2025 NBA Draft Thread

FiveThirtyEight Top Prospects

‘Stats + Scouts’ CARMELO projections for 2019 NBA draft


Most valuable NBA players from 2020-26, according to CARMELO’s upside wins above replacement projections, using college stats and scouting

COMPARABLE PLAYERS
RK
PLAYER POS AGE* SCOUT RK UPSIDE WAR NO. 1 NO. 2
1 Zion Williamson PF 19 1 36.7 J. Okafor M. Bagley
2 Ja Morant PG 20 2 25.4 T. Burke J. Wall
3 Jarrett Culver SG 20 6 17.1 J. Forte H. Barnes
4 Jaxson Hayes C 19 9 15.8 Z. Collins D. Davis
5 RJ Barrett SG 19 3 15.4 C. Anthony D. Russell
6 Coby White SG 19 10 8.9 B. Knight C. Sexton
7 Brandon Clarke PF 23 12 8.0 D. Lee N. Collison
8 T. Horton-Tucker SF 19 21 8.0 T. Ariza G. Wallace
9 Tyler Herro SG 20 17 7.5 M. Beasley J. Lamb
10 Bol Bol C 20 13 7.1 S. Hawes H. Ellenson
11 Kevin Porter Jr. SG 19 14 6.3 X. Henry L. Walker
12 Cam Reddish SF 20 7 5.9 H. Barnes T. Young
13 Matisse Thybulle SF 22 28 5.9 D. Miller N. Powell
14 De’Andre Hunter PF 22 5 5.7 M. Morris A. Bennett
15 N. A.-Walker SG 21 23 5.6 S. Brown P. McCaw
16 Grant Williams PF 21 24 5.1 M. Sweetney T. Murphy
17 Chuma Okeke PF 21 41 4.8 O. Spellman J. Martin
18 Jontay Porter C 20 42 4.7 C. Wood S. Zimmerman
19 Ty Jerome SG 22 29 4.5 T. Bowers W. Ellington
20 Romeo Langford SF 20 11 4.5 A. Rivers D. DeRozan
21 Nassir Little SF 19 16 4.2 Q. Miller K. Oubre
22 PJ Washington PF 21 15 4.0 R. H.-Jefferson B. Portis
23 Shamorie Ponds PG 21 49 4.0 S. Mack J. Robinson
24 Tremont Waters PG 22 47 3.4 P. Jackson M. Banks
25 Dylan Windler SF 23 33 3.3 J. Kapono M. Bonner
26 Keldon Johnson SF 20 20 3.2 M. Beasley D. DeRozan
27 John Konchar SG 23 68 3.0 D. Wells M. Gansey
28 Charles Bassey C 19 51 2.6 T. Bryant J. Allen
29 Isaiah Roby PF 21 36 2.5 D. Brown J. Martin
30 Dedric Lawson PF 22 44 2.4 J. Green M. Muscala
31 Carsen Edwards PG 21 25 2.4 G. Diaz K. Martin
32 Luguentz Dort SG 20 27 2.3 M. Richardson A. Goodwin
33 Josh Reaves SG 22 81 2.3 I. Cousins J. Richardson
34 Bruno Fernando C 21 34 2.2 T. Bryant D. Sabonis
35 Daniel Gafford C 21 38 2.2 C. Taft R. Hendrix
36 Rui Hachimura PF 21 18 1.9 M. Haislip T. Warren
37 Nicolas Claxton C 20 40 1.7 S. Zimmerman S. Dalembert
38 Cameron Johnson PF 23 22 1.7 M. Bonner S. Novak
39 Devon Dotson PG 20 73 1.6 C. Joseph T. Green
40 A. Schofield SF 22 32 1.6 Q. Pondexter J. Harper
41 Jalen McDaniels PF 22 37 1.5 J. Martin B. Bentil
42 Q. Weatherspoon SG 23 57 1.5 D. Wells S. Thornwell
43 A.J. Lawson SG 19 86 1.4 L. Stephenson A. Goodwin
44 KZ Okpala SF 20 26 1.3 J. Johnson W. Chandler
45 Justin Robinson PG 22 52 1.3 Q. Cook D. Walton
46 Ky Bowman PG 21 85 1.2 B. Wright S. Mack
47 Louis King SF 20 35 1.2 D. Greene M. Williams
48 Terence Davis SG 22 79 1.1 M. Brooks B. Paul
49 Jaylen Nowell SG 20 92 1.0 S. Landesberg D. Washington
50 Donta Hall PF 22 97 1.0 J. Grant M. Estill

The Sixers may take Eric Paschall at 24 tonight and he’s not even in the top 40 of this list.
 
Also think Naz Reid is worth a second round look. Has a great feel for the game offensively, can shoot, + size.

Has definite warts defensively but feel he’s being overlooked at least as a definite second rounder. Seems like he might go undrafted.
 
FiveThirtyEight Top Prospects

‘Stats + Scouts’ CARMELO projections for 2019 NBA draft


Most valuable NBA players from 2020-26, according to CARMELO’s upside wins above replacement projections, using college stats and scouting

COMPARABLE PLAYERS
RK
PLAYER POS AGE* SCOUT RK UPSIDE WAR NO. 1 NO. 2
1 Zion Williamson PF 19 1 36.7 J. Okafor M. Bagley
2 Ja Morant PG 20 2 25.4 T. Burke J. Wall
3 Jarrett Culver SG 20 6 17.1 J. Forte H. Barnes
4 Jaxson Hayes C 19 9 15.8 Z. Collins D. Davis
5 RJ Barrett SG 19 3 15.4 C. Anthony D. Russell
6 Coby White SG 19 10 8.9 B. Knight C. Sexton
7 Brandon Clarke PF 23 12 8.0 D. Lee N. Collison
8 T. Horton-Tucker SF 19 21 8.0 T. Ariza G. Wallace
9 Tyler Herro SG 20 17 7.5 M. Beasley J. Lamb
10 Bol Bol C 20 13 7.1 S. Hawes H. Ellenson
11 Kevin Porter Jr. SG 19 14 6.3 X. Henry L. Walker
12 Cam Reddish SF 20 7 5.9 H. Barnes T. Young
13 Matisse Thybulle SF 22 28 5.9 D. Miller N. Powell
14 De’Andre Hunter PF 22 5 5.7 M. Morris A. Bennett
15 N. A.-Walker SG 21 23 5.6 S. Brown P. McCaw
16 Grant Williams PF 21 24 5.1 M. Sweetney T. Murphy
17 Chuma Okeke PF 21 41 4.8 O. Spellman J. Martin
18 Jontay Porter C 20 42 4.7 C. Wood S. Zimmerman
19 Ty Jerome SG 22 29 4.5 T. Bowers W. Ellington
20 Romeo Langford SF 20 11 4.5 A. Rivers D. DeRozan
21 Nassir Little SF 19 16 4.2 Q. Miller K. Oubre
22 PJ Washington PF 21 15 4.0 R. H.-Jefferson B. Portis
23 Shamorie Ponds PG 21 49 4.0 S. Mack J. Robinson
24 Tremont Waters PG 22 47 3.4 P. Jackson M. Banks
25 Dylan Windler SF 23 33 3.3 J. Kapono M. Bonner
26 Keldon Johnson SF 20 20 3.2 M. Beasley D. DeRozan
27 John Konchar SG 23 68 3.0 D. Wells M. Gansey
28 Charles Bassey C 19 51 2.6 T. Bryant J. Allen
29 Isaiah Roby PF 21 36 2.5 D. Brown J. Martin
30 Dedric Lawson PF 22 44 2.4 J. Green M. Muscala
31 Carsen Edwards PG 21 25 2.4 G. Diaz K. Martin
32 Luguentz Dort SG 20 27 2.3 M. Richardson A. Goodwin
33 Josh Reaves SG 22 81 2.3 I. Cousins J. Richardson
34 Bruno Fernando C 21 34 2.2 T. Bryant D. Sabonis
35 Daniel Gafford C 21 38 2.2 C. Taft R. Hendrix
36 Rui Hachimura PF 21 18 1.9 M. Haislip T. Warren
37 Nicolas Claxton C 20 40 1.7 S. Zimmerman S. Dalembert
38 Cameron Johnson PF 23 22 1.7 M. Bonner S. Novak
39 Devon Dotson PG 20 73 1.6 C. Joseph T. Green
40 A. Schofield SF 22 32 1.6 Q. Pondexter J. Harper
41 Jalen McDaniels PF 22 37 1.5 J. Martin B. Bentil
42 Q. Weatherspoon SG 23 57 1.5 D. Wells S. Thornwell
43 A.J. Lawson SG 19 86 1.4 L. Stephenson A. Goodwin
44 KZ Okpala SF 20 26 1.3 J. Johnson W. Chandler
45 Justin Robinson PG 22 52 1.3 Q. Cook D. Walton
46 Ky Bowman PG 21 85 1.2 B. Wright S. Mack
47 Louis King SF 20 35 1.2 D. Greene M. Williams
48 Terence Davis SG 22 79 1.1 M. Brooks B. Paul
49 Jaylen Nowell SG 20 92 1.0 S. Landesberg D. Washington
50 Donta Hall PF 22 97 1.0 J. Grant M. Estill

Are these things ever right? I remember them having some wild player comps over the years
 
I wasn’t impressed with Garland on First Take.. he froze up under the lights. Answers were trash.
 
Also think Naz Reid is worth a second round look. Has a great feel for the game offensively, can shoot, + size.

Has definite warts defensively but feel he’s being overlooked at least as a definite second rounder. Seems like he might go undrafted.

he'll def get drafted

Chris Clemons/Kyle Guy gonna be the top UDFAs
 
Na man, I need my pg to be more ready than that. The games gonna be harder than a Stephen A softball question.
 
I want a high energy guy in the 2nd round.

I would look at this Chuma Okeke guy if I'm the Knicks.

He will miss time recovering from a torn ACL but the defensive upside is there.
 
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Wonder who they are targeting if they aren't high on Culver...I guess they're really about to try Trae/Garland?

EDIT-
 
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