[h2]Top 20 rookies and sophs combined[/h2]
By David Thorpe
Scouts Inc.
Archive
US PresswireTyreke Evans (center) is the Rookie of the Year frontrunner, but how does he stack up with the sophs?
When you look at the rosters of the two teams in the
Rookie Challenge,there is a noticeable difference: The rookie class is dominated byguards, while the sophomore class features a lot of talented big men.
However, when we
combinethese two classes, something else jumps out: The stark difference intalent level between the rooks and sophs. It's not a huge surprisesince people talked about how talented the 2008 class was and howshallow the 2009 class was prior to each draft.
But take a look at this list and you'll get a better idea. I'm ranking the top rookies and sophs
together, based on the value I see in them now and going forward. Here's my top 20:
Lopez
1. Brook Lopez, Nets
It's almost ironic that the top prize from these past two classes is astarter on possibly the worst team in NBA history. But that's how rareand valuable a franchise center is. Don't let the Nets' record foolyou; Lopez is good enough to push a lot of teams into title contention.
Lopezdoes almost everything well on both sides of the court and has handledthe mess in Jersey as well as can be expected. And there is still a lotof room for growth in his game. Over the next few seasons, I see himbecoming a special player.
Rose
2. Derrick Rose, Bulls
Now that he's healthy again, we are reminded of what sets him apartfrom most other point guards. In terms of explosiveness and power, he'sthe
LeBron Jamesof his position. He has a great vibe about him, too -- he's happy todominate the game but just as happy to watch a teammate take over.
AsRose's court vision and jump shot improve, he'll only grow as a weaponfor the Bulls. As it stands now, he's already an All-Star who canpropel a team into the playoffs.
Gasol
3. Marc Gasol, Grizzlies
Gasol probably has less All-Star potential than some of the playerslisted below him, but no one doubts he can anchor a strong team. Hisskill set allows a coach to run any number of offensive sets becauseGasol can be plugged into so many spots with varied roles.
He'san excellent midrange shooter and a great finisher inside, and he'll bemore athletic in the next few years as he learns to utilize his leanerbody. On defense, he's a decent shot-blocker who also has an uncannyability to rack up steals. Teams can spend years waiting to find atalent like Gasol at center.
Love
4. Kevin Love, Timberwolves
One way I like to categorize players is by asking, "Do teammates like to play with him?" For Love, I believe everyone
in the league would say yes.
Hisoutlet passes are legendary, so sprinters love when he gets a reboundor takes the ball out after they give up a bucket. He's a great andwilling screener, so scorers love using him to get free. And he's addeda 3-point shot to his game, so now he helps his teammates by spreadingthe floor. Not to mention, he's a rebounding machine who can score 20points in a game when necessary.
Westbrook
5. Russell Westbrook, Thunder
He can't shoot. And he's not a great finisher at the rim, either. ButWestbrook still impacts and controls the game on a few levels and hasproven to be a key factor in the Thunder's surge. Scary thoughts forthe rest of the league.
Whena player is as productive as Westbrook is -- despite his youth andunderdeveloped skill set -- it's a sign that his intelligence andathleticism are carrying him. As his skills improve, so will hisoverall impact.
Evans
6. Tyreke Evans, Kings
With the Kings sinking back to the bottom of the league (they are 4-20since the miracle comeback in Chicago), questions are resurfacing aboutwhat position Evans should be playing. To me, it's not the appropriatequestion. Yet.
Ona team this bad, he certainly is not hurting the Kings with his abilityto score, rebound and be the primary ball handler. If the team everfigures out how to defend the paint and begins to win half its games,then the question of Evans' best position has more meaning. And whenthat happens and he settles into whatever his permanent spot ends upbeing, he has the game to shoot up this list.
Randolph
7. Anthony Randolph, Warriors
Most 20-year-old basketball players in America are playing theirsophomore season in college. Randolph, meanwhile, has been a veryproductive and efficient NBA player. If this list were based purely onupside, he'd be ranked even higher.
Questionsstill exist about his lack of maturity and whether he's better as a 3or a 4, but I love the improvement he showed before he got hurt. He'sone of the most versatile big men in the game and, if he ever learns toshoot the ball well, could be an All-Star someday.
Oden
8. Greg Oden, Trail Blazers
Despite yet another season-ending injury, Oden is still highly regardedas a basketball player because we know what he can do in this leaguewhen healthy. He's like
Yao Ming, who also has trouble staying healthy but won't be traded anytime soon because he's just impossible to replace.
Odencan rebound, defend and finish in the paint. And he's a great teammatewith a good-natured personality. That is a very rare package to find,especially in a 7-foot, 285-pound frame. Had Oden stayed healthy up tothis point, he'd be No. 1 or No. 2 on this list.
Beasley
9. Michael Beasley, Heat
Beasley has settled into his role as a solid scorer and capablerebounder in Miami. But there are those of us who think he could be ahigh-level scorer in this league if he played in a different systemthat didn't feature one of the world's best offensive talents.
However,that is not suggesting he'd be better off elsewhere. He is certainlybenefiting from learning how to play a more complete game. After all,he has multiple 20-and-10 games this season and has made progress withdefense, decision-making and ballhandling. Still, if he does not learnto compete on every possession, his potential decreases substantially.
Mayo
10. O.J. Mayo, Grizzlies
I'm not sure which of Mayo's talents is most impressive -- his abilityas a deep shooter, his competitiveness or his willingness to play offof Gasol,
Rudy Gay and
Zach Randolphon offense when he clearly could be a 20-plus ppg guy. Finding shooterswho can defend with toughness and finish at the rim is not easy --typically two of those three traits is the best a team can do.
Mayolikely won't be the best player on a playoff team, but he's good enoughto be the best player in a playoff series. And he might get that chancein April.
Blair
11. DeJuan Blair, Spurs
Blair's free fall to the No. 37 pick may go down as one of the biggestNBA draft blunders ever. Teams just couldn't wrap their arms around hisACL-less knees. For the record, doctors were more concerned with thelong-term erosion of his cartilage due to having no ACLs than they wereabout him to potentially suffer a major injury.
Butnow that teams see him doing what he has always done on the basketballcourt -- wreak havoc in the paint -- they realize their mistake. Thereare 29 other NBA teams that could use Blair as either a starter or anenergy guy/rebounder off the bench.
Lawson
12. Ty Lawson, Nuggets
Lawson, like Blair, is so valuable because he can greatly help his teamas a starter or a reserve thanks to his game and maturity level. Thesame can not be said for every talented player.
Lawson'sability to shoot, distribute and handle the ball makes him extremelydifficult to counter because he's just so fast on the court. It alsoseems likely that he'll be able to handle a slower game, so projectinghim to manage the pace in a playoff game is easy.
Jennings
13. Brandon Jennings, Bucks
Who is the real Brandon Jennings -- the young man who tore up theleague in November or the one who has struggled the past two months? Isee it like this: If a player can play great for a month, then that isthe goal to shoot for down the road, since he showed the ability toreach that level to begin with (as opposed to hoping a player can reachthat level without ever seeing him do it).
Jenningshas grabbed a lot of attention in basketball circles, so consequentlyhe will be very busy at All-Star Weekend in Dallas. Ironically, though,it's probably the worst thing for him. If any player needs time tocatch his breath and re-energize for the second half of the season,it's Jennings.
Thabeet
14. Hasheem Thabeet, Grizzlies
Even though he has done little thus far, Thabeet has a spot on thislist because he can be a game-changing presence on defense. You do themath: Four of the top five defensive teams in the league right now aretitle contenders, and the other is the league's most improved team(Thunder). Meanwhile, Memphis plays its best defense when Thabeet is onthe floor.
Hisminutes will improve as his offensive game develops, but he does nothave to score much to be effective. It's very hard to find a player whocan impact the game the way Thabeet has the potential to do.
Curry
15. Stephen Curry, Warriors
Curry is the toughest guy for me to gauge. I absolutely love his gameand have always believed he could be an excellent point guard. However,I still see him as a bit unproven, simply because of where he isplaying -- Golden State is so unlike any other NBA system. Otherwise,he'd be higher on this list.
Heappears to be a good playmaker and perhaps can become an excellent one.And, of course, he's a terrific shooter, so he can play in any systemand with any players. Imagine him in a Cavs uniform. Or a Heat one.Wow.
Speights
16. Marreese Speights, 76ers
Before the 2008 draft, I wrote that the two biggest "upside/downside"guys were Speights and Randolph. In both cases, we're seeing why(although they both appear to have more upside than downside).
Speights is an offensive phenom, kind of like
Al Jefferson and
Amare Stoudemirein that he can get buckets in a variety of ways in the paint. He'simproved as a shooter from 16 feet to 19 feet too. If he reboundedbetter, he'd be higher on this list. But after a season and a half, itdoes not appear that this will be an area of strength for him. Still,players who demand a double-team in the post are rare, and Speightscould end up being in that category.
Gallinari
17. Danilo Gallinari, Knicks
We all know what a sweet shot he has, but it seems Gallinari is more ofa niche player than I'd like such a young guy to be. He's not asked todo much beyond shoot 3s and run, though he mostly just shoots 3s.
It's possible he can do more, and it's also possible he is going to get much better, just as fellow Italian
Andrea Bargnanihas. But even if he just maintains his current level, he's a valuableplayer because he's such a good shooter and he's eager to show it.
Flynn
18. Jonny Flynn, Timberwolves
I watched Flynn get benched the other night in favor of
Ramon Sessionseven though Flynn was not playing poorly. He responded by being themost animated cheerleader possible, celebrating loudly as his team cameback and beat Memphis.
After the game, it was reported thatFlynn was asked to go back in but declined out of respect for how wellSessions was playing. That only solidifies my feelings that he would bean incredible option for a team as a sixth man. But in any event, anattitude like that, combined with his dynamic abilities to attack offthe dribble and shoot, makes him an important piece to any puzzle.
Harden
19. James Harden, Thunder
Had the Thunder not acquired defensive ace
Thabo Sefoloshalast season, we'd be seeing more of Harden, who can help a team both asa scorer and as an all-around player, which is a rare combination.
Hardenis one of the top three passers on this list and, in a few years,should be one of the best defenders on this list, too. Because the teamis built around
Kevin Durant'stalent, we don't always get to see Harden's gifts. But as the Thunder'syoung core grows together, I expect we'll see Harden's offensiveproduction jump. If you told me that in two seasons he'll be second inscoring, assists and steals in OKC, it would not surprise me at all.
Anderson
20. Ryan Anderson, Magic
There is ample evidence that a sort of self-fulfilling prophecy existsin the NBA in the form of draft picks. Lottery picks, for example, aregiven far more chances to succeed than lower picks, even when itappears that should not be the case. Extra chances equal extraopportunities. So players like Anderson, drafted outside the lotteryand stuck behind talented veterans, have to fight more to get the sametreatment given to a lottery pick like Gallinari, a similar player inmost respects. And it may never happen.
But when Anderson started in place of
Rashard Lewisearly in the season, he was excellent. There are a number of big guyswho can shoot, but not nearly as many who can play. Anderson can doboth.
Just missed the cut
Roy Hibbert, Pacers;
Eric Gordon, Clippers;
Rudy Fernandez, Blazers;
George Hill, Spurs;
Ersan Ilyasova, Bucks;
Omri Casspi, Kings;
Taj Gibson, Bulls;
Jeff Teague, Hawks.