***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

i wanna bet Rockets +8.5 , but im already up 5u today and dont want to blow my load :lol

someone convince me 8o
 
And just remember you have a 50% chance of winning. Either you win or you lose

There is never a 50% win / 50% loss probability with sports. The problem is you're taking the games at face value.

Prior to todays game The knicks were 4-10 at home, OKC was 9-4 on the road, combined with the fact OKC was 9-1 L10, Knicks were 5-5 L10

There is no way OKC had a 50% chance of winning vs the knicks :lol I didn't check the computer prediction but it has to be around 85-90% OKC win.

The other thing that you are assuming is that the teams, and thus players, are equally talented, which is just not true
 
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Are you kidding me SICK absolutely sick
I cant beleive this right now but after the lost parlay i went into roulette. Had 400 on 2 and and 12 and 25 on 4 numbers 14-21-23-24

21 comes out and i win 1800, which makes up for that parlay the heat blew and also gives me 400$ more in my account. LETS GOOOOO 

I LOVE ROULETTE
 
400


Wild
 
There is never a 50% win / 50% loss probability with sports. The problem is you're taking the games at face value.

Prior to todays game The knicks were 4-10 at home, OKC was 9-4 on the road, combined with the fact OKC was 9-1 L10, Knicks were 5-5 L10

There is no way OKC had a 50% chance of winning vs the knicks :lol I didn't check the computer prediction but it has to be around 85-90% OKC win.

The other thing that you are assuming is that the teams, and thus players, are equally talented, which is just not true
There is never a 50% win / 50% loss probability with sports. The problem is you're taking the games at face value.

Prior to todays game The knicks were 4-10 at home, OKC was 9-4 on the road, combined with the fact OKC was 9-1 L10, Knicks were 5-5 L10

There is no way OKC had a 50% chance of winning vs the knicks :lol I didn't check the computer prediction but it has to be around 85-90% OKC win.

The other thing that you are assuming is that the teams, and thus players, are equally talented, which is just not true

I understand.
Just saying, when I'm dealing with odds of something out of my hand. It's either I'm gonna win or I'm gonna lose a bet. That's the 50/50 I mean
 
There is never a 50% win / 50% loss probability with sports. The problem is you're taking the games at face value.

Prior to todays game The knicks were 4-10 at home, OKC was 9-4 on the road, combined with the fact OKC was 9-1 L10, Knicks were 5-5 L10

There is no way OKC had a 50% chance of winning vs the knicks :lol I didn't check the computer prediction but it has to be around 85-90% OKC win.

The other thing that you are assuming is that the teams, and thus players, are equally talented, which is just not true

I think he was talking about in regards to covering the spread, not straight up.
 
houstons offense has been laughable ever since the 1st quarter . i def lost on those live in bets

**** is embarrassing :{
 
I understand.
Just saying, when I'm dealing with odds of something out of my hand. It's either I'm gonna win or I'm gonna lose a bet. That's the 50/50 I mean

That's correct, the outcome is always a win or loss.

ATS and SU are one of several factors to consider, but they are sometimes negligible. both MIA & OKC are poor ATS, but good SU. I was literally about to take MIA -6 or -7 earlier because I felt like -8 or -9 was too big a margin, especially on the road. Had I taken -6 I would have won ATS, however it would count as a loss ATS on MIA match up stats.
 
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houstons offense has been laughable ever since the 1st quarter . i def lost on those live in bets

**** is embarrassing :{

:lol :lol

I was gonna post earlier about not betting against the spurs at home. However there is still a lot of ball to play, let the game play out, then grieve after :lol
 
Damn, Iowa state letting me down big time allowing a layup with less than a second left. Ah well. Still been a great week.
 
Parlay
Dec 25 02:30 PM EST - Basketball NBA - 803 Oklahoma City Thunder -600 for Game
Dec 25 05:00 PM EST - Basketball NBA - 805 Miami Heat -575 for Game
Dec 25 10:35 PM EST - Basketball NBA - 809 Los Angeles Clippers / Golden State Warriors Over 204 -195 for Game (buying 3½ points)

today is an example of how betus odds usually **** me...the o/u on the the clippers and warrior game is higher than anything i'm seeing y'all play, so i had to buy some points :lol


710401



merry xmas y'all...i believe the over is good for everyone who played it based on all the lines i heard being thrown around in here. good work and thanks to everyone posting their NBA insights...because i rely 98% on y'all for my NBA bets :lol
 
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Thankful for iggy missing those fts....locked my clippers cover

Had a good nba day but a ****** college bball day :{
 
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