***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

13-7-1 betting singles this year. so ~60% profit not counting a few bucks i lost on parlays.

i wish my bankroll was 100k and i had 60% profit :lol:
 
thoughts for tonight? last i checked it was SEA -10...little high :lol:

might look to do a teaser and take the under with it
 
vindeezy said:
Good call on aints....line was beggin for dall money.
Click to expand...

I fell for the trap, I guess :lol: . I honestly didn't look at the game as "Cowboys are too good to be +3 dogs". I initially thought the line was a trap for people to lay money on the Saints being they were desperate for a win and Brees was back. At the end of the day, Dallas had a backup QB and was without their star WR.

Shoutout to the Rams +7, though.

I hate the Seahawks spread tonight. I'll probably stick to a total in this game and maybe 1H just to get it over it. Generally, the Seahawks start games slow and with Lynch out, its probably going to be another low scoring 1H. I know the Lions defense has been a struggle this year, but I believe their motive may be the same as New Orleans last night. Desperate team and its not like the Seahawks offense without Lynch is Patriot-like. I think they are able to hold their own defensively and I do think Seahawks secondary will bring it against a turnover QB like Stafford.

My main concern is defensive TD's, which I hope doesn't happen. I still expect the Seahawks to stay with their gameplan and run the ball. Add to the fact the Lions run D has been getting better each game, I think the do their job tonight. I also expect Detroit to try an establish the run early to open things up for Stafford later in the game. No way they have a shot at winning by going straight into the Seahawks secondary. They have to do try and pound the ball early and often. If both teams run the ball enough in the 1H, you have a very quick 1h with not much stoppage in the clock.

My pick: Under 21. 5 1H

May buy the hook and make it 22. Under 23 is -130, which isn't bad either.
 
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I agree with the angle but im sure the narratives were "saints cant even beat tampa at home and dallas almost beat atl without romo/dez etc"....sorry, that was not directed a u or anyone in here that took dall...

As for tonight....i dont like DD for an offense that tends to sputter also and without beastmode....but as i usually say....its high for a reason. I have sea 27-17 or 27-20ish.....watch 34-17 with a couple of stafford picks.
 
alota people on the msgs boards talkin bout det ml...

are they crazy or what?

i know no beast mode but...??

i have no read at all this game.
 
Yes...covers and sbr consensus is det+10 with a couple getting cute with det ML.(early consensus was hawks but the 1st pages of threads have majority det backing now).

I dont see det winning...with or without lynch. Det just has too many holes and sea knows the importance of getting back to .500(and zona lost)...let alone at home vs a team that's in dysfunction like mia.
 
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Yes...and det is extremely mistake prone. (shooting themselves in the foot constantly)..

One possible angle....golden tate relaying some player tendencies...lol...

still dont have the gall to touch det getting no less than 14-17.
 
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bhzmafia14 said:
I fell for the trap, I guess :lol: . I honestly didn't look at the game as "Cowboys are too good to be +3 dogs". I initially thought the line was a trap for people to lay money on the Saints being they were desperate for a win and Brees was back. At the end of the day, Dallas had a backup QB and was without their star WR.

Shoutout to the Rams +7, though.

I hate the Seahawks spread tonight. I'll probably stick to a total in this game and maybe 1H just to get it over it. Generally, the Seahawks start games slow and with Lynch out, its probably going to be another low scoring 1H. I know the Lions defense has been a struggle this year, but I believe their motive may be the same as New Orleans last night. Desperate team and its not like the Seahawks offense without Lynch is Patriot-like. I think they are able to hold their own defensively and I do think Seahawks secondary will bring it against a turnover QB like Stafford.

My main concern is defensive TD's, which I hope doesn't happen. I still expect the Seahawks to stay with their gameplan and run the ball. Add to the fact the Lions run D has been getting better each game, I think the do their job tonight. I also expect Detroit to try an establish the run early to open things up for Stafford later in the game. No way they have a shot at winning by going straight into the Seahawks secondary. They have to do try and pound the ball early and often. If both teams run the ball enough in the 1H, you have a very quick 1h with not much stoppage in the clock.

My pick: Under 21. 5 1H

May buy the hook and make it 22. Under 23 is -130, which isn't bad either.
Click to expand...

I'm glad I didn't write all this **** for nothing :rofl: . Good hit.

Also on Lions +4 2h.
 
I didnt play this gm...DD against a mistake prone/desperate tm is dangerous and coin flippy...but congrats to ats det backers...that ML tho........INCHEZ AWAY.. what a shame.
 
As he was batting it out..i thought to myself, "you cant do that"...insticts should tell u to fall on it and hatch it. Shoulda been 1st and goal at the 1. Literally took the game away...but heck of a play by kam nonetheless.
 
vindeezy said:
As he was batting it out..i thought to myself, "you cant do that"...insticts should tell u to fall on it and hatch it. Shoulda been 1st and goal at the 1. Literally took the game away...but heck of a play by kam nonetheless.
Click to expand...

I just don't understand. The ref now saying he didn't think it was overt, but you can clearly see he was trying to do it :lol: . You can tell by how he was initially chasing the ball, then he thought to himself "let me just bat this out to be safe". :lol:
 
Any angle on the WC game tonight?

I've been back and forth between both teams, but for some reason I'm thinking Houston pulls this out. Every angle you can make for both teams will have some sort of contradiction, so I don't really see a true favorite in this matchup. I'm basically going by the recent form of both pitchers, the way Dallas performed against NYY this year and the fact that Tanaka throws a lot of pitches that end up in the air which could result in a bunch of doubles/triples/HR's for Houston. Also, the Yankees as a team have not been great over the last few weeks and worse than Houston.

The Astros finished the season 6-2, while winning 4 out of 6 on the road. NYY lost 6 of their last 7 games to end the season. I've heard the experience angle, the fact that Keuchel is not that great on the road, etc etc etc. But, I try to simply look at the form of each team going into the playoffs and how the pitchers have performed over their last few outings. Not to mention, the Astros simply hit Tanaka much better than the Yanks hit Keuchel.

Both bullpens have been poor as of late, but I think the winner of this game could possibly be determined within the first 5 innings. I'm expecting one of the pitchers to get hit pretty hard forcing early bullpen action. I'm thinking or at least hoping that guy is Tanaka. Also have to factor in that most road teams have been winning the WC games since its inception in 2012. 4 out of 6 road teams have won with the AL road being 2-1 during that span.

I'm either playing Astros ML or laying off the game completely.
 
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tanaka gives up bombs. astros hit bombs. astros win by 3 touchdowns.


/homer.










not touching the game. don't need added stress.
 
My take on the WC game... ny has the edge but too close to call. I like under 7. Keuchel on short rest on the road, Stros hitters like to swing for the fences and K a ton, big stage and low experience for the bats, Tanaka could go lights out for 5+ then wilson, dellin, Miller shut the door. Just my hunch, i think itll be like 3-2 NY
 
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