[h2]Sanchez into latest mock top five[/h2][h3]Wide receivers, defensive linemen also moving latest first-round projection[/h3]
http://insider.espn.go.com/insider/index
By Todd McShay
Scouts Inc.
Archive
Player evaluations are complete and draft boards are set around the NFL as we enter the homestretch before the NFL draft, but the chatter is buildingsurrounding possible trades, mostly concerning where QB Mark Sanchez will land.
NFL.com Video
An inside look at quarterback Mark Sanchez from USC.
Things can change on a moment's notice at this point in the process, and only hours after my original projection appeared I was told by reliable sourcesthat Seattle will pull the trigger on Sanchez at No. 4 overall. That will send ripples all the way down to the New York Jets at No. 17.
The Jets seemed a good bet to trade up to No. 8 in order to take Sanchez but the price for getting him just got much steeper, and New York is likely headedback to the drawing board.
Taking all that into account, here is Scouts Inc.'s updated first-round projection:
[h2]1.
Detroit Lions (Record:0-16):
MatthewStafford, QB, Georgia[/h2]
Top three needs: QB, LOT, DE
Stafford is the very clear choice for Detroit. Among the three players the Lions have said they are negotiating with, Stafford is at the top, Jason Smith wouldbe the next choice if negotiations with Stafford break down, and Curry is a long shot. The Lions definitely want a deal in place with the top pick before thedraft, and they definitely hope it's with Stafford.
[h2]2.
St. Louis Rams (2-14):
Jason Smith,OT, Baylor[/h2]
Top three needs: OT, WR, MLB
Smith has the athleticism and tenacity of a premiere starting left tackle, which is priority No. 1 for St. Louis after it parted ways with Orlando Pace duringthe offseason. If Smith is on the board, it's hard to imagine the Rams going in any other direction.
[h2]3.
Kansas City Chiefs (2-14):
Aaron Curry,LB, Wake Forest[/h2]
Top three needs: Rush LB, DT, 3-4 DL
Here's where it starts to get interesting. This pick is suddenly much more valuable given the fact that Sanchez is projected to come off the board at No.4, but it remains to be seen whether any team will pay the huge price it would take to get ahead of Seattle. Curry is without question the best availableplayer, but does he fit what the Chiefs are looking to do defensively as they move to a 3-4 look? I think Curry is just as valuable inside in a 3-4 as he isoutside in a 4-3, but the one thing they don't get for certain is an impact pass-rusher off the edge. I think Kansas City goes with Curry, but if they goin a different direction it will likely be OT Eugene Monroe.
[h2]4.
Seattle Seahawks (4-12):
Mark Sanchez,QB, USC[/h2]
Top three needs: OLB, OT, S
The Seahawks are clearly looking for the heir apparent to current starter Matt Hasselbeck, who has dealt with nagging injuries recently but likely has two orthree more years in him. There are also questions about stud LT Walter Jones, who is coming off a serious knee injury, but selecting Sanchez will allow Seattleto eventually hand the reins from one franchise quarterback to another.
[h2]5.
Cleveland Browns (4-12):
MichaelCrabtree, WR, Texas Tech[/h2]
Top three needs: OLB, WR, CB
With rumors of the Browns trading Braylon Edwards to the Giants picking up steam, it's looking more and more like they will use this pick on the premierplaymaking wideout in this draft. I'm not a huge fan of spending a top-five pick on a wide receiver, but Crabtree certainly appears to be the real deal. Ifthe trade doesn't go through or they decide to go in a different direction, look for the Browns to target an edge rusher like Brian Orakpo.
[h2]6.
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1):
Eugene Monroe,OT, Virginia[/h2]
Top three needs: OT, C, RB
Monroe is the best pure pass-blocker in the draft and he makes sense for a team that has had trouble staying healthy up front and has invested significantmoney in QB Carson Palmer.
[h2]7.
Oakland Raiders (5-11):
Andre Smith,OT, Alabama[/h2]
Top three needs: OT, WR, DT
There's a lot of talk about Smith falling because of the debacle he made of the pre-draft process, but when all is said and done, he's one of top threeoffensive tackles and there are too many teams in the top 10 searching for his kind of talent for him to fall very far.
[h2]8.
Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11):
Jeremy Maclin,WR, Missouri[/h2]
Top three needs: WR, CB, DT
The Jaguars had hoped to shop this pick to teams coveting Sanchez but that plan appears to be shot. However, in this scenario they are now able to fill theirbiggest need with one of the fastest, most explosive players in the draft. Maclin is a bit raw as a receiver but his speed is impessive and he can alsocontribute in the return game.
[h2]9.
Green Bay Packers (6-10):
B.J. Raji, DT,Boston College[/h2]
Top three needs: 3-4 OLB, 3-4 DL, OT
Raji is the best player on the board at this point and would provide the Packers with a stout nose tackle in their new 3-4 defense. He has the size andstrength to anchor against double-teams in the running game and the burst and quickness to collapse the pocket and get to the quarterback as a pass-rusher.
[h2]10.
San Francisco 49ers (7-9):
Brian Orakpo,DE/OLB, Texas[/h2]
Top three needs: ROT, QB, S
Orakpo makes sense in this scenario because of his ability to provide pressure off the edge. I'm not convinced Orakpo is an ideal fit as a 3-4 OLB becausehe's a little stiff in his coverage drops, but he does have experience in that role and the 49ers could likely tailor a role for Orakpo that makes gettingafter the quarterback his primary goal.
[h2]11.
Buffalo Bills (7-9):
Aaron Maybin,DE, Penn State[/h2]
Top three needs: Rush DE, C/G, TE
The Bills' biggest need could be getting some help on the interior offensive line, but they are obviously not drafting a center or guard here. That'swhy I think they'll take advantage of the strong class of perimeter pass-rushers and take Maybin, who I believe is the best hybrid DE/OLB in the '09class. He needs time to develop bulk and strength, but nobody has a quicker first step getting after the QB.
[h2]12.
Denver Broncos (8-
Tyson Jackson, DE,LSU[/h2]
Top three needs: QB, NT, 3-4 DE
The interesting thing with Denver is that on paper, the Broncos need a quarterback. But even if Sanchez were to fall to the Broncos here I don't expectthem to pull the trigger. This pick is all about the D-line for the Broncos. If Raji somehow slips, they'll cash in and grab him. If not, Denver will takethe best five-technique DE (interior DE in a 3-4) in this year's class.
[h2]13.
Washington ********(8-
Robert Ayers, DE,Tennessee[/h2]
Top three needs: DE, ROT, strong side LB
There are three angles with the ******** and this pick. One, if Sanchez falls, they take him. Two, they could mortgage their future and send draft picks tomove up to take Sanchez. I'm not convinced they'll do it, but it certainly wouldn't be against Dan Snyder's style. Third, assuming Sanchez isgone, they go either with an offensive tackle or a defensive end. In this case, Ayers is the best value on the board among those two positions, and hiscombination of power and quickness would give the ******** versatility at the position opposite Andre Carter.
[h2]14.
New Orleans Saints(8-
Chris "Beanie"Wells, RB, Ohio State[/h2]
Top three needs: OLB, FS, RB
Defense is where New Orleans needs the most upgrades, but there's a lot of buzz about the Saints taking Wells, whose downhill, powerful running style wouldbe an ideal complement to the more versatile and explosive Reggie Bush.
[h2]15.
Houston Texans (8-
Brian Cushing, OLB,USC[/h2]
Top three needs: SS, NT, rush DE
There's a high-percentage chance that Houston could trade back. This could be where a team like Philadelphia moves up for an offensive tackle. However, ifthe Texans get stuck here, there's no one available to address their top needs -- strong safety and nose tackle -- and Cushing is the best fit becauseHouston would give DeMeco Ryans a partner in crime against the run at the strongside linebacker.
[h2]16.
San Diego Chargers(8-
Malcolm Jenkins, CB,Ohio State[/h2]
Top three needs: ROT, RG, SS
This is a luxury pick for the Chargers, and they certainly can use another playmaking presence in the secondary. Jenkins could serve a versatile role as asubpackage corner and ball-hawking safety next to Eric Weddle. He doesn't fit San Diego's top need of a right tackle, but Jenkins is a far betterprospect than any tackle left on the board.
For the complete first-round projection, including what the Broncos do with thefirst-round pick they received from the Bears and what the Jets might do if they are unable to trade up, become an Insider today.
[h2]17.
New York Jets (9-7):
Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR,Maryland[/h2]
Top three needs: QB, WR, TE
I would love to see the Jets package picks and move up for Sanchez. It would be the right move for the organization, but if the price will be very steep if NewYork moves into the top three. If they are stuck here the Jets would be smart to pass on QB Josh Freeman as well and go with a much-needed playmaker in thepassing game. Heyward-Bey still has some developing to do, but he was the fastest player at the combine and can certainly stretch the field immediately.
[h2]18.
Denver Broncos (from 9-7CHI) (8-
Everette Brown, DE,Florida State[/h2]
Top three needs: QB, NT, 3-4 DE
The Broncos will look to continue to upgrade their defensive front seven with this pick, and Brown could help fill out the rotation of perimeter pass-rushers.The wild card here could be a running back. If Beanie Wells starts to fall, the Broncos could look to take advantage and snag the Ohio State RB becausehe's a perfect fit for Denver's zone-blocking scheme.
[h2]19.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7):
Peria Jerry,DT, Mississippi[/h2]
Top three needs: QB, DT, OLB
We still can't rule out Freeman here, but with so many other needs, it just doesn't make a whole lot of sense to reach for Freeman after signing ByronLeftwich to be the starter. Here's the interesting part -- Jerry is worth the pick from a pure value standpoint, but Tampa Bay is also trying to get biggerand stronger along the defensive front and Jerry might not be exactly what the Bucs are looking for now. Jerry fits the old system in Tampa Bay a little bitbetter than the new system, but he's far and away the best DT on the board. Another possibility here, if the Bucs pass on Jerry, could be OLB ClayMatthews.
[h2]20.
Detroit Lions (from 9-7DAL) (0-16):
MichaelOher, OT, Mississippi[/h2]
Top three needs: QB, LOT, DE
Detroit hopes it took care of its long-standing need for a QB with Stafford with its first pick. Now the Lions need to protect him. Oher has the physicaltools, if developed properly, to emerge as a very good starting left tackle. Detroit could then move Jeff Backus to guard and really beef up its offensive linewith this pick.
[h2]21.
Philadelphia Eagles(9-6-1):
KnowshonMoreno, RB, Georgia[/h2]
Top three needs: OT, WR, RB
The Eagles can go three directions with these two picks: Offensive tackle seems to be priority No. 1, followed by running back and tight end. Thing is, Morenois just such a better value that he could make them skip over OT here. Moreno's versatility makes him a good fit in Philly as the short-term complement toBrian Westbrook and long-term replacement for him.
[h2]22.
Minnesota Vikings (10-6):
Percy Harvin,WR, Florida[/h2]
Top three needs: QB, ROT, C
The Vikings would have to consider Freeman, but I'm just not sure he provides the upgrade they are looking for as a team that has a chance to win now.Freeman is at least two years away from playing at a good NFL starting QB level. I think the Vikings' philosophy is to take best available player on theboard; at this point, the juice is worth the squeeze with Harvin, who could be a dynamic presence on offense and in the return game.
[h2]23.
New England Patriots(11-5):
ClayMatthews, OLB, USC[/h2]
Top three needs: OLB, strongside ILB, CB
If Jenkins falls, don't be surprised to see the Patriots take advantage of that and select him. His versatility fits perfectly in New England. But ifhe's not there, Matthews has Patriots written all over him. Matthews' best football is still ahead of him, he has great NFL bloodlines, he can playmultiple roles on defense, and he will be a special-teams demon from day one.
[h2]24.
Atlanta Falcons (11-5):
BrandonPettigrew, TE, Oklahoma State[/h2]
Top three needs: DT/NT, OLB, S
Atlanta really wants to target defense with this draft, but there isn't a player close to Pettigrew's value at this point. Assuming the Falconsdon't bring in a veteran between now and the draft, they have to go with the only first-round TE in this year's class if he's available.
[h2]25.
Miami Dolphins (11-5):
Kenny Britt,WR, Rutgers[/h2]
Top three needs: CB, WR, NT
It will be interesting to see if Bill Parcells drafts an offensive skill player, which traditionally has not been his style. There is no arguing Miami'sneed for a wideout opposite Ted Ginn Jr., and Britt is climbing up a lot of draft boards with his combination of size, strong hands and better-than-expectedtop-end speed.
[h2]26.
Baltimore Ravens (11-5):
Rey Maualuga,ILB, USC[/h2]
Top three needs: WR, CB, ILB
Pettigrew and Britt would be perfect fits in Baltimore, but with them gone in this scenario, Maualuga becomes a great fallback plan. His lack of discipline isconcerning, but what better way to start his NFL career than to play alongside Ray Lewis, who could help hone Maualuga's recognition skills and maximizehis elite physical tools.
[h2]27.
Indianapolis Colts (12-4):
Evander Hood,DT, Missouri[/h2]
Top three needs: DT, WR, OLB
The Colts are most likely to use this pick on a defensive tackle or wide receiver. WR Hakeem Nicks is worth the pick, but he might not have the type of speedthat Indy looks for in its pass-catchers. If that's the case, Hood may be a bit of a reach for some teams, but his one-gap skills and quick first step makehim more valuable for the Colts.
[h2]28.
Philadelphia Eagles (from12-4 CAR) (9-6-1):
EbenBritton, OT, Arizona[/h2]
Top three needs: OT, WR, RB
After locking in Moreno at No. 21, the Eagles can use this pick to take the best available offensive tackle. Britton has the size and good feet to fit well inAndy Reed's system.
[h2]29.
New York Giants (12-4):
Hakeem Nicks,WR, North Carolina[/h2]
Top three needs: WR, strongside LB, OT
There's a lot of speculation about Braylon Edwards being traded to the Giants, which would cost New York this pick. But there hasn't been a deal yet,and if the Giants hold on to this pick and don't bring in a veteran, Nicks is a no-brainer. He's big, has exceptional hand-eye coordination and isready to contribute for Eli Manning right now.
[h2]30.
Tennessee Titans (13-3):
Vontae Davis,CB, Illinois[/h2]
Top three needs: WR, DT, MLB
Tennessee's biggest need is at wide receiver, but that's been the Titans' biggest need for the last half-dozen years and they haven't used afirst-round pick on a receiver yet, so why start now? Davis is a top-15 talent who, due to questionable work habits and some inconsistency, could fall this farand become a steal for the Titans.
[h2]31.
Arizona Cardinals (9-7):
Donald Brown,RB, Connecticut[/h2]
Top three needs: RB, OLB, LOT
Brown lacks exceptional breakaway speed, but he's instinctive, tough and versatile enough to contribute on all three downs in the NFL right now. Arizonadoesn't have to take a RB here, but it would be wise to take advantage of Brown being there, especially with an aging Edgerrin James and a still-unprovenTim Hightower as the only two backs on the roster.
[h2]32.
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4):
Max Unger, C,Oregon[/h2]
Top three needs: OT, CB, 3-4 DE
Cornerback could be a possibility here, and Alphonso Smith, despite his lack of ideal size and top-end speed, has the playmaking skills and toughness to fitwell in Pittsburgh. But this is the time for the Steelers to develop young talent along the offensive line, and Unger's size, strength and versatility arebetter-suited for what Pittsburgh looks for in an offensive lineman and give him a slight edge over Alex Mack and Eric Wood.
[h4]Todd McShay's Top 15 Still Available[/h4]
[th=""]Player[/th] [th=""]Position[/th] [th=""]School[/th]