It took only a few days after the Knicks landed the No. 3 pick in the NBA Draft for the belief that they would take RJ Barrett with the pick next month to form. Barrett, a Duke wing coming off a very productive freshman season, is by most accounts one of the top three players in this draft class. He has been labeled a future high pick for a few years now, leading the Canadian basketball scene as a heralded prep player before landing on the big stage.
The pick could give the Knicks an infusion of talent onto their roster and a high-level young player into their organization. While Barrett is the presumptive No. 3 pick, it’s worth finding out more about him and just how good he is and can be. Here is a detailed profile on the player who looks like he’ll become a Knick next month.
Height: 6-7
Wingspan: 6-10
Position: Wing
Recruiting class rank: 1
The per-game college line: 22.6 points/7.6 rebounds/4.3 assists/52.9 percent on 12.2 2s/30.8 percent on 6.2 3s/66.5 percent on 5.9 FTs/0.9 steals/3.2 turnovers
The Athletic scouting report: “Barrett has everything you’re looking for from a size perspective to play on the wing in the NBA. In an era where teams are on a constant hunt for size, length and athleticism on the wing, Barrett brings everything professional teams could possibly want. He’s a strong lateral athlete and a relatively explosive vertical one when he gets time and space — although these factors can be diminished when crowded. His body control and balance are sublime; even when Barrett tosses up a bad shot around the basket, it’s hard not to think the ball still has a chance to go in. More than the physical traits, though, Barrett is one of those guys who has never shown up to an event and not brought it.” — Sam Vecenie
A former NBA scout’s take:
Sam Vecenie’s breakdown on the No. 3 player on his top-100 draft board:
“At times, Barrett played selfishly this season. It would help him to change his mentality just slightly. The Knicks would want him to still be the confident player he is; they just also want him to make the confident passing reads that he made more of throughout the latter quarter of the season. Additionally, Barrett needs to work slightly on his jump shot, although I believe he’s a better shooter than what the numbers indicate largely due to shot selection. His jumper has taken tremendous strides over the last 18 months. His unflappable mentality and personality would also fit exceedingly well in New York.”
ESPN’s Mike Schmitz and Jonathan Givony: “Has prototypical size, length and frame for an NBA wing at 6-foot-7 with a 6-10 wingspan at 208 pounds. Unique athlete in terms of coordination, fluidity, body control and quickness. Plays at different speeds… Has an alpha-dog mentality and wants to win at all costs. Plays with a laser focus and is not afraid of big moments… Not a very efficient overall scorer. Very left-hand dominant. Killer mentality, aggressiveness get the best of him at times. Shot-selection and decision-making were questionable at times as a freshman, especially in late-game situations. Lack of shooting around him at Duke made it easier for opposing defenses to accentuate his weaknesses.”
What RJ Barrett says about himself:
What the numbers say:
The top-line numbers on Barrett show a rare player. No freshman has averaged 22-7-4 in a season since the 1992-93 season and only seven players have done it, period. Barrett racked up those numbers as the main offensive catalyst at Duke, chasing a national championship. He carried a heavy burden at the school and his granular numbers bore it out. While he remains a premier prospect, he ranked in the 51st percentile in points per possession in the half-court this season, according to Synergy Sports. In transition, Barrett was fierce and more efficient, not surprisingly.
In the half-court, Barrett operated best as an isolation scorer and creator. He was in the 59th percentile in 82 isolation possessions as a scorer, and that crept up to the 73rd percentile when including his passes out of isolation*. He was just average running the pick-and-roll as a ball-handler, scoring in the 49th percentile, and jumping up to the 53rd when that included passes*.
It’s Barrett’s jumper that may need the most work. He shot 31 percent on 3s at Duke and 32.8 percent over 19 games in his FIBA career (via RealGM). Barrett hit just 33.7 percent of his jump shots this season*. While he was comfortable and successful shooting off the dribble (38 percent, 64th percentile in PPP), he struggled as a catch-and-shoot player, hitting only 23-of-75 shots when unguarded and 30-of-91 when guarded*.
There is some needed context to all this. Duke’s offense, despite its prodigious talent, was bereft of shooting this year, and Zion Williamson, despite his greatness, does not come with a reputation as an offensive maven. That left Barrett with a lot of the work, something his stats reflected. Only five players in college basketball this past season took at least 650 shots (Barrett had 702) and only two of them had at least 100 assists. Barrett finished with 164 assists at Duke this season, while Detroit guard Antoine Davis had the second most of that list with 107. In fact, of the 13 players since 1992-93 who have taken at least 700 shots in a season, only Charles Jones of LIU Brooklyn and Kemba Walker of Connecticut had more assists that same year.
Barrett may deserve more credit as a playmaker. While some NBA executives at the combine in Chicago dinged him for showing tunnel vision at Duke and not looking to pass off enough, he put up some high-level numbers. He’s second among freshmen in the last 10 years in points produced, behind Trae Young but ahead of Ben Simmons and John Wall. Only four freshmen in the last decade have had a higher assist percentage while also averaging at least 20 points per game.
One NBA assistant coach’s opinion:
“Good player. Should do well in the NBA.”
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