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For example I have a friend who rooted hard for the panthers in the early 2000's. Now all he does is talk about how he is a die hard and a "real" fan.
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it's a sign of a teams success for better or worse.Man it doesn't bother me. But makes me sad how so many people are quick to abandon teams. Ala the Sonics and mariners and Seahawks early 2000's
For example I have a friend who rooted hard for the panthers in the early 2000's. Now all he does is talk about how he is a die hard and a "real" fan.
He just wants to feel what it's like to be a champion in this decade
Man it doesn't bother me. But makes me sad how so many people are quick to abandon teams. Ala the Sonics and mariners and Seahawks early 2000's
HELL NO! I do like KD though he always even to this day shows respect for the 206Y'all sonic fans root for Oklahoma City or nah?
Y'all sonic fans root for Oklahoma City or nah?
Y'all sonic fans root for Oklahoma City or nah?
Haven't watched an NBA game since 2008.Y'all sonic fans root for Oklahoma City or nah?
[h1]Contract Forecast: Richard Sherman[/h1]
By: Michael GinnittiPosted: January 23, 2014
The "best cornerback in the game" has certainly garnered plenty of attention in the young 2014, but he's also walked the talk through 3 NFL seasons in Seattle. Of course we're talking about Richard Sherman, the latest entry to our list of contract extensions.
- Comments
The 2011 5th round draft pick out of Stanford signed a base rookie contract with the Seahawks, including a $182,424 signing bonus. He's set to earn $645,000 in 2014 cash, the final year of his contract, but many believe Seattle will expedite an extension with their talented cornerback.
Other Options
The projected franchise tag value for cornerbacks in 2014 is $11.25M, a figure that will rise slightly in 2015 when Sherman would become taggable. It's fairly certain that our forecast below results in an average annual salary north of $12M, meaning the Seahawks could potentially stall/save by allowing Sherman to play out his contract with the notion of franchise tagging him in 2015. This most certainly will not be the route Sherman and his camp will prefer (i.e. Jairus Byrd / Buffalo Bills).
We'll evaluate Sherman against the top cornerbacks in football in order to provide a mathematical forecast for what an extension in Seattle might look like.
Comparable Cornerbacks
To generate a prediction the Spotrac team determined that the following cornerbacks were viable targets to use in comparing with Sherman. The key was to locate players with similar numbers, who signed a contract around the current age (almost 26). Here's a look at the contracts signed by each. To determine a more likely starting point for our numbers, we'll perform a linear regression of each contract breakdown listed below.
[th=""]Player[/th][th=""]Length[/th][th=""]Value[/th][th=""]Avg. Salary[/th][th=""]Age When Signed[/th] [th=""]
Darrelle Revis 6 $96,000,000 $16,000,000 28 Brandon Carr 5 $50,100,000 $10,020,000 26 Cortland Finnegan 5 $50,000,000 $10,000,000 28 Johnathan Joseph 5 $48,750,000 $9,750,000
Averages
[/th][th=""]5.25[/th][th=""]$61,212,500[/th][th=""]$11,442,500[/th]
Sherman will turn 26 at the end of March - a likely starting point for negotiations, and a relatively young age in terms of cornerbacks signing big contracts/. We'll adjust the above contracts down to reflect each as if it were signed at the age of 26 to provide a better scope for our base prediction.
View the list of Top Average Paid Cornerbacks in the NFL
[th=""]Length[/th][th=""]Value[/th][th=""]Avg. Salary (slope)[/th]
6 $70,632,759 $11,772,126
Statistical Analyzations
Now let's analyze these players statistically over their careers by showing the averages for Games/Season, Intercetpions/Season, Tackles/Season, and Completion % Against/Season.
Then, to assess how well the player was performing prior to signing their respective contract, we'll show the averages of these statistics two years prior to their signing date. This will give us a "Prime Percentage" for each player, providing us with a snapshot for how well that player was performing when the contract was signed in relation to his overall career.
[th=""]Player[/th][th=""]Games[/th][th=""]INT[/th][th=""]Tackles[/th][th=""]Caught %[/th] [th=""]Averages[/th][th=""]15.125[/th][th=""]2.625[/th][th=""]52.75[/th][th=""]53.5125[/th] [th=""]% Difference[/th][th=""]5.79%[/th][th=""]204.76%[/th][th=""]-12.80%[/th][th=""]7.69%[/th] [th=""]MEDIAN PRIME %[/th][th=""]6.74%[/th] [th=""]AVERAGE PRIME %[/th][th=""]38.69%[/th]
Darrelle Revis (2010-11, NYJ) 14.5 2 34 39.9 Brandon Carr (2010-11, KC) 16 2.5 51 47.45 Cortland Finnegan (2010-11, TEN) 16 1.5 70 65.05 Johnathan Joseph (2009-10, CIN) 14 4.5 56 61.65 Richard Sherman (2012-13, SEA) 16 8 46 49.4
It's clear from our breakdowns here that Sherman is used more-so as a coverage/shutdown corner (INT/Caught %), and less-so as a run stopper (tackles). In this manner this evaluation is very similar to that of Darrelle Revis', which turned into the largest contract in NFL cornerback history. Sherman stacks up in all of our primary categories, averaging 8 INTs and less than 50% of balls thrown his way caught over the past 2 seasons in Seattle.
We'll factor both his Median and Average prime numbers into our base terms to provide a low and high bar for our forecast.
Guaranteed Money
Sherman has played in all 32 regular season games since entering the league in 2011. He won the starting role 6 games into his rookie season and hasn't looked back. missed a game prior to his foot injury, so it's difficult to place too much concern on the games missed. We'll eliminate the prime percentage in lei of this, and provide a straight average in terms of guaranteed dollars for this forecast.
[th=""]Player[/th][th=""]Value[/th][th=""]True Guarantees[/th][th=""]% Guaranteed[/th] [th=""]Adjusted Regression[/th][th=""] [/th][th=""]42.4%[/th]
Darrelle Revis $96,000,000 $0 0% Brandon Carr $50,100,000 $25,500,000 50.9% Cortland Finnegan $50,000,000 $24,000,000 48% Johnathan Joseph $48,750,000 $23,500,000 48.2%
Results
Length of the Contract
It goes without saying that Richard Sherman deserves 6 new years on his contract. At the age of 25, nearly 26, and with exceptional durability through 3 NFL seasons, Sherman holds maximum leverage for length of contract and guaranteed money.
Value of the Contract
Sherman is the second-coming of Darrelle Revis in terms of statistical production, shut-down ability, and on-the-field respect. Our initial base terms brought forth an average annual salary just under $12 million ($11,990,642), a figure that would make him the second highest average paid cornerback in football, but more than $4M per year less than Revis. We'll take a unique approach here, and process two separate values, providing a low and high bar for Sherman, possibly in terms of a hometown discount to remain with the Seahawks.
Low Value (Hometown Discount)
Utilizing our Median Prime Percentage (6.74%), we're provided with a fairly modest value in terms of overall dollars and annual average:
6 years, $76,792,800 | $12,798,811 per year | $32,588,837 guaranteedWe'll split the difference to offer the best-value forecast for Sherman's next contract.High Value
Utilizing our Average Prime Percentage (51%), we're provided with the largest contract in NFL cornerback history in terms of overall dollars and annual average:
6 years, $108,635,214 | $18,105,869 per year | $65,218,132 guaranteed
Spotrac's Prediction: 6 years, $92,714,000
No one, basically.That Baldwin TD gets overshadowed by the Kearse TD, but I think what Dougie did was just as nice! That duck under move for the score?!
Who on the squad do you guys see leaving this year purely for the money? It just seems like all the guys that are on the team genuinely love the team and love being a part of the team, and would have little problems with a pay cut. The only guy I see is Sidney Rice, just because a pay cut wouldnt even make any sense for him.
No one, basically.That Baldwin TD gets overshadowed by the Kearse TD, but I think what Dougie did was just as nice! That duck under move for the score?!
Who on the squad do you guys see leaving this year purely for the money? It just seems like all the guys that are on the team genuinely love the team and love being a part of the team, and would have little problems with a pay cut. The only guy I see is Sidney Rice, just because a pay cut wouldnt even make any sense for him.
Rice is definitely getting cut. I think Miller likely too.
I don't see Breno costing so much that he won't be worth bringing back- he isn't a great player. Tate should be affordable.
And Bennett we will spend for.
I just hope we get the Earl & Sherman extensions done as well.