***Official Political Discussion Thread***

All things considered, I think the Republicans are favorites to win both the run-offs.

Warnock might run ahead of Ossoff if I had to guess.

Warnock got more votes than Loeffler in November but I believe the combined vote for the Republican candidates was higher than the Dems.

For Dems to have a chance the electorate in January needs to be more favorable for them than November.
 
All things considered, I think the Republicans are favorites to win both the run-offs.

Warnock might run ahead of Ossoff if I had to guess.

Warnock got more votes than Loeffler in November but I believe the combined vote for the Republican candidates was higher than the Dems.

For Dems to have a chance the electorate in January needs to be more favorable for them than November.
Still turned on auto donations until the 5th

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Warnock was already beating shorty in the general election...Republicans down here barely like her and she not getting ANY of the non white vote...Long as the turnout is similar, she’ll lose again

Ossof has a harder fight on his hands than Warnock

yeah but she split the vote with the more right wing republican
 


Lmao this is like 20 minutes north from where I am in Minneapolis. Basically where all the disgruntled white people moved once Mpls got too diverse for them. Same people who sat watch in their backyards with guns because they thought the George Floyd riots were coming 40 min north :stoneface:
 
Lmao this is like 20 minutes north from where I am in Minneapolis. Basically where all the disgruntled white people moved once Mpls got too diverse for them. Same people who sat watch in their backyards with guns because they thought the George Floyd riots were coming 40 min north :stoneface:
20 minutes north, but may as well be a different country
 
As a kid I had no idea how big of deal this moment was. LMAO
Man I was in 5th grade when all this happened and watched this non stop at home and even in class. I knew it was important at that age but I def. didn't process everything at that at that time :lol:

After watching the doc, There was a million levels to the OJ case
 
Man I was in 5th grade when all this happened and watched this non stop at home and even in class. I knew it was important at that age but I def. didn't process everything at that at that time :lol:

After watching the doc, There was a million levels to the OJ case

Seriously. It went from a murder case to a battle of systematic racism. Easily top 5 biggest moments in my lifetime.
 
"Hey dude Power Rangers is on! It's the season finale where the White Ranger fights the Red Ranger!!"

shhhh relax bro. OJ Simpson trial is on. They're about to do the deposition. **** Zordon

Kinda wild to think we sat in elementary school watching that :lol:

I knew OJ from Naked Gun, didn't even know he was a HOF RB yet. I was like "that's the cop that rolls with Leslie Nielsen"
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Made in America is one of the better docs I've seen though. **** hit on all perspectives possible about that case, this country and its systemic cluster**** of racial injustice
 
When the verdict was announced there was am uproar on the playground during recess... none of us knew nothing about OJ just knew it was a massive ordeal. Teachers made us go inside and watch the news.
 
I hate our system.

If OJ didnt do it then the courts are like, "oh well, that's it. We're done here folks. We cant prosecute thin air. Everybody go home."
 
I was busy with work and I missed this. you guys i think are way more out of touch with normie opinion on this than you think.
Sigh. This is wrong. But you keep repeating it, so you think it's right.



People like the ideas.



You've even suggested it was unpopular with Black folks before -- maybe in the home of Bagged Milk, but not here.

its correct. yes people like many ideas. I like many ideas.

but when you poll the direct question "do you want to cut police budgets "it's unpopular with everyone including black people. pew/gallup I posted the polling you can look back at my post history if you want to find it.
if you want to support an unpopular policy sure fine go ahead but don't pretend that it isn't.




i literally said the slogan was bad, if the slogan causes people to discount you're ideas, I would say bad slogan.

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^ this was post george floyd.



Poverty and violent crime is highly correlated. Wealth inequality is worsening in cities. You can address this by attacking inequality immediately.

yes obviously, but "education" is not going to solve an open murder case. and yes poverty and education are giant drivers of crime,
making big investments to k-12 education is not going to make current adult active criminals disappear tomorrow, for that you need police.

You're literally the only one who is suggesting this. You know what's going to likely lead to more crime? A poorly handled pandemic heading into the winter and people in worsening conditions of poverty. The answer here isn't more and "better trained" police. The answer is uncomfortable, because it's not how people have addressed these issues in Black and Brown communities in the history of this country. But that doesn't make it bad policy or untenable just because you don't like it.
its the obvious inference to make

substantial cuts to police budgets will lead to more crime and less solved crimes. so living in a high crime neighborhood would be worse.



This is my final point on this, and the reason that cutting police is bad policy. you don't spend less money on something and get a better product;


The biggest driver of police budgets is officer pay.

hate it or love it the social science research shows

-that police patrols do reduce crime.
-the more money and time police devote strongly correlates to the solving of said crime.


so substantially cutting police pay means cutting hours, less hours, less patrols, less time spent solving crimes.

= people who live in a high crime neighborhood will be exposed to more crime. I think that would be unfair to them.



People who live in a high crime areas deserve better, more just and accountable policing not worse policing.[/QUOTE]
 

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I was busy with work and I missed this. you guys i think are way more out of touch with normie opinion
Here we go with the "common sense" stuff.

Might as well hit us with the nonsense that gets conservatives banned from the thread at this point.
The biggest driver of police budgets is officer pay
Overtime pay, which cops don't want to reduce by being forced to work less through higher hiring numbers.

You do know what they say about long working hours and productivity, don't you? They are inversely proportional.

You do know what they say about long working hours and the probability of making mistakes, don't you? They're proportional.

Furthermore, the last time we compared asset forfeiture and burglaries (2016, as they stopped compiling data in 2017 - one wonders why), the former cost Americans ~1.5 billion more than the latter.


That's right. Cops have been more dangerous for your property than burglars.

But tell me more about giving them more money.
 
Here we go with the "common sense" stuff.

Might as well hit us with the nonsense that gets conservatives banned from the thread at this point.

Overtime pay, which cops don't want to reduce by being forced to work less through higher hiring numbers.

You do know what they say about long working hours and productivity, don't you? They are inversely proportional.

You do know what they say about long working hours and the probability of making mistakes, don't you? They're proportional.

Furthermore, the last time we compared asset forfeiture and burglaries (2016, as they stopped compiling data in 2017 - one wonders why), the former cost Americans ~1.5 billion more than the latter.


That's right. Cops have been more dangerous for your property than burglars.

But tell me more about giving them more money.

1. I'm not appealing to "common sense". im just saying that younger, college graduates are the only demographic group where "cut police funding" is popular with. I think it's possible that because NT skews younger/college graduate it skews perception on what is or isn't popular.

2. we should reform civil assets forfeiture, that I can agree on.

3. yah okay in theory. but the research shows more time cops spend on solving crimes actually increases the chance they solve it.

The study, "Why do gun murders have a higher clearance rate than gunshot assaults? they figure out, because they spend more time, man hours and resources on fatal gunshot cases vs non fatal.

part of the reason I think more diverse police forces are important is because research shows that black cops spend more time actually trying to solve crimes when black people are the victims.

I think policing should be better, and all the stuff I've read about the subject it seems pretty clear that improving policing costs money

and i fundamentally don't understand how you are going to spend less money and get better policing outcomes. it just seems like magical thinking to me.
 
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