***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

[651akathepaul]

Over 7

.8 units

 

[KeanuThieves]

taking the yankees and the over 7

 

[bhzmafia14]

pls astros. 6 more outs

 

[super t1ght]

pls astros. 6 more outs

boom i hit on the under 7, im going under 5.5 tomorrow. Arrieta isnt human

 

[bhzmafia14]

The long write ups have been paying off

I honestly don't care about the experience factor for Pitt or the "home crowd". Comparing what happened to Cueto last season and trying to force that comparison on Arrieta and the Cubs, I'll rather not buy it. I simply cannot find any reason NOT to bet on Arrieta tonight. Sure he can have a bad game, but we've been waiting on that game for a few months now. If the Pirates want to have a shot at winning this game, they have to rack up Arrieta's pitch count and try and get the pen in the game around the 6th or 7th.

Arrieta faced PIT a lot this season (29 IP , 4 Runs). The Cubs have hit Cole better than Pit has hit Arrieta overall. Cole gave up 4 runs in the 5-4 win just last month to the Cubs, but responded with a 4H, 1R win a few weeks after. Cole is definitely no slouch and I do expect for him to hold his own. I just think Arrieta will end up going deep into the game and the Cubs will not have to use their pen much, if at all.

Let's also not forget the form of both teams. Cubs finishing the season on a 8 game winning streak and not letting their guard up at all, while Pitt was up and down for the most part.

Its extremely hard to bet against Arrieta in any scenario and I'm not going to psyche myself out of doing it. The only thing I regret is not playing sooner before the ML shot up.

I see the line moved, so its not too bad anymore. Cubs ML -126; may also take Cubs 1st -135

 

[do work son]

tanaka gives up bombs. astros hit bombs. astros win by 3 touchdowns.


/homer.










not touching the game. don't need added stress.

i lied. i ended up getting drunk at the bar before the game started and put money on astros -1.5 paying +150

 

[bhzmafia14]

i lied. i ended up getting drunk at the bar before the game started and put money on astros -1.5 paying +150

good ****


To add on to what I wrote in the other post....I simply think Maddon will out coach Hurdle on any day of the week. When considering a tight game, it will definitely come in handy. The one guy on the Pirates that hit Arrieta pretty well career wise is McCutchen, but he's 1-8 in their last 3 meetings against each other (5 SO).

 

[DeadsetAce]

hockey season is upon us. going to give it a week or two and then jump right in once teams (and goalies) settle in

 

[pauliepeppas]

Anyone mess with the table games online? I never do but my boy just lost 2K on baccarat lol....kept doubling up on the banker and lose a ton in a row smh.....he had a great fball weekend go to waste

 

[49ersaaron8]

Goin in on first inning scoreless live when it pops up with a hefty wager.

arieta been wheeling and dealing may put a hefty wager on the under 5.5

Edit: didn't get in on 1st inning no runs -250 just a poor wager. May get in on 3rd or 4th in on Cubs ML parlay under 5.5

 

[xxpizzo]

Anyone mess with the table games online? I never do but my boy just lost 2K on baccarat lol....kept doubling up on the banker and lose a ton in a row smh.....he had a great fball weekend go to waste

To sketchy although I did win 1800 on roulette think it was oddsmaker.ag Think I posted in this thread bout it awhile back.

BJ I've barely ever won rather just go in person dealer always be pulling BJ or 21 at least in person I can expierence.

There's some stories out there on SBR thinking it's rigged

 

[bhzmafia14]

 

[49ersaaron8]

Bros took all the winnings of the last two days put it on a straight bet Djokovic under 16.5 games vs Ze zhang. He dominated like he typically does.

Made 2 K since Monday night football. Wooooooooooooo

 

[do work son]

Arrieta -1.5

 

[49ersaaron8]

Should have take that run line also. Took ML

 

[bhzmafia14]

Arrieta trolled the entire Pirates fanbase last night hitting hose batters . He was picking the whole lineup apart and wanted to let them get a few base runners.


I hate the value on that Blue Jays line. Even -1.5 for -115 is a little much for me against a pitcher that shut them out in late August. Price also struggles against half of the Rangers lineup. I hate betting against the Blue Jays so I may just layoff, but it would not surprise me if Texas wins Game 1 or at least can cover the +1.5 RL. Price last outing against the Rays wasn't good and that was September 26. Too long of a rest possibly?

The Rangers have the hotter bats right now and a pitcher that can rely on for a good 5/6 innings. Price is also 0-5 in his last 5 postseason starts with 3 of those losses being against the Rangers.

I may actually be talking myself into betting against the Jays . But, the over will probably be the better play.

 

[super t1ght]

Hit again on the under last night (5.5)

BHZ - who on the rangers have hit Price other than Beltre? Rangers are going to have a hard time. Gallardo has been crappy in the 2nd half, he doesn't K anybody, I think he is in trouble. Maybe his luck will continue but I'm backing the best lineup in the game with the likely AL cy young. Over 7.5 i think is money too but I'm on Blue Jays RL...

 

[651akathepaul]

Washington +17



No NFL play. Almost locked in Houston -2 last night. Too bad...Now it's up to 4 and I don't want to touch it.

 

[dland24]

hockey season is upon us. going to give it a week or two and then jump right in once teams (and goalies) settle in

 

[bhzmafia14]

Hit again on the under last night (5.5)

BHZ - who on the rangers have hit Price other than Beltre? Rangers are going to have a hard time. Gallardo has been crappy in the 2nd half, he doesn't K anybody, I think he is in trouble. Maybe his luck will continue but I'm backing the best lineup in the game with the likely AL cy young. Over 7.5 i think is money too but I'm on Blue Jays RL...

Outside of Beltre

Andrus (10/25 .400 BA, .545 OBP, .945 OPS)
Choo (6/19 .316 BA, .368 OBP, .702 OPS)
Hamilton (7/20 BA, .350 / .350 / .700)
Napoli is decent and one of two players in the lineup with homers off him (8/34)

Nearly half the lineup hits him well (4 out of 9). Factor Price postseason record, the forms of both teams going into the postseason and Gallardo against the Blue Jays and I would either play Rangers +1.5 or stay away. I just don't see any value in playing the Jays today considering all of the things mentioned. There's also a possibility of Price having some early command issues since the last time he pitched was about 12 days ago. I very rarely fade the Blue Jays, so I understand not wanting to fade them . The two times I did was against the O's (the game Baltimore allowed the Jays to comeback) and the O's again when the Blue Jays had their hangover lineup in the game.

Also, don't underrate the fact the Rangers bats have been hotter the last few games compared to the Blue Jays. This was a team fighting for the #1 seed and they struggled down the stretch in thet Tampa series. I also question whether or not Osuna can save them in the 9th if the game is close.

So far in these playoff games, the teams that struggled the most during the season against the opposed pitcher tend to carry over the same struggles in the WC game. I'm not going to sit up here and compare Gallardo to the likes of Keuchel and Arrieta, but it says a lot that he's one of the few pitchers to shut out the Jays in two games with only a total of 6 strike outs in 13 innings. He doesn't have to strike them out to beat them.

Historically, Price struggles in the postseason, against the Rangers and half of their lineup hits him well (much better than the Blue Jays hit Gallardo). I've played a lot of Blue Jays RL this season, but this is the one time I'm not . Maybe the Blue Jays come out crushing, but I don't know. I guess it will either be a 10-1 smashing by the Blue Jays or the Rangers squeaking out a W.

 

[yogetoffmykickz]

Jays -.5 1st 5

Jays -1.5

Under 8.5

Goodluck guys

 

[bhzmafia14]

I'm on

Texas +.5 +125 1st 5
Texas +1.5 -105

 

[49ersaaron8]

On Rangers ML no reason a playoff team as hot as they are was paying +220 no brainier for me. 50/50 game both very good teams right now. Also on a parlay Colts ML Rangers ML 25 to pay 280. Double Dogs.

Let us pray.

 

[super t1ght]

Outside of Beltre

Andrus (10/25 .400 BA, .545 OBP, .945 OPS)
Choo (6/19 .316 BA, .368 OBP, .702 OPS)
Hamilton (7/20 BA, .350 / .350 / .700)
Napoli is decent and one of two players in the lineup with homers off him (8/34)

Nearly half the lineup hits him well (4 out of 9).
.....

It's bottom of 7th right now so not that this really matters... but Napoli hitting 235 off price with 19 K's (to 1 BB) in 34 ABs is not hitting him well. Andrus is a bottom of the lineup, strictly singles hitter, so he's not significant. So you got Choo with not much sample size and Beltre. To me how the game has played out (so far) has been just one of those bad break games (for TOR) with their 8 and 9 hitters running into one. Price on long rest was a legitimate concern though, i agree there. Beltre, the only hitter who sees Price well, left the game, and it looks like Texas is gonna cash (trying to jinx it )

 

[bhzmafia14]

It's bottom of 7th right now so not that this really matters... but Napoli hitting 235 off price with 19 K's (to 1 BB) in 34 ABs is not hitting him well. Andrus is a bottom of the lineup, strictly singles hitter, so he's not significant. So you got Choo with not much sample size and Beltre. To me how the game has played out (so far) has been just one of those bad break games (for TOR) with their 8 and 9 hitters running into one. Price on long rest was a legitimate concern though, i agree there. Beltre, the only hitter who sees Price well, left the game, and it looks like Texas is gonna cash (trying to jinx it )

If the Rangers were going to win, I wasn't expecting them to go off on Toronto anyways. Price still gave up 2 homers in the game.

The main concerns held true for the most part and if things don't get too crazy in these last two innings, it'll definitely hold true. Blue Jays struggled to hit Gallardo, Price still struggles in the playoffs and against the Rangers, Price also struggled with his command earlier walking two batters and was lucky to get out of the 1st with no run, Blue Jays form coming into tonight wasn't that great.

I still think the Blue Jays win the series, but now that Donaldson is out with a concussion, there's no telling. I guess it evens out if Beltre end up missing some time as well.