I probably should state my argument clearer.
I would never draft a player like Vick or even Cam with a first round pick. I guess I shouldn't say you HAVE to get QB with your early round pick but if an elite one is on the board I think you should take one him no matter what. What I mean by drafting situations is because I'm a Lions fan I know that Detroit's entire offense is going to go threw Stafford's arm. Whether they are up, down or tied. The Lions probably have the worst talent at DB in the entire NFL which means a ton of shoot outs. The Lions defense also got appreciably worse as the season progressed and IMO they haven't addressed it at all in the offseason.
I typed all that to say players like Brees, Rodgers, Brady and IMO Stafford are all the focal points of their teams. None of them have legit running games and they have elite talents. If one of them is on the board I think you should take them no matter what because they are going to outscore comparable players at that position by a wider margin than lets say a QB you get in the 4th or 5th round versus a running back situation you get in the 4th or 5th round.
I got Fred Jackson in the 6th round last year and Spiller off the waiver wire to handcuff, that situation was highly effective for me because I took Aaron Rodgers with the 4th overall pick and I would have taken him 1st if I had the pick.
1. The Saints had the 6th best running attack in the NFL last season. 7th in rushing TDs.
2. The Patriots were 4th in rushing TDs last season.
Both teams rely heavily on their ground-game, and as I stated earlier, Rodgers is the exception. Stafford is the exception now too since Jahvid/LeShoure are both hurt.
3. Handcuffs like CJ Spiller aren't going to be just chilling on the waiver-wire this season. Cuffs like David Wilson, Daniel Thomas, Isaiah Pead, Ronnie Hillman etc, are all being drafted in standard 10-12 teamers. So it's a safe assumption they're highly coveted in even larger leagues.
4. Finding a legit QB1 late in drafts is a lot easier than finding a legit RB1 later, especially this season where RBs are already dropping like flies. People are savvier than ever and everyone is already looking at tape trying to find the next DeMarco Murray or Michael Bush (or Spiller to emerge). However in my leagues last season, I had zero prayer at landing any one of the three as they were already owned.
I'm not going to play the waiver-wire roulette, you go 'head. Chances are higher than ever that stud RB waiver-gem is already owned.
Again, the only guy I see being the pure exception is Rodgers, and now that I think of it
maybe Stafford. Thanks for that though, you just helped me further nail-down Stafford's value this season.
Still wouldn't go QB in the first, but if i had to I'd consider Rodgers...and
perhaps Stafford if he fell to the 2nd round. Waiver-wire roulette sounds eerily similar to russian-roulette, that's not a game I want to be playing with an already volatile position (running-back). Your best bet is to go with an RB1 early if you want to mitigate risk.
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lol
, dudes not going to convinced until Eli **** around and start breaking his brother's records, he already threw for more passing yards than Peyton EVER did in a single-season) to be a top fantasy option this season, he can very well throw for ~5,000 yards, 30+ TDs this season.
