2020-21 NBA Offseason thread: Officially a wrap

[reformeDWS]

First day of practice with a new coach and all they exchanged was a greeting?

Definitely out of there yesterday

Poor Silas though

he didn't practice and isn't cleared to practice until he registered something like 6 more negative covid tests.

 

[Fozz]

Silas already off to a hot start with Harden. lol.

 

[HIM]

I saw Harden picking up food at the Cafe Rio across from the Lakewood mall. He said a trade to the Clippers is already done. Just need to tie some loose ends.

 

[Vincent Van Goat]

I saw Harden picking up food at the Cafe Rio across from the Lakewood mall. He said a trade to the Clippers is already done. Just need to tie some loose ends.

Leave the Lakewood mall out of your hijinks

 

[tay1]

I saw Harden picking up food at the Cafe Rio across from the Lakewood mall. He said a trade to the Clippers is already done. Just need to tie some loose ends.

Cafe Rio looks so fire on IG. Had their food once and was dissapoint

 

[lynchpin33]

its cool to see all of these ex athletes with their own outlet. The authenticity is greatly appreciated as opposed to the usual SAS, Skip Bayless types.

All Fire
I am an Athlete
All the smoke
Knuckleheads
Gilbert Arenas POD
Old Man and the 3

All Fire is whom?

 

[xxpizzo]

curious to see who sixers go with starting 5

IMO seth gotta be involved and possibly put shake as a 6th man

 

[smedroc]

Russ cosigned and vouched for him yet they sent him packing though

aepps20 been speaking this into existence

 

[frink85]

Right. I’m assuming that’s why they have Blake Griffin down in the 60s.

good call, hes at 65

Spoiler: 100-51

We are ranking the top NBA players for the 10th year.

Who will be the best players this season?

To get the final NBArank prediction, we asked our expert panel to vote on pairs of players: LeBron James vs. Giannis Antetokounmpo. Stephen Curry vs. James Harden. Zion Williamson vs. Ja Morant.

We asked, "Which player will be better in 2020-21?" Voters had to predict what they expected from each player in the 2020-21 regular season and postseason.

Here are the first 50 players, from No. 100 down to No. 51:

​

100. Joe Harris

Brooklyn Nets | SF

Previous rank: 89

2020-21 projected RPM: 3.4*

Swing skill: Harris provides another viable offensive option if defenders sag off him to double-team Kyrie Irving or Kevin Durant. He started in all 69 games he played in last season, shooting 48% from the field and 42% from 3 on nearly six attempts per game. Re-signing Harris was the team's priority this offseason, and Brooklyn brought him back on a 4-year, $75 million deal. -- Malika Andrews

*RPM is a player's estimated on-court impact on team performance, measured in net point differential per 100 offensive and defensive possessions.

​

99. Marcus Morris Sr.

LA Clippers | SF

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.0

Swing skill: Morris was one of the Clippers to play well in the playoffs, averaging 11.8 points and shooting 47.5% from 3. He will be counted on even more to be the team's enforcer while providing defensive versatility, shooting and physicality. After signing a $64 million contract, Morris' impact could be greater in his first full season with the team, and he might even emerge as more of a leader. -- Ohm Youngmisuk

​

98. Otto Porter Jr.

Chicago Bulls | SF

Previous rank: 90

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.7

Cause for concern: For Otto Porter Jr., it's staying healthy. A left foot fracture sidelined him for 51 total games last season, so availability is certainly in question when it comes to him. Porter is a proven scorer who can also make plays and will likely start. New Bulls coach Billy Donovan is a players' coach who can possibly bring the best out of him. -- Eric Woodyard

​

97. Derrick White

San Antonio Spurs | SG

Previous rank: 100

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.4

Swing skill: Previously a below-average 3-point shooter, White knocked down 3.1 triples per game at a 39% clip in seven bubble games, averaging 18.9 PPG and 5.0 APG. Given White's defensive value, he's a lot better just than a top-100 player if he can maintain that level of volume and accuracy -- he ranked 12th in my wins above replacement player metric in seeding games. -- Kevin Pelton

​

96. Marc Gasol

Los Angeles Lakers | C

Previous rank: 61

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.4

Cause for concern: Gasol averaged career lows in points per game (7.5) and rebounds (6.3) for the Toronto Raptors during the regular season last year, and he was even less effective in the playoffs. The three-time All-Star put up just 6.0 points on 39.1% shooting (18.5% from 3) and 4.4 boards in 11 postseason games in the bubble. -- Dave McMenamin

​

95. LaMarcus Aldridge

San Antonio Spurs | C

Previous rank: 41

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.6

Cause for concern: Aldridge's scoring average has dropped in each of the past two seasons, from 23.1 PPG down to 18.9 PPG last season. Aldridge's rebounds also declined last season (from 9.2 RPG to 7.4 RPG), and he also missed 19 games due to injury, most of his career. Aldridge is also 35 years old and preparing for his 15th NBA season. -- André Snellings

​

94. Jarrett Allen

Brooklyn Nets | C

Previous rank: 95

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.6

One big question: The Nets will have to decide who will start at center: Allen or DeAndre Jordan. The youngster was moved to the second unit behind Jordan last season, but in the bubble, Allen was Brooklyn's only true center and showed improvement in his passing and finishing around the rim. -- Andrews

​

93. Ricky Rubio

Minnesota Timberwolves | PG

Previous rank: 84

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.4

Secret skill: He never quite lived up to the Pistol Pete-level hype, but Rubio has cemented himself in a pretty high-tier category: He's a reliable point guard. What you see is what you're going to get, and while he has never been a great shooter or scorer, Rubio can sneak up on you if you sleep on him. He had 14 games scoring 20 or more points last season. -- Royce Young

​

92. Mitchell Robinson

New York Knicks | C

Previous rank: 98

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.1

One big question: The Knicks don't have much to brag about these days, but Robinson is an exception. The 22-year-old 7-footer is one of the most athletic young bigs in the league. Still, Robinson's offensive game is too raw and too one-dimensional, and the big question is whether he can refine and expand his portfolio. If he can, he'll be ranked higher next year. -- Kirk Goldsberry

​

91. Seth Curry

Philadelphia 76ers | SG

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.6

One big question: Curry should slot into the starting shooting guard spot for Philadelphia, playing next to Danny Green and Ben Simmons on the wings. But as the clear weak link in that starting five defensively, will Curry be able to hang tough enough at that end to stay on the court for long stretches? The Sixers need him out there to keep the floor spaced for Simmons, Tobias Harris and Joel Embiid. -- Tim Bontemps

​

90. Patrick Beverley

LA Clippers | PG

Previous rank: 79

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.4

One big question: The Clippers had chemistry issues last season. The Clippers also could have used more leadership, and they have a big need for a playmaker at point guard. Beverley will continue to be one of the most dogged defenders in the league and provide energy and hustle. But it remains to be seen what new coach Ty Lue does at point guard, and who he will finish games with. -- Youngmisuk

​

89. Joe Ingles

Utah Jazz | SF

Previous rank: 62

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.2

Swing skill: Ingles is Utah's best facilitator, particularly in the pick-and-roll. The affable Aussie struggled as he attempted to transition to a sixth man role early last season, in large part because he wasn't paired with a big man who was a strong finisher. Ingles is ecstatic about the return of C Derrick Favors, the recipient of 102 Ingles dimes in 2018-19, according to NBA.com/stats data. -- Tim MacMahon

​

88. Jerami Grant

Detroit Pistons | SF

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: -1.2

Cause for concern: During Denver's run to the conference finals, Grant moved from backing up at power forward to starting at small forward and serving as Denver's wing stopper. He cashed in on a three-year, $60 million deal with the Pistons, who intend to put the ball in his hands more frequently. That's a new skill for Grant, who ran just 69 pick-and-rolls in all of 2019-20, per Second Spectrum tracking. -- Pelton

​

87. Buddy Hield

Sacramento Kings | SG

Previous rank: 59

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.3

One thing to watch for: Hield bristled at his bench role last season; is it prudent for him to automatically assume that spot with the first unit this season? In 44 games as a starter, Hield averaged 20 points but shot poorly (41.6% overall, 36% 3s). In 28 games as a reserve, his scoring suffered slightly (17.9 points), but he was far more efficient (45.4% overall, 45.1% 3s). -- McMenamin

​

86. Brook Lopez

Milwaukee Bucks | C

Previous rank: 80

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.2

Swing skill: Lopez held his own inside. Not only was he named to the NBA All-Defensive Second Team for the first time, Lopez also helped Milwaukee finish with the league's best defensive efficiency rating for the second consecutive season while establishing himself as a strong rim protector. As with Giannis Antetokounmpo and the rest of the Bucks, Lopez' challenge will be translating that regular-season success into the postseason. -- Woodyard

​

85. Danilo Gallinari

Atlanta Hawks | PF

Previous rank: 91

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.1

One big question: How will he play as a reserve? Gallinari will be in an unfamiliar role this year in Atlanta -- coming off the bench. He's started 88.5% of his career games and hasn't had a consistent off-the-bench role since 2014-15, when he was coming back from a torn ACL that wiped out his previous season. How he adapts to a new role will be key to the Hawks' success this season. -- Andrew Lopez

​

84. John Collins

Atlanta Hawks | PF

Previous rank: 47

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.8

What to watch for: Collins has evolved into an offensive force over his three seasons in Atlanta. Last season, there wasn't a higher-usage player in the NBA who compiled a better true shooting percentage. He's an aggressive rebounder, a 40% shooter from 3 and a threat off the dribble. If Collins can learn the art of rim protection and surviving the switch, he has the potential to be one of the league's most indispensable big men. -- Kevin Arnovitz

​

83. Dejounte Murray

San Antonio Spurs | PG

Previous rank: 71

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.0

Secret skill: Murray returned last season with a much improved jump shot. He took almost twice as many long midrange jumpers and more than three times as many 3s last season than in 2017-18, increasing his field goal percentage dramatically in both ranges. His free throw percentage also jumped almost 10 points. Shooting could lead the uber-athletic Murray toward making strides as an impact offensive player this season. -- Snellings

​

82. DeMar DeRozan

San Antonio Spurs | SF

Previous rank: 46

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.9

Secret skill: Charles Barkley once called former Spurs superstar Tim Duncan "Groundhog Day" because he was so consistent. DeRozan has inherited that mantle. DeRozan's three-year averages (22.1 PPG, 5.7 APG, 5.1 RPG) are almost exactly the same as his last season averages (22.1 PPG, 5.6 APG, 5.5 RPG). The Spurs can concentrate on putting the best pieces around DeRozan to take advantage of what he does. -- Snellings

​

81. John Wall

Houston Rockets | PG

Previous rank: NR (32 in 2018-19)

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.0

Swing skill: Wall was one of the fastest players with the ball the league has ever seen, a Hall of Fame-type talent. But knee and Achilles injuries halted his career, and the Wizards had to attach a draft pick to offload his contract. With nearly two years off, he has had the time and now he has all the motivation in the world to recapture some of the talent that made him special. -- Brian Windhorst

​

80. Josh Richardson

Dallas Mavericks | SG

Previous rank: 86

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.1

One thing to watch for: Will Richardson's 3-point percentage (36.3 for his career) soar with Luka Doncic setting him up? Dallas eagerly sacrificed spacing for defense by swapping Seth Curry for Richardson. But the Mavericks have good reason to believe Richardson will enjoy his best shooting season in Dallas (see: Tim Hardaway Jr.). -- MacMahon

​

79. Dennis Schroder

Los Angeles Lakers | PG

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.5

Swing skill: The Lakers traded away Danny Green to acquire Schroder, and there is one category in particular where Schroder could make a difference. Schroder shot 39.5% on open 3s (closest defender being four feet away or more) and 42.4% on catch-and-shoot 3s for the Oklahoma City Thunder last season, according to Second Spectrum tracking. Green shot just 36.3% on open 3s and 37.2% on catch-and-shoot 3s. -- McMenamin

​

78. Aaron Gordon

Orlando Magic | PF

Previous rank: 45

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.5

One big question: Has the clock run out on Gordon's potential? At age 25, having seen his scoring average decrease in each of the past two seasons, it might be time to accept Gordon is what he has always been: a versatile defender capable of playing either forward spot but a below-average shooter who doesn't supply quite enough playmaking to compensate. -- Pelton

​

77. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Los Angeles Lakers| SG

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.1

One big question: After playing out a string of three one-year contracts and having his efficiency rise as he had to sing for his supper (from 42.6% from the field in 2017-18 to career-best marks overall at 46.7% and from 3 at 38.5% last season), will Caldwell-Pope continue his ascent now that he has been rewarded with a three-year, $40 million deal to stay in Los Angeles? -- McMenamin

​

76. Montrezl Harrell

Los Angeles Lakers | C

Previous rank: 72

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.4

Secret skill: Harrell ranked second in the league last season by drawing 30 charges on the defensive end. The Lakers, as a team, had only 51 total charges drawn last season. However, Harrell's defensive real plus-minus still ranked outside of the top 200 players last season, while the Lakers ranked third in defensive efficiency as a team. -- McMenamin

​

75. Duncan Robinson

Miami Heat | SF

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: 3.2

Swing skill: Robinson is the kind of lights-out shooter most NBA players think they can be. The difference is Robinson shot 44.6% from beyond the arc last season and has a virtual green light. The Heat know his long-range talent spaces out the court for everybody else and are hopeful the rest of his game continues to develop. -- Nick Friedell

​

74. Myles Turner

Indiana Pacers | C

Previous rank: 44

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.1

Swing skill: Domantas Sabonis' emergence as an All-Star bumped Turner down Indiana's pecking order offensively. Worse yet, Turner wasn't able to take advantage of Sabonis' absence for the playoffs, averaging just 15.6 points per 36 minutes in a sweep against the Boston Celtics. Although Turner is a strong rim protector, he must become a more efficient outside shooter to climb back up the rankings. -- Pelton

​

73. Bojan Bogdanovic

Utah Jazz | SF

Previous rank: 48

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.4

Cause for concern: Bogdanovic is still recovering from the surgery on his shooting wrist that forced him to sit out the NBA's restart. That qualifies as concerning, considering Utah gave Bogdanovic a four-year, $73 million deal in 2019 specifically to address their spacing problems. Then again, Bogdanovic averaged a career-best 20.2 points per game and shot 41.4% from 3-point range last season despite being bothered by the wrist for months. -- MacMahon

​

72. P.J. Tucker

Houston Rockets | PF

Previous rank: 82

2020-21 projected RPM: -2.3

Two big questions: Tucker has evolved into one of the best role players in the league. He's arguably the quintessential 3 and-D player, leading the NBA in corner 3s on one end while providing tough, versatile defense on the other. But here are the big questions for the 35-year-old as he enters this season: How much of his value derives from playing next to James Harden, and how will he fare if Harden isn't around much longer? -- Goldsberry

​

71. Mike Conley

Utah Jazz | PG

Previous rank: 24

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.7

One big question: Can Conley find a comfort zone with the Jazz? He struggled mightily with the transition to Utah after spending the previous dozen years of his career in Memphis and then missed weeks due to a hamstring injury. But Conley's late-season performance offered reason to believe he was adapting to playing off guard Donovan Mitchell. After the All-Star break, Conley's scoring, assists and true shooting percentage all improved significantly. -- MacMahon

​

70. Steven Adams

New Orleans Pelicans | C

Previous rank: 75

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.3

Secret skill: After spending his first seven NBA seasons with Oklahoma City, Adams gets a new start in New Orleans. Although Adams is a walking double-double, the secret talent he brings to the Big Easy is a unique blend of toughness and leadership, which should inject the young Pels with increased tenacity as they chase a postseason berth. -- Goldsberry

​

69. D'Angelo Russell

Minnesota Timberwolves | PG

Previous rank: 26

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.8

One big question: After an All-Star season with the Nets, Russell's move to the Warriors was never a great fit. He's a much more natural fit in Minnesota playing the lead ballhandler alongside Karl-Anthony Towns. He can be a bit of a gunner, and that's the question for Russell's next step: Can he elevate teammates, particularly younger ones, and be the linchpin in Minnesota's development? -- Young

​

68. OG Anunoby

Toronto Raptors | SF

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.8

Swing skill: Anunoby made big strides last year after missing the 2019 postseason due to an appendectomy. Now, he enters his final season before restricted free agency, and his swing skill is his offensive game as a whole. Anunoby's defense is among the league's best; if he can take a big step forward offensively, he will go from an elite role player to a handsomely rewarded breakout star with a new contract. -- Bontemps

​

67. Eric Bledsoe

New Orleans Pelicans | PG

Previous rank: 67

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.1

One big question: How does Bledsoe fit with New Orleans? After spending three seasons in Milwaukee, Bledsoe has a fresh start. While his playoff struggles last season are well-documented, his new job with the Pelicans is to steady the offense in the half-court and bring his toughness and grit on the defensive end, where he has been an NBA All-Defensive Team selection the past two seasons. -- Lopez

​

66. Serge Ibaka

LA Clippers | C

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.2

Swing skill: Ibaka isn't the sixth man of the year, nor will he replace Montrezl Harrell's 18.6 points per game. But the Clippers hope he will be an upgrade by stretching the floor, protecting the rim and providing more size to defend inside. But Ibaka's biggest impact could go beyond stats. The Clippers need his veteran leadership and familiarity with Kawhi Leonard to help improve chemistry. -- Youngmisuk

​

65. Blake Griffin

Detroit Pistons | PF

Previous rank: 23

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.2

Cause for concern: Griffin has undergone a transformation from a skywalking dunker to a stretch big. And even with his dip in relevancy moving from L.A. to Detroit, when he has played, he has been a star-level player. But as it has always been, his primary issue is health. Griffin battled injuries all last season, eventually shutting things down. With a massive contract and continued injury issues, those glimpses of former stardom seem more and more fleeting. -- Young

​

64. Kevin Love

Cleveland Cavaliers | PF

Previous rank: 43

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.0

One thing to watch for: Love is still one of the game's unique big men, but his disillusionment defined his play last year in Cleveland. Playing with young, shot-hungry guards seemed to wear on Love, as did all the losing. His body language was easy to read, and his defensive effort was unacceptable. Typically he has been a difference-maker, but whether he can remain so will probably determine if the Cavs can trade him. -- Windhorst

​

63. TJ Warren

Indiana Pacers | SF

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.8

One big question: The MVP of the "Will it translate outside the bubble?" team, Warren dropped 53 points in Indiana's restart opener against the 76ers and averaged 31 points per game on 58% shooting (52% from 3) in six seeding games. Warren couldn't quite keep it up in the quarterfinals against the Heat, averaging 20 points, and might face less favorable matchups sliding back to small forward with Domantas Sabonis healthy. -- Pelton

​

62. Bogdan Bogdanovic

Atlanta Hawks | SG

Previous rank: 74

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.8

What to watch for: A big guard with flair for the dramatic, Bogdanovic signed in Atlanta to serve as the counterweight in a must-watch backcourt anchored by Trae Young. The Hawks will ask a lot of Bogdanovic -- dance around weakside screens for long-range shots, serve as a secondary ballhandler and use his size to body up on perimeter threats. A strong season from Bogdanovic could provide the Hawks the margin they need to return to the postseason. -- Arnovitz

​

61. Davis Bertans

Washington Wizards | PF

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.0

One thing to watch for: The Wizards gave Bertans the greenest of lights from 3, turning him from a useful reserve to a feared marksman whose 4.5 3-pointers per 36 minutes led the NBA. Now that Washington has rewarded Bertans with a new five-year, $80 million contract, we'll see what kind of pick-and-pop game he can develop with new Wizards point guard Russell Westbrook. -- Pelton

​

60. Robert Covington

Portland Trail Blazers | PF

Previous rank: 97

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.4

Swing skill: Portland gave up two first-round picks for Covington because the Trail Blazers needed to drastically improve a defense that ranked 27th in the league last season. At 6-foot-7 with a 7-foot-2 wingspan, Covington can disrupt offenses on the perimeter and at the rim, especially excelling as a help defender. Covington ranked second in the NBA in deflections (237) and tied for 10th in blocks (93) last season. -- MacMahon

​

59. Tyler Herro

Miami Heat | SG

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.2

Secret talent: Herro plays with no fear. It's the trait that has defined his career and one that helped elevate the Heat into the Finals. He isn't afraid to take big shots, and his teammates aren't afraid to give him the ball because they know he won't back down from the challenge. Herro plays with a swagger that the rest of his teammates appreciate. -- Friedell

​

58. Goran Dragic

Miami Heat | PG

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.0

One thing to watch: Goran Dragic is beloved in the Heat locker room. But he's also 34 years old and he dealt with a foot injury throughout the Finals; can he put up the same high numbers (16.2 points and 5.1 assists) that he did last season again? The key for Dragic will be to stay on the floor and provide the stability that defined his postseason run. -- Friedell

​

57. Tobias Harris

Philadelphia 76ers | PF

Previous rank: 29

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.5

One big question: Philadelphia re-signed Harris in 2019 to be its third star. Harris is now back at his best position (power forward), with the coach who got his best play out of him when he was with the Clippers, and on a team where he should have plenty of room to operate. Can Harris take advantage and be the player the Sixers need him to be? -- Bontemps

​

56. Zach LaVine

Chicago Bulls | SG

Previous rank: 55

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.4

One big question: There's no denying LaVine is a bucket; his 25.5 points per game last season was the highest scoring average by a Bulls player since Michael Jordan averaged 28.7 points in 1997-98. Now, the question is whether he can lead Chicago back to relevance. LaVine is in shape after training in Washington throughout the pandemic, but he has never made the playoffs. Reaching that stage could bring validation to his career. -- Woodyard

​

55. Christian Wood

Houston Rockets | C

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.6

One big question: Can Wood thrive in a full-time featured role? He has been a basketball vagabond who got paid by the Rockets after putting up big numbers in a late-season showcase with the losing Pistons. New coach Stephen Silas points to Kristaps Porzingis' role in Dallas -- a big man who scores as a roller and popper -- as what he envisions for Wood in Houston. -- MacMahon

​

54. Lonzo Ball

New Orleans Pelicans | PG

Previous rank: 68

2020-21 projected RPM: 3.3

Cause for concern: Which Ball shows up? From Dec. 23 to March 11, Ball averaged 13.8 points, 8.1 assists and 7.2 rebounds while shooting 40.9% from deep. In the bubble, though, Ball's respective averages dipped to 7.1, 6.6 and 5.0 while he shot 28.1% from 3. The Pelicans would love to have the Ball who showed that confidence last winter when this season starts. -- Lopez

​

53. Jusuf Nurkic

Portland Trail Blazers | C

Previous rank: 83

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.3

One thing to watch for: The road back for Nurkic was a long one, but after returning in the bubble from a gruesome broken leg, he showed all the familiar signs. He was tough, he was big, he was skilled. The numbers have been clear the past few seasons: When he's on the floor, Portland is exponentially better. But that can sometimes be an issue; Nurkic doesn't often play more than 30 minutes per game. -- Young

​

52. Deandre Ayton

Phoenix Suns | C

Previous rank: 66

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.3

One big question: Ayton had a fabulous offseason. The Suns acquired Chris Paul -- offensive efficiency in a can -- and that means Ayton gets to team up with a playmaker bound to get him clean looks near the rim. Now can Ayton become a dominant rim-runner in pick-and-roll actions with CP3? If he can, the Suns are going to be a problem. -- Goldsberry

​

51. Michael Porter Jr.

Denver Nuggets | SF

Previous rank: NR

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.6

Cause for concern: Porter is a springy 6-foot-10 shotmaker who cashed over 40% of his triples, so why hasn't he established himself as a regular starter? The wiry forward needs to ramp up his defensive effort under coach Michael Malone. He has good instincts for rebounds, but teams exposed Porter on the defensive end in the playoffs. In order to take the next step, Porter can't be a target for opposing offenses. -- Mike Schmitz

 

[frink85]

50-11

Spoiler: 50-11

NBArank: 50 to 11
50. Domantas Sabonis
Indiana Pacers | PF

Previous rank: 63

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.3*

One big question: The lowest-rated 2020 All-Star, Sabonis must prove he can continue to play at the high level he reached last season as one of just three players to average a point-rebound double-double with at least five assists per game (Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo were the others). But will Sabonis maintain that playmaking role with Victor Oladipo healthy? -- Kevin Pelton

*Real Plus-Minus (RPM) is a player's estimated on-court impact on team performance, measured in net point differential per 100 offensive and defensive possessions.

49. Spencer Dinwiddie
Brooklyn Nets | PG

Previous rank: 76

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.2

One big question: What is his role? Last season, Dinwiddie began the year expecting to be the sixth man, but wound up starting 49 games as injuries hit the team. Dinwiddie said heading into this season that he envisions his role to be similar to Draymond Green's role on the Warriors: "If we're gonna liken ourselves to Golden State, the glue -- the multipurpose utility guy." -- Malika Andrews

48. Kemba Walker
Boston Celtics | PG

Previous rank: 17

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.0

Cause for concern: There may be no bigger question in the Eastern Conference than what shape Walker's knee will be in when the playoffs arrive. Walker will miss the start of the season after getting a stem cell injection in the knee and undergoing a 12-week strengthening program. He declared he won't be rushing back, but all Boston is concerned about is whether he will be ready for the postseason. -- Tim Bontemps

47. Victor Oladipo
Indiana Pacers | SG

Previous rank: 33

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.6

Cause for concern: After a devastating quad tendon injury 23 months ago, Oladipo hasn't regularly shown the ability to influence the game at both ends as he did his first season in Indy. His half-in, half-out stance on playing in the Orlando bubble didn't inspire confidence. Neither did his overall performance there once he decided to play. This is a contract year and, perhaps, the most important season of his career. -- Brian Windhorst

46. Caris LeVert
Brooklyn Nets | SG

Previous rank: 60

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.5

One thing to watch for: Before the Nets signed Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant, LeVert was arguably the face of their young, tenacious squad. Now, with Durant and Irving healthy, LeVert is poised to emerge as a third star. "I feel like every single year I've gotten better," LeVert said. "And I want to continue with that trend." -- Andrews

45. Gordon Hayward
Charlotte Hornets | SF

Previous rank: 65

2020-21 projected RPM: 0.5

One big question: How close is Hayward to being the Hayward of old? The Hornets made a $120 million bet that the answer to that question is "pretty close." This past season, Hayward showed flashes of being the All-Star he was prior to the gruesome leg injury he suffered in 2017. But a separate ankle injury stopped him from getting all the way back. -- Nick Friedell

44. Draymond Green
Golden State Warriors | PF

Previous rank: 38

2020-21 projected RPM: -1.5

One thing to watch: The question hovering over Green is just how driven he will be during another potentially trying year for a Warriors team that lost Klay Thompson. Green was a steady presence for a young Warriors group early last year after they lost Stephen Curry, but his play fluctuated during a lost season. It will be up to Green to set the tone emotionally for Golden State. -- Friedell

43. Jaren Jackson Jr.
Memphis Grizzlies | PF

Previous rank: 54

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.5

One big question: Will Jackson ever become the rebounder that his size and athleticism suggest he should be? A mobile, 6-foot-11, 242-pound starter should average more than 4.6 rebounds per game. When healthy, Jackson has all the other ingredients you'd want in a modern-day big man: He is an efficient, high-volume 3-point shooter who also impacts both ends of the floor above the rim. -- Tim MacMahon

42. Nikola Vucevic
Orlando Magic | C

Previous rank: 40

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.7

Secret skill: Vucevic is a 20-10 big man and the first offensive option on the Magic. However, Vucevic is more well-rounded than you realize. He is a solid defender, with a Defensive Real Plus-Minus of 2.0 last season that tied Joel Embiid and put Vucevic in the 92nd percentile in that defensive impact metric. Vucevic is also a good passer whose 3.7 assists per game ranked him fourth among pure centers last season. -- André Snellings

41. Kristaps Porzingis
Dallas Mavericks | C

Previous rank: 34

2020-21 projected RPM: 3.7

Cause for concern: Porzingis has yet to finish an NBA season healthy, and he won't be ready to start this one due to knee surgery. His durability issues are a primary reason that doubts persist. Porzingis, who averaged 24.8 points, 9.6 rebounds and 1.9 blocks per game after becoming a full-time center in late January, can be the second-best player on a championship team. -- MacMahon

40. Fred VanVleet
Toronto Raptors | SG

Previous rank: 88

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.3

One thing to watch for: VanVleet has made famous his "Bet On Yourself" mantra with his rapid improvement on the court. His next goal is to make the All-Star team -- something he thought he deserved to do last year in his hometown of Chicago. It's a goal he can attain if he continues to improve and the Raptors remain in the mix atop the East. -- Bontemps

39. Malcolm Brogdon
Indiana Pacers | PG

Previous rank: 57

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.4

One thing to watch for: Last year brought a new role for Brogdon as a leader in Indiana following three seasons in Milwaukee. Now that he's earned the trust of teammates, look for Brogdon to become more vocal in his approach. He also spent this offseason working on his 3-point shot (after shooting a career-low 32.6% 3s in 2019-20) and being able to go left more comfortably. -- Eric Woodyard

38. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Oklahoma City Thunder | PG

Previous rank: 64

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.0

One big question: Gilgeous-Alexander was the leading scorer on the 5-seed in the West, building on his promising rookie season with the Clippers. He got better as a shooter, working out a quicker off-dribble release. He slashed, played off-ball and improved defensively. He has the keys to the car. How does Gilgeous-Alexander handle the responsibility of producing nightly and the frustrations and failures that come with it? -- Royce Young

37. Marcus Smart
Boston Celtics | SG

Previous rank: 87

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.0

Secret talent: Despite public perception to the contrary, Smart has become a respectable 3-point shooter, hitting 36.4% of his triples two years ago and 34.7% (on 6.6 attempts per game) last season. While Smart has always been a willing shooter, now he's a capable one. And, with Gordon Hayward gone and Kemba Walker injured, there will be more shots for Smart this season than ever. -- Bontemps

36. Russell Westbrook
Washington Wizards | PG

Previous rank: 12

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.9

Cause for concern: For the Wizards' new point guard, it has always been his health. Westbrook's knees have been operated on each offseason for the last seven years; he's not the same athlete he once was. Westbrook was still an All-NBA player last season and, for all the analysis of his supposed decline, produced two of the best, most efficient months of his career before the season shut down. -- Young

35. Khris Middleton
Milwaukee Bucks | SF

Previous rank: 36

2020-21 projected RPM: 3.2

One thing to watch for: Middleton can seem laid-back, but he gets buckets. Witness his career-best 51-point game against Washington last season. Now the two-time All-Star is looking to shake the disappointment of last season's finish. Middleton is highly motivated going into this season, having yet to prove that the Bucks can reach the Finals with him as a second option. -- Woodyard

34. De'Aaron Fox
Sacramento Kings | PG

Previous rank: 25

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.4

Swing skill: For Fox to make the jump to superstar status, he'll have to rediscover his jump shot after dropping to just 29% on 3s last season. According to Second Spectrum data, Fox's defender went under the screen 312 times last season, the fourth-most in the NBA. Fox ranked just 18th in points per chance among 28 high-volume ball-handlers. If Fox can force teams to defend him above screens, he's close to unguardable. -- Mike Schmitz

Mike Schmitz is an NBA draft expert and a contributor to DraftExpress.com, a private scouting and analytics service utilized by NBA, NCAA and international teams.

33. Jrue Holiday
Milwaukee Bucks | PG

Previous rank: 31

2020-21 projected RPM: 3.0

One big question: Is Holiday the missing piece in Milwaukee? He represents the Bucks' biggest upgrade after they fizzled in the past two playoffs despite winning the most regular-season games in the NBA. Though he's never played deep into a postseason run, Holiday's combination of tough-minded two-way play, adequate range, and poise/professionalism could be the missing ingredients for a team that needs all of the aforementioned when the lights shine bright this postseason. -- Kevin Arnovitz

32. Jaylen Brown
Boston Celtics | SF

Previous rank: 51

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.4

One thing to watch for: With Gordon Hayward in Charlotte and Kemba Walker sidelined temporarily, the chance for Brown to take another step forward and put himself in position to be named an All-Star is there for the taking. If Brown is able to do so, the Celtics will remain a team capable of getting home court in the East quarterfinals. If not, their ceiling is probably a level below that. -- Bontemps

31. Ja Morant
play
0:24
Ja Morant explains that he's humble, yet confident, and for extra motivation, he wants to send thanks to the single voter who didn't vote for him for NBA Rookie of the Year.
Memphis Grizzlies | PG

Previous rank: 93

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.2

One thing to watch for: Can Morant lead the NBA in assists? Despite ranking 37th in usage as a rookie, Morant finished ninth in helpers at 7.3 per game in 31 minutes a night. While LeBron James and high-usage stars like Luka Doncic and James Harden figure to finish ahead of Morant, I'd expect the 21-year-old guard to work his way into the mix as one of the NBA's best facilitators this season. -- Schmitz

30. Kyle Lowry
Toronto Raptors | PG

Previous rank: 39

2020-21 projected RPM: 4.1

Cause for concern: At some point, Lowry has to experience the pull of his age (34) ... right? After two down seasons as a scorer, Lowry shifted back to a primary role with Kawhi Leonard's departure, averaging 19.4 ppg and helping the Raptors post the best winning percentage in franchise history. He remains a determined defender and savvy playmaker whose streak of six consecutive All-Star appearances is tied for fourth longest in the NBA. -- Pelton

29. Trae Young
Atlanta Hawks | PG

Previous rank: 28

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.9

Cause for concern: In each of his two seasons, Young has ranked dead last in defensive plus-minus among more than 500 qualified players. Young needs to decide whether he wants to be a floor general for an annual contender or an electrifying individual performer who leads the league in SportsCenter Top 10 highlights. The best-case scenario for the Hawks is both of the above. -- Arnovitz

28. Brandon Ingram
New Orleans Pelicans | SF

Previous rank: 56

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.3

One thing to watch for: A healthy Ingram showed a lot on the offensive end last season as he jumped to career highs in scoring, rebounding, assists, and shooting from the 3-point line and the free-throw line. If Ingram wants to establish himself as one of the league's best players, he has to improve on defense, something he's committed himself to doing this season. -- Andrew Lopez

27. CJ McCollum
Portland Trail Blazers | SG

Previous rank: 13

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.6

Secret skill: Damian Lillard has the clutch-time reputation, but don't overlook McCollum as one of the league's best closers. He slammed the door on the Nuggets in Game 7 two seasons ago with a flurry of midrange mastery, and did it again to beat the Grizzlies in the play-in last summer. McCollum understands his role, but he also has a knack of rising to the occasion. -- Young

26. Rudy Gobert
Utah Jazz | C

Previous rank: 14

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.4

Cause for concern: No news is not good news when it comes to Gobert's potential contract extension. The two-time Defensive Player of the Year insists that he's focused solely on basketball -- "That's why I have an agent," he said -- but issues could arise if Gobert enters the season feeling unappreciated without a long-term commitment from the Jazz. -- MacMahon

25. Kyrie Irving
Brooklyn Nets | PG

Previous rank: 11

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.0

One thing to watch for: How will Irving and Kevin Durant look next to each other on the court? We will find out soon. Irving had season-ending surgery to repair a right shoulder injury in February. Teammates such as Durant, Caris LeVert and DeAndre Jordan said he seems fully healthy and his lethal handles look as impressive as they did before the injury. -- Andrews

24. Pascal Siakam
Toronto Raptors | PF

Previous rank: 22

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.0

Swing skill: If Siakam's shooting can take one more leap, he will go from star to franchise centerpiece. While Siakam shot a respectable 35.9 percent last season, he shot just 24.8 percent from behind the arc in the postseason. If Toronto wants to go beyond another East semifinals exit, Siakam needs to find one more big leap with his shot. -- Bontemps

23. Karl-Anthony Towns
Minnesota Timberwolves | C

Previous rank: 18

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.9

One thing to watch for: Towns is a prototypical modern big, with shooting, passing and handling skills. He can flex between the 4 and the 5, he can play the roll man alongside a stretch big, or he can space and play alongside a traditional 1. But as he enters his sixth season, that big bag of tools needs to translate to the most important skill: consistent winning. -- Young

22. Bradley Beal
Washington Wizards | SG

Previous rank: 19

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.1

One big question: Beal probably just had the best season in his career but was perturbed, and rightly so, when he wasn't recognized as an All-Star or All-NBA performer. Which goes to the deeper root: How much longer will Beal tolerate mediocrity from the Wizards? With two seasons left on his contract before he can become a free agent, it's a real question and probably should be the central issue on the franchise's mind. -- Windhorst

21. Jamal Murray
play
2:16
Jamal Murray scores 50 points to lead the Nuggets to a 119-107 Game 6 win vs. the Jazz.
Denver Nuggets | PG

Previous rank: 27

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.5

One thing to watch for: We saw how lethal Murray can be during Denver's playoff run, and I think he'll take his game to even greater heights thanks to the addition of Facundo Campazzo. The former Real Madrid floor general will allow Murray to focus more on scoring efficiently, as opposed to creating so much of the perimeter offense, which should lead to fewer tired-leg nights. -- Schmitz

20. Paul George
LA Clippers | SG

Previous rank: 10

2020-21 projected RPM: 3.2

One big question: Can Paul George bounce back to being a top-10 player? Two seasons ago, George had his best campaign ever and finished third in MVP voting. Then George had offseason surgeries on both shoulders and never quite felt like himself. His struggles during the postseason in the bubble were profound. The Clippers hope he feels more comfortable and ready to thrive in his second season with the team. -- Ohm Youngmisuk

19. Zion Williamson
play
0:29
Zion Williamson feels there was a lot of his game he wasn't able to showcase in his rookie campaign and is ready to get going this season.
New Orleans Pelicans | PF

Previous rank: 42

2020-21 projected RPM: 4.3

One thing to watch for: Williamson was very good last season in his 24 games of work, showing historic levels of efficiency when he was on the court. This season, the Pelicans envision getting Williamson into more of a slashing and playmaking role, which could unlock what Pelicans executive VP of basketball operations David Griffin calls "the real Zion." -- Lopez

18. Donovan Mitchell
Utah Jazz | SG

Previous rank: 20

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.6

One big question: Whether it's his finishing, pick-and-roll passing or shooting consistency, Mitchell seems to add something new every offseason. This year, generating more free throws should be a priority. Among the 13 players to average at least 24 points last season, Mitchell ranked dead last in free throw rate. Having to rely less on deep pull-up 3s and finesse finishes will make him one of the tougher covers in the NBA. -- Schmitz

17. Devin Booker
play
0:49
Devin Booker fades away with seconds remaining and buries the jumper at the horn to defeat the Clippers.
Phoenix Suns | SG

Previous rank: 30

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.6

One thing to watch for: All-NBA honors are the next milestone for Booker, who made his first All-Star Game as a replacement and was even better in Phoenix's 8-0 run in the seeding games (30.5 ppg, 6.0 apg, one game-winning shot). To reach the top 15 of these rankings, Booker will need to show his game translates to the postseason, an opportunity he should get with Chris Paul joining him in the backcourt. -- Pelton

16. Ben Simmons
Philadelphia 76ers | PG

Previous rank: 15

2020-21 projected RPM: -0.1

What to watch for: Toward the end of last season, Simmons saw much of his time on the floor as functionally a power forward in Philadelphia's half-court possessions, while still igniting the team as its primary ball handler in transition. Will Doc Rivers deploy Simmons similarly, moving the All-Star around the chessboard situationally, taking advantage of his versatility on both ends, and mitigating his shortcomings as a long-range shooter? -- Arnovitz

15. Chris Paul
Phoenix Suns | PG

Previous rank: 32

2020-21 projected RPM: 3.6

Swing skill: Paul's leadership is legendary, and now he's headed to Phoenix to try to lift the young Suns into serious playoff contention in the Western Conference. After two first-round picks and two pick swaps were attached to his deal to facilitate a trade to Oklahoma City, Paul quieted the critics by leading the Thunder to the playoffs with an All-NBA Second Team performance. Can he do it again in Phoenix? -- Lopez

14. Joel Embiid
Philadelphia 76ers | C

Previous rank: 8

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.8

Causes for concern: Philly's dominant big man gets a fresh start in Philly with Doc Rivers, but still this is a make-or-break campaign for the Embiid-Simmons combo. And from Embiid's perspective, the causes for concern are clear: health and compatibility. He needs to both stay healthy and prove once and for all that he can mesh with Simmons on offense, or else one of them might be gone soon. -- Kirk Goldsberry

13. Bam Adebayo
play
0:41
Jayson Tatum takes it to the rim, but Bam Adebayo has other ideas as he submits his candidate for block of the year with a gigantic stuff.
Miami Heat | C

Previous rank: 81

2020-21 projected RPM: 1.9

Secret talent: Did you know that Adebayo executed far and away the most fake handoffs in the NBA last season? The Heat scored a handsome 1.14 points per possession on "Bam Scams," which is no surprise. Adebayo has evolved into one of the craftiest, most versatile big men in the game, a defensive stalwart who can also function as an offensive fulcrum in Miami's offense. -- Arnovitz

12. Jimmy Butler
play
2:06
Jimmy Butler puts in work in every aspect of the game, recording 40 points, 13 assists, 11 rebounds and 2 steals as the Heat top the Lakers to extend the series.
Miami Heat | SF

Previous rank: 21

2020-21 projected RPM: 2.7

One big question: After expending so much physical and emotional energy during Miami's unexpected run, how will Butler look after just a two-month break? Heat coach Erik Spoelstra recently acknowledged that the team would watch Butler's minutes closely early in the year. Butler has to play up to the same level of greatness if the Heat are going to have a realistic chance to repeat as Eastern Conference champions. -- Friedell

11. Jayson Tatum
play
0:26
Jayson Tatum hits the tough fadeaway on the baseline right as the third-quarter buzzer sounds.
Boston Celtics | PF

Previous rank: 35

2020-21 projected RPM: 3.9

One big question: Now with a signed max deal and as the franchise cornerstone, is Tatum the kind of player who can tilt a playoff series his team's direction or is he ultimately a great No. 2? You could argue the future of the Celtics is bound in this question. He has all the tools -- the size, the talent, the multipositional skill and the instinct -- to rise to this level. But he's been inconsistent enough for questions to linger. -- Windhorst

 

[tomdiginson]

Russ cosigned and vouched for him yet they sent him packing though

My man making it absolutely clear, he wants no parts of Houston. 4 head coaches in x amount of years would do that to anyone.

 

[aepps20]

aepps20 been speaking this into existence

Jim is making sure the new coach is against BLM and pro .

 

[BIG LEEMELONE]

Chris paul's season with OKC is a lil overrated because people had lower expectations than they should have for the Thunder and because he looked washed in Houston. He did his thing but pretty much any top 15 point guard could've lead them to a 1st round exit. Hell Russ could've done that and nobody would give a damn. Their whole rotation had already made the playoffs the year before

 

[HIM]

Leave the Lakewood mall out of your hijinks

Lakewood Mall fell off hard.

Del Amo Mall on mine

 

[dman14]

Jim is making sure the new coach is against BLM and pro .

rox needs to hire dan issel

 

[BIG LEEMELONE]

Lakewood Mall fell off hard.

Del Amo Mall on mine

I went to del amo for the first time in years after they remodeled. Felt like I was in Dubai or something . Had to check my account just to make sure I could afford to walk around in there

 

[aepps20]

rox needs to hire dan issel

Probably my favorite Denver Nugget of all time. I support his views. room talk famb.

 

[lawdog1]

Lakewood Mall fell off hard.

Del Amo Mall on mine

South Bay Galleria. Red Robin is flames.

 

[tay1]

South Bay Galleria. Red Robin is flames.

Midas well make that extra 10 minute drive and head down to Del Amo

 

[reformeDWS]

Chris paul's season with OKC is a lil overrated because people had lower expectations than they should have for the Thunder and because he looked washed in Houston. He did his thing but pretty much any top 15 point guard could've lead them to a 1st round exit. Hell Russ could've done that and nobody would give a damn. Their whole rotation had already made the playoffs the year before

It's partly because he was washed in Houston, no one knew of all the things he did that offseason to change his body and get back healthy before the OKC season, and there was a lot of speculation OKC was going to trade him, Gallo, Adams, and any other vet possible to gain more assets.

 

[pmatic]

Oh?

DCAllAfrican

Lakewood Mall. Ah I miss my childhood.

 

[rolaholic]

This Beard situation has Tony Kornheiser namedropping Lil Baby on the air

What a time

 

[reconic supreme]

I kinda miss the old food court at del amo cause of Jackie Brown.

It's really jarring seeing the old side of the mall on one side and the new renovated upscale side on the other lol

 

[Hijo Del Promo]

Clippers gonna be terrible all

Lakewood Mall fell off hard.

Del Amo Mall on mine

South Bay Galleria. Red Robin is flames.

Fox Hills > All 3

 

[lawdog1]

This Beard situation has Tony Kornheiser namedropping Lil Baby on the air

What a time

Like when the Lou Williams bubble escapade had everyone talking about Magic City...and wings.