is definitely an added dimension that gets their biggest playmaker more touches. Wind does not look to be a big factor though. 5 MPH isn't much and usually when it snows the thinking is that teams don't want to pass, but usually passing is extremely effective given the reason I said. I'm sure run games will be established, but not at the complete expense of the pass. When it snows, I'll take the team with the better athletes on offense. I believe that to be West Virginia.

We'll see how it plays out. I'll be the first to admit if I'm wrong, but I definitely trust my gut more than I do stats and past occurences.

 

[quell]

Thanks for your opinion, but no need to puff your chest out at me here, partner.

I've noticed that guy comes off as a jerk in almost every post he makes. Constantly the antagonist, and not in always in a thought provoking way...seems like thats just his personality...*blocked*

Anyways. I'm only on one Niffle play this weekend - Cowboys ML

Hoping to get it at +175ish towards kickoff, but so far I locked in 200 @ +160 to be safe. I want to get another 2-300 down before the game though.

UNLV looks good to me @ +110 on the ML but I've gone through a veeerrryyy bad cold streak the past month, so I'm stepping away for a bit and focusing on a few key plays

If/when Cowboys hit it'll give me a nice playoff roll...and some extra $ to throw on Notre Dame ML

Oh....and....just a heads up...



AUSTRALIAN OPEN STARTS IN 2 WEEKS!

THE EASIEST WAY TO BUILD YOUR BANKROLL FOR 2013!!!!

(early prediction is Juan Martin Del Potro over either David Ferrerr or Andy Murray in the finals - draw depending of course)

 

[quell]

Oh and why Cowboys? Both teams dealing with injuries defensively - RG3 is RG3 but hes still a rookie and Romo is playing lights out Quarterbacking right now

I make this game 50/50 at worse in Washington, maybe slight slight adv to Dallas. Heck, I actually prefer the Cowboys on the road. Getting +160 with that being the case? Yes, please.

 

[651akathepaul]

I've never bet on Tennis. Considering I love watching the big tournaments, I might give that a whirl. May tail your picks a bit on that one Quell.

 

[jhawk826]

They may be familiar with West Virginia, but if I remember right, Tavon Austin did not run the ball nearly as much, which is definitely an added dimension that gets their biggest playmaker more touches. Wind does not look to be a big factor though. 5 MPH isn't much and usually when it snows the thinking is that teams don't want to pass, but usually passing is extremely effective given the reason I said. I'm sure run games will be established, but not at the complete expense of the pass. When it snows, I'll take the team with the better athletes on offense. I believe that to be West Virginia.

We'll see how it plays out. I'll be the first to admit if I'm wrong, but I definitely trust my gut more than I do stats and past occurences.

That's all I was trying to say. Too often in this thread and many threads in this sub forum are people who rely on stats instead of what's going on in the game. Stats tell half of the story and more often they're wrong.

I've noticed that guy comes off as a jerk in almost every post he makes. Constantly the antagonist, and not in always in a thought provoking way

Who are you? No one cares what you think. Its an online forum. Every post isn't supposed to be though provoking.

 

[651akathepaul]

Oh and why Cowboys? Both teams dealing with injuries defensively - RG3 is RG3 but hes still a rookie and Romo is playing lights out Quarterbacking right now
I make this game 50/50 at worse in Washington, maybe slight slight adv to Dallas. Heck, I actually prefer the Cowboys on the road. Getting +160 with that being the case? Yes, please.

Gimme the Cowboys. Washington won't stop that offense the way it's playing. Too many weapons. Cowboys may struggle against RGIII some, but I really think the Cowboys win this. Huge instinctive play.

 

[651akathepaul]

That's all I was trying to say. Too often in this thread and many threads in this sub forum are people who rely on stats instead of what's going on in the game. Stats tell half of the story and more often they're wrong.

No worries. Just didn't like your first sentence. I'm no statboy (90% of the time), that's for sure.

 

[mr marcus]

not very confident about either but i'm on 

rice pk for 2 units
western michigan +10.5 1st half for 2 units

good luck to yall tho 

2-0

Currently have an if bet on byu over 152.5 (400) and if that cover it'll be 200 on byu -11

Hopefully I can at least hit my over but if I hit both ill be up 1k today overall

 

[ayyntee]

Public is all over WV my line was at -3 when I got it. Now it's at -4.5, hopefully we all win.

 

[finallyfamous]

Kentucky + 7.5... anyone else think they cover?

I kinda want to bite

 

[nothingtol0se]

im in a very superstitious moment right now. been on a nice streak going, but i feel like every time i post my plays here...it's so-so.

good luck guys

 

[651akathepaul]

im in a very superstitious moment right now. been on a nice streak going, but i feel like every time i post my plays here...it's so-so.
good luck guys

Me too. Don't know why I do.

 

[finallyfamous]

Got UK at +8...

Come on wildcats

 

[651akathepaul]

Eh...What do I know? Ha.

 

[finallyfamous]

Covered

 

[yeahitsrust]

im in a very superstitious moment right now. been on a nice streak going, but i feel like every time i post my plays here...it's so-so.
good luck guys

Me too. Don't know why I do.

Thought this was only me...

When I was posting I was losing 40-50% of the time I posted my bets. Since Christmas Eve I have lost one bet. ONE. Made all my losses plus a little extra. I hope to keep it rolling! But WVU is testing my theory lol.

Good luck guys.

 

[4one5]

I'm taking Brad Steven's team with a whole week to prepare.

Play For Today (11-7):
Butler -5.5

 

[yeahitsrust]

I'm taking Brad Steven's team with a whole week to prepare.

Play For Today (11-7):
Butler -5.5

I like this a lot.

 

[fraij da 5 11]

[table][tr][td]154764785-1[/td][td]12/30/12 12:07am[/td][td]$300.00  [/td][td]$510.00[/td][td]Pending[/td][td]12/29/12 11:59pm   UFC Fighting  1001 Cain Velasquez +170* vs Junior Dos Santos[/td][/tr][/table]

 

[mr marcus]

Idk if its cause I'm mobile but I cant see who you got 300 on...is it a UFC fight?

 

[fraij da 5 11]

Yea Cain Valasquez just put in work on Dos Santos who was -200.

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[mr marcus]

good ****