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Because Sony has historically proven that when not tested, they get complacent.How do you figure this?
Playstation needs no Starfield, Fallout, Elder Scrolls like it needs a hole in the head.
Basically the only AAA Western RPG you're getting on Playstation is from CD Projekt Red (edit: and BioWare who a shell of their former self at this point) now.
The resources to build up a Bethesda style studio would take years and years for Sony to reach. It's not going to happen.
You mention Bioware being a shell, but Bethesda isn't?
Baldurs Gate and Diablo are still on Playstation. I'd also argue Japanese studios are making branching out in to that style.
I just think strong Microsoft is a positive for the industry.