- 28,097
- 9,221
So pissed I didnt wake up in time to bang out UTEP. +%%% me.
Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
Originally Posted by JUS3
Lately I've been playing a lot of games (5-6 games) on NCAA/NBA... I've been doing pretty well, but today was all bad..
Do you guys think it's better to play 2 or 3 games and put more money?
Just wondering what methods you guys are using..
Originally Posted by NuJerzLoyalty
Originally Posted by JUS3
Lately I've been playing a lot of games (5-6 games) on NCAA/NBA... I've been doing pretty well, but today was all bad..
Do you guys think it's better to play 2 or 3 games and put more money?
Just wondering what methods you guys are using..
2 games, and more money. The MOST I would ever do is 3. And that's only during the NFL season (I feel confident and more knowledgeable in that sport than any other). Playing over 3 teams is playing right into "the books" hands.
Originally Posted by SamB
Who likes Vandy over Mississippi St.?
Man Demarcus Cousin sucks at the line
Yeah. I think I wrote something about that in here. I use that very regularly. I would say my biggest thing I use when betting over/under atleast for full game is trends. I will go back 5-6-8 years and research scores. Also another very important thing is the venue. It's something that a lot of people don't think about but certain venues (mostly talking neutral sites) especially ones that a much larger than what players are used to playing are good for unders. Madison Square Garden for example is an under machine. Doesn't always work as good for Big East tourney or I should say it does but don't expect Cuse to score 60 instead of 80. But teams taht shoot a lot of jumpers often have a hard time adjusting to venues with a lot of room behind the basket. Also I look at offensive/defensive efficiency and pace of play. People see games involving teams like Air Force with O/U of like 110 one 112 and think over but they play at such a snails pace often times unless there is 30+ fouls or teams shoot over 50% its not getting over because there just isnt enough possessions in the game if teams play to their pace. And like you said I also look at where teams tend to get their points. ex. 3 pt shooting team versus a team with good perimeter defenders.Originally Posted by 651akathePaul
Nonstop, you're the kenpom guy right? That site is dope. It's really helped me win some bets.
What is it that you look at to try and decipher which way to bet? I'm big on looking at how often a team gets to the line when going with an over/under and a whole combination of things factor into betting the spread for a particular team. I'm just curious as to the way you go about it because there is so much info there I'm not sure I know what to do with all of it.
Originally Posted by Nonstoptalk
Yeah. I think I wrote something about that in here. I use that very regularly. I would say my biggest thing I use when betting over/under atleast for full game is trends. I will go back 5-6-8 years and research scores. Also another very important thing is the venue. It's something that a lot of people don't think about but certain venues (mostly talking neutral sites) especially ones that a much larger than what players are used to playing are good for unders. Madison Square Garden for example is an under machine. Doesn't always work as good for Big East tourney or I should say it does but don't expect Cuse to score 60 instead of 80. But teams taht shoot a lot of jumpers often have a hard time adjusting to venues with a lot of room behind the basket. Also I look at offensive/defensive efficiency and pace of play. People see games involving teams like Air Force with O/U of like 110 one 112 and think over but they play at such a snails pace often times unless there is 30+ fouls or teams shoot over 50% its not getting over because there just isnt enough possessions in the game if teams play to their pace. And like you said I also look at where teams tend to get their points. ex. 3 pt shooting team versus a team with good perimeter defenders.Originally Posted by 651akathePaul
Nonstop, you're the kenpom guy right? That site is dope. It's really helped me win some bets.
What is it that you look at to try and decipher which way to bet? I'm big on looking at how often a team gets to the line when going with an over/under and a whole combination of things factor into betting the spread for a particular team. I'm just curious as to the way you go about it because there is so much info there I'm not sure I know what to do with all of it.
I play a lot of second half over/under too but that has more to do with feel than anything. Often times you can just tell from watching the game. But more than anything it helps a lot no matter what your betting to know the teams. I watch tons and tons and tons of games. Sometimes I watch three at the same time. The better you know the teams the easier it is. It's still definitely not easy and I'm not gonna come in here and claim that I know all and hit 70-80% like some people in here have because that's simply not possible. Maybe in one day or over the course of a week but its not sustainable. One day last year in NCAA I hit 16 games in a row one weekend. I usually don't play that many games but I was hot so I road it out. I also have gone 0-5 before in a day.
But there are all kinds of other factors that come in to play but I'm not about to write a novel on here but some other things to remember.
Situations (Key in NCAA especially earlier in season. Look ahead games. 3 game weeks. etc,
Injuries. (Try to find out as much as you about the teams recent games and possible injuries/suspensions.)
Meaning of Game (I don't think you can put a ton of weight on this but its still something to remember. Especially non-conference ex. small schools get up for games against bigger schools. For some its like there NCAA tourney.)
Hope some of this helps. I am really tired today so so I'm sure I made some errors.
Good luck to everyone on their picks this weekend. The most exciting time of the year.
Originally Posted by venom lyrix
my early play
Kentucky - ML
Ohio St. - ML
Temple -4
Miami +11.5