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Watched Davis a few times last season n nothing really stood out but at the end it the game he always put up numbers
2025 NBA Draft Thread
- Thread in 'Sports & Training' Thread starter Started by addict4sneakers,
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Ivey refused to work out for the Kings or send his medicals 
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Only watched tape not full games, he pops on tape inside the arc. To me he's one of the most if not most creative shot takers in the class. He's got a way of getting those middy's off. Good footwork
He's just not an athlete
It's ironic they traded someone like Haliburton away, someone who actually loved the city and the org. Basically got hella bitter for being traded awayIvey refused to work out for the Kings or send his medicals
Now they could draft someone who doesn't want to show them anything
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Johnny Davis IS pretty good at everything else. Still gets buckets.
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Best part about Davis' game is his motor. He's on go 24/7 on both sides. He's pretty damn good in the mid range p&r. He's not a great shooter now but he's not a non shooter either.
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Three hours away.
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Silver selling the league away piece by piece
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Who wants to play for the Kings though?
jpzx
Supporter
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At first glance I thought that he had a bunch of Larry O'Brian chips .... was leaning to a Lakers slurper. LoL
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This is why I always say Sacramento goofed more than PHX did with Luka, but if PHX can't get a good return for Ayton then... yeah
These other instances though
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Houston and Detroit gotta be feeling really good about tonight.
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The Kings make me feel good about rooting for the Knicks
Even weed and liquor don't do that
Even weed and liquor don't do that
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NBA Mock Draft 2022: Smith, Holmgren 1-2, Daniels goes to Blazers in Sam Vecenie’s latest two-round mock
1. Orlando Magic
Jabari Smith Jr. | 6-10 forward | 19 years old | Auburn
Smith was the guy at No. 1 in the immediate post-lottery mock draft, and he remains that guy here as we move toward the end of draft week. I’m STILL not as certain as some of my media colleagues to call this a lock, even less than two hours away from the event. The Orlando front office is extremely secretive and has done a phenomenal job of keeping this thing under wraps. It has done its due diligence on all of the top group of prospects in differing ways. I don’t think this decision has been made for weeks or anything like that, and we’ll just find out about it on draft night. Also, what were designed leaks to try to persuade Oklahoma City to call them to move up to No. 1? What is accurate? There are a lot of smoke screens across the league right now. I know this is not the answer that bettors want to hear right now as they try to place their bets on who goes No. 1, but I legitimately have thought throughout this process that Orlando’s decision is much more wide open than the consensus would indicate.
Speaking of the odds, the last four days have been an absolute roller coaster in terms of the betting markets. Smith has gone from the -500 range down to the -160 range following a flurry of action on Monday. Then on Wednesday night going into Thursday morning, a flurry of bets placed on Banchero saw the odds actually shift to the point that Banchero was actually the betting favorite despite reporting to the contrary. Following an ESPN report that Smith is still expected to be Orlando’s guy, the markets flipped back to where they sit now, with Smith as something like a -300 favorite. How you want to interpret this information is up to you. Is it market manipulation by bettors who know these markets can be moved? Is it actually based on information? I would find that hard to believe given how secretive Orlando’s front office is, but again, that discretion that the Magic have shown under Jeff Weltman and John Hammond leaves a lot up in the air.
I think the pick is Smith. But I’m not going to pretend to think it’s a done deal.
2. Oklahoma City Thunder
Chet Holmgren | 7-1 center | 20 years old | Gonzaga
Holmgren comes in at No. 2 here, and it’d be a great fit for the Thunder. Oklahoma City has wanted to build a modern team with the ability to have all five players grab-and-go on the break, shoot 3s and provide real offensive skill while still being able to defend. The idealized version of that, in many ways, is Holmgren. He’s an elite rim protector with unbelievable instincts on defense who’s also able to push the pace, shoot from distance, handle the ball a bit and pass. He’s wholly unselfish and an elite finisher at the rim, something that will play very well with Josh Giddey and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. This would be a home run for them at No. 2.
I’ve heard some of the speculation that the Thunder want to take a project player because they’re enamored with the idea of getting Victor Wembanyama at No. 1 in the 2023 NBA Draft, but that seems completely ridiculous. First and foremost, the Thunder aren’t going to win tangibly more games next on the basis of taking one rookie over another rookie. Second, the Thunder have a ton of picks moving forward, but the best they can do in the “Race for Wemby” is a 14 percent chance in the lottery next season. And while Oklahoma City may have a ton of assets moving forward to try to move up in the draft order, I’d be stunned to see anyone move off the No. 1 overall pick next year given how well-regarded Wembanyama is as a generationally valuable prospect. I’ve also heard some speculation that the Thunder may not take Holmgren because that would be two skinny bigs in back-to-back years. Again, the team, in the best-case scenario to get the No. 1 overall pick, has a 14 percent chance to win the lottery. It does not seem like a very Sam Presti move to bank on something with a 14 percent chance of happening to come through. Presti is going to take the best player on their board, point blank. We will see if that is Holmgren or someone else.
3. Houston Rockets
Paolo Banchero | 6-10 forward | 19 years old | Duke
The Rockets get someone that figures to be very high on their board as well with Banchero. Following the Christian Wood trade, it seems clear the Rockets are emptying out their frontcourt for whichever of the top-three frontcourt players falls. His ability to play in a two-man game with last year’s No. 2 overall pick Jalen Green figures to be one of the most exciting combinations in the league in a few years, as Banchero is a monster at punishing smaller players in mismatches and Green is terrific at punishing slower players, meaning you can’t switch actions between the two of them. You also probably can’t effectively drop given how good those two figure to be as shooters. This would be a home run for Houston.
4. Sacramento Kings
Jaden Ivey | 6-4 guard | 20 years old | Purdue
This is where the draft has the potential to get wild. The Kings have picked De’Aaron Fox, Tyrese Haliburton and Davion Mitchell in recent years, which might make you think they wouldn’t take a point guard again. And yet, I’m slotting Ivey here at No. 4 right now for a few reasons. The most important reason is that this pick has been thought to be available in a trade since the lottery, given the fact that it is seen as a four-person top group with Ivey likely being available at No.4 but the Kings still being loaded at the lead guard spot with Fox and Mitchell despite having already moved Haliburton. There have since been reports published publicly, the most prominent of which was ESPN’s prior to Game 6 of the NBA Finals, stating that most teams from the No. 5 to 11 range have reached out.
Honestly, if the Kings’ front office has been told by ownership they need to make the playoffs next year, it makes sense that this pick would come available and is logical this pick would move before the draft. If it does, I would expect the target is Ivey. And even if it doesn’t, the Kings should just take the best player and figure out the roster crunch later. Having said that, the connection here with Keegan Murray is real, and if the team does not get an offer to its liking, Murray is legitimately in play. Our Shams Charania noted earlier this week that the Kings are getting more comfortable with making a selection here.
5. Detroit Pistons
Keegan Murray | 6-8 forward | 21 years old | Iowa
As our Pistons’ beat writer James Edwards has reported multiple times over the course of the draft process — most recently last week — Murray has quite a few fans in the Detroit front office. He would fit exceedingly well with Cade Cunningham and Saddiq Bey offensively as long-term building blocks and would open the door for the team to have a ready-made replacement if it so decides to move on from Jerami Grant this offseason. I think this one would come down to Murray or Arizona wing Bennedict Mathurin. Mathurin had a very strong workout in Detroit and is absolutely in play in this spot.
6. Indiana Pacers
Bennedict Mathurin | 6-6 wing | 20 years old | Arizona
The Pacers are thought to be high on both Ivey and Murray. With the way this falls, neither is available, and the team here selects Mathurin, an athletic shot maker at 6-foot-6 who should be able to step in relatively early because of his ability to play without the ball as a scorer and because of his physical frame that will not have any issues with the NBA translation. He’ll fit in very well with the backcourt mix the Pacers already have in Haliburton, Chris Duarte and Malcolm Brogdon, and could give the team a replacement for Brogdon if they decide to shop him to a contender this offseason. It’s also worth noting that the Pacers are seen as a very active team right now league-wide with a number of options on the table in regard to this pick, the No. 31 pick, and their veterans.
7. Portland Trail Blazers
Dyson Daniels | 6-7 wing | 19 years old | G League Ignite
The Blazers’ acquisition of Jerami Grant on Wednesday should not change this projection. Daniels gives the Blazers something they lack on the perimeter: a glue guy who defends at a high level and does all of the little things while also being an elite defender. Daniels came in at the combine between 6-foot-7 and 6-foot-8 and would be a terrific complement to both Damian Lillard and Anfernee Simons, assuming the latter is re-signed this offseason following his breakout 2021-22 season. Daniels passes really well and generally makes life much easier for his teammates with his unselfishness, his balance and his passing and playmaking.
8. New Orleans Pelicans (via Lakers)
Shaedon Sharpe | 6-6 forward | 19 years old | Kentucky
The Pelicans are also thought to like Mathurin and Daniels, who go each of the two picks ahead of them here. Ousmane Dieng is absolutely a potential option as well as a 6-foot-9 forward with real passing and playmaking ability and some defensive tools. Dieng fits the versatile, positionally flexible archetype the Pelicans have valued in recent years. But the Pelicans are also in a position where they can go upside hunting because the roster is relatively full. Why not take a swing on Sharpe, who has a chance to end up as one of the best players in the class if all things break right?
9. San Antonio Spurs
Jeremy Sochan | 6-9 forward | 19 years old | Baylor
There is some buzz that the Spurs like a big man with this pick. But sources have said not to expect the Spurs to deviate from their board to fit a need over value. They’re trying to accumulate talent more than fill a roster hole — particularly a roster need that might not even really be there given the presence of Jakob Poeltl. This isn’t a comment on who is assuredly higher or lower on their board but rather not to just blindly expect them to only be looking at bigs with this pick. I think they’re looking across the board. Indeed, I’ve gone with Sochan in this update, as his ability to defend multiple positions at the four would be a pretty incredible fit with the team’s perimeter-based core. Don’t be surprised to see any of Johnny Davis, Jalen Duren or Ousmane Dieng here though.
10. Washington Wizards
Johnny Davis | 6-5 wing | 20 years old | Wisconsin
Davis would be a pretty tremendous fit with the Wizards if the Wizards do decide to keep this pick as opposed to moving it in a deal for a starting point guard. Davis has the kind of two-way upside that teams love on the wing, as he’s excellent as a tough switchable defender and he’s good at creating his own shot. I buy Davis as a starting quality player at some point in his career, as he’s a worker with a pretty terrific mindset and demeanor. The Wizards are in a bit of a weird spot if they end up having to keep the pick and Davis ends up off the board at No. 9 to the Spurs if the top-eight fall the way they have here.
11. New York Knicks
AJ Griffin | 6-6 forward | 18 years old | Duke
Griffin is one of the more difficult players to gauge in this class because of his injury history. Teams will absolutely want to get a look at his medicals before selecting him after he missed large portions of his final two high school seasons and then had a knee injury in the preseason prior to his freshman year at Duke. That — along with his inconsistent defensive play this past season — gives him a bit of a wider range on draft night than you would expect for a wing who is this kind of potentially elite shooter. He hit 45 percent from 3 this past season and has as much natural touch as any player in the class. Anywhere starting from mid-lottery to just outside of the lottery is on the table though. The Knicks are one of the teams that have done due diligence into the bigs in this range too, as Mitchell Robinson is an unrestricted free agent and Nerlens Noel is thought to be available in trade scenarios.
12. Oklahoma City Thunder (via LAC)
Ousmane Dieng | 6-9 forward | 19 years old | New Zealand Breakers
The Thunder take Holmgren at the top then follow it here with Dieng, who ticks a lot of boxes for the Thunder as a player with a strong intersection of skill and positional size. He can really pass and handle the ball a bit, both out in transition and off closeouts. He processes the game really well. On top of that, the Thunder have scouted Australia really well in the past, having taken Terrence Ferguson and Josh Giddey in recent years off of similar Next Star deals in the NBL.
13. Charlotte Hornets
Jalen Duren | 6-11 center | 18 years old | Memphis
So here we go, the first true center off the board with Duren landing in Charlotte in what is basically an absolutely perfect landing spot for him. He’ll be able to run the floor and be a lob-catching option for LaMelo Ball, joining Miles Bridges as arguably the highest-flying team in the NBA. One further note here though: This is a good encapsulation of how difficult it is to find landing spots for the centers in this class. If the Spurs and Knicks pass on bigs, the floor becomes lower than you would expect for guys like Duren and Mark Williams. The appetite for true centers has never been lower if they aren’t positionally versatile on defense.
14. Cleveland Cavaliers
Jalen Williams | 6-6 wing | 21 years old | Santa Clara
Williams spikes up the board here for the Cavs. He fills a legitimate positional need while also bringing a lot of high-level skills. He is long at 6-foot-6 with a 7-foot-2 wingspan. He can shoot off the catch and make plays off the pass. He can act as a secondary ballhandler in spots and also has versatility in terms of who he guards on the other end. The Cavs desperately need wing-sized players, so Williams would be a good swing for them. One other note on Williams: I wonder if we see a bit of an arms race from teams looking to acquire him. The Cavaliers and Hawks at No. 14 and 16 are thought to be fans of Williams, so any team looking to acquire him — and there are quite a few that are fans in the late teens and early 20s — may want to call Charlotte at No. 13 and 15 to potentially jump the pecking order to acquire him.
15. Charlotte Hornets (via NOP)
Ochai Agbaji | 6-5 wing | 22 years old | Kansas
The Most Outstanding Player at the Final Four this year, Agbaji’s game translates well to the NBA. He’s an elite, 6-foot-5 catch-and-shoot player, having hit 40.7 percent from 3 on nearly seven attempts per game this past season. He’s also an efficient scorer in transition and has become much more comfortable putting the ball on the deck and handling the ball when necessary.
Defensively, he’s tough, strong and physical for a wing, though he lacks the elite-level measurements that most genuine plus defenders in the NBA possess. He’ll hold his own and won’t make mistakes. He might just end up as a role player, but his solid defensive play and shooting make him a good player for Charlotte to target when looking for running mates with Ball. Under the Michael Jordan ownership regime, the Hornets have also valued high-level collegiate producers as opposed to rawer projects.
16. Atlanta Hawks
Blake Wesley | 6-5 guard | 19 years old | Notre Dame
The Hawks are likely just looking at the best player available on their board here. Watch for Santa Clara’s Jalen Williams if he falls to No. 16, as evaluators believe Williams fits a number of boxes for what the Hawks look for in prospects. Instead, they go Wesley. He wasn’t entirely efficient this past season, but it’s hard to find guards with more upside in terms of making plays off a live dribble. He’s one of the few guys with the upside to be an isolation-level shot creator. If the Hawks want to add more ballhandling around Trae Young, this would be an interesting flier to take.
17. Houston Rockets (via BKN)
Tari Eason | 6-8 forward | 21 years old | LSU
It’s tough to get a handle on where Eason will slot in on draft night. Teams are all over the map on him. Some really have some worries about his decision-making and his right-hand dominance while also being concerned about his shooting mechanics. Others look at how much of a playmaker he is on defense and believe he is tailor-made as a playmaker on that end who is switchable two through five and can create transition opportunities with his disruptiveness. I have a lottery grade on Eason, so I’m more in the boat of the latter. This would be a tremendous pickup for Houston.
18. Chicago Bulls
Mark Williams | 7-0 center | 20 years old | Duke
The Bulls have been rumored to be interested in Rudy Gobert, which says to me they would like to find a great rim-protection option either in place of Nikola Vučević or as a complement to him. Williams falls to No. 18 largely because of the circumstances of who is on the board. The Hornets take Duren, who fell to them. The Cavs are set at No. 14, the Hornets aren’t going to take two true centers, the Hawks have Clint Capela and Onyeka Okongwu, and the Rockets have selected quite a few bigs in the last two classes. Unless someone trades up, again, the floor is lower here for bigs than you would think if the draft goes in a certain way.
19. Minnesota Timberwolves
Malaki Branham | 6-5 wing | 19 years old | Ohio State
Tim Connelly has done well in the past just waiting around and seeing who falls to him. This would be a good example of that, as Branham was seen as a potential lottery pick entering the process. Branham hit 43 percent from 3 this past season and closed the season well for Ohio State. He’s a tough scorer who loves the midrange and is seen as a good swing to take either as a valuable bench scorer or a potential upside starter who could average 20 points per game if his development goes right in the next couple of years.
20. San Antonio Spurs (via TOR)
TyTy Washington Jr. | 6-3 guard | 20 years old | Kentucky
It’s a bit more difficult to find a fit for Washington than you would expect on draft night, which is part of the reason why you have seen his name fall in recent weeks on mock drafts. Still, he fits a number of boxes the Spurs tend to look for in prospects as a guy who is excellent from a skill perspective and processes the game exceedingly well.
21. Denver Nuggets
Christian Braun | 6-7 wing | 21 years old | Kansas
The thought is that Denver is focused on adding some further depth to its backcourt in this draft. Monte Morris has been widely reported, for instance by the Denver Post, as a player the team is getting quite a bit of interest in on the trade market with Jamal Murray returning from injury. With Morris set to return to the bench, the $18 million he has left on his deal over the next two years is certainly a bit expensive for a backup on a team that already has three max players and Aaron Gordon making a substantial amount. They drafted Bones Hyland last year, but if they do look to move Morris’ money to create some salary flexibility, the Nuggets will have more than enough space on the roster for perimeter player additions. I’ve been an enormous fan of Braun throughout the process, ranking him right in this range. He makes a ton of sense for Denver given his shooting, defensive ability and toughness.
22. Memphis Grizzlies (via UTA)
Dalen Terry | 6-7 wing | 19 years old | Arizona
There is a relatively good shot Terry is off the board before this, but he makes so much sense in Memphis as a high-energy culture guy filled on a roster of them. He was All-Defense in the Pac-12 this past season and is a high-level passer and playmaker. He needs to develop his jumper’s consistency a bit, but the Grizzlies have had as much success as anyone at developing players and identifying the right fits for them in the draft. Terry’s range starts near the end of the lottery, and I’d be surprised to see him fall out of the first round.
23. Philadelphia 76ers
Jake LaRavia | 6-8 forward | 20 years old | Wake Forest
It would be a surprise to see LaRavia fall out of the top 35. He’s shot extremely well in pre-draft workouts and has convinced teams he can be a high-volume shooter who makes them. He tested well athletically at the combine and has the kind of confident mindset that tends to be successful at the next level among role players. This 76ers pick is thought to be available in a trade if the right offer comes along.
24. Milwaukee Bucks
MarJon Beauchamp | 6-6 wing | 21 years old | G League Ignite
Beauchamp has an awesome story of perseverance, essentially carving out his own path after choosing not to go to college. He worked his way into getting an Ignite contract and impressed scouts with his willingness to do all of the little things. He defends well on the ball with real switchability because of his 6-foot-11 wingspan. He is aggressive in crashing the glass. He cuts and makes things happen. It’s not an ideal fit for the Bucks necessarily, but this pick has also been widely speculated within league circles to potentially be moved on draft night.
25. San Antonio Spurs (via BOS)
Walker Kessler | 7-1 center | 20 years old | Auburn
Kessler was my pick for college basketball’s national Defensive Player of the Year. He’s a monster interior rim protector who swats shots with impunity and plays well in drop-coverage situations. He averaged a whopping five blocks per game in SEC play this past season, along with 12 points and nine rebounds. Some scouts think he can shoot a bit from the perimeter. And notice how it’s easy to see how the Spurs can find a good option at the center position even if they wait until No. 25 to take one. Kessler and Ismael Kamagate both have late first-round grades from me and are only one tier off where I have Williams and Duren. Some teams see Kessler and Williams as being very comparable prospects.
26. Houston Rockets (via DAL)
Jaden Hardy | 6-4 guard | 19 years old | G League Ignite
The Rockets will likely to best player available here if they end up keeping the pick, and Hardy is a pretty great way to do that. While the team does have a lot of shot-heavy players as it is, you’re just trying to find guys you think can stick in the NBA at this point in the class. I’m a believer that Hardy can do that, due to his mix of shot-creation and potential as a shot maker.
27. Miami Heat
E.J. Liddell | 6-7 forward | 21 years old | Ohio State
The Heat love versatile, tough guys. Liddell is exactly that. He provides a lot of across-the-board value due to his ability to protect the weak side of the rim and guard threes and fours away from the basket. Ultimately, the key will come down to Liddell’s shot, which he knocked down at an effective level this past season but still has scouts concerned as he moves back to NBA distance due to its flat trajectory. But for a team that could potentially not have P.J. Tucker returning, Liddell makes some sense as a bigger forward option.
28. Golden State Warriors
Wendell Moore Jr. | 6-6 wing | 20 years old | Duke
The Warriors won the title in large part because of their depth of talented guys across the positional spectrum. That core is about to get even more expensive moving forward here. In that vein, it is possible the team looks to make a deal off this pick here to save some money. Moore is a tough wing who can really handle the ball and is good defensively. He makes sense for a wide swath of teams, including many below the Warriors in the early second round who could look to acquire this pick.
29. Memphis Grizzlies
Gabriele Procida | 6-8 wing | 20 years old | Fortitudo Bologna
Honestly, this comes from no intel out of Memphis. This is a pure shot in the dark that if Memphis ends up having to keep both picks, it might end up having to stash. And if the Grizzlies end up having to stash, Procida is the guy I can see working for them. Why? I tend to think very similarly to Memphis in terms of draft philosophy, and Procida is a guy whose upside athletically, as a shooter and on defense has a chance to pay major dividends long term.
30. Denver Nuggets (via OKC and PHX)
Andrew Nembhard | 6-4 guard | 22 years old | Gonzaga
Nembhard has been one of the big-time risers of the draft process. At 6-foot-4, he’s a real floor-general type point guard who helped lead Gonzaga to the No. 1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament this year. If the Nuggets do decide to move Monte Morris, getting someone who is older and can be a ready-made backup point guard would be very helpful. A few sources have also noted not to be surprised if this pick gets moved again, given that the 30th overall pick does tend to be seen as a valuable proposition for rebuilding teams given that those teams tend to be at the top of the second round and the extra year of team control can be valuable for them as they build their core.
Second round
31. Indiana Pacers (via HOU): Max Christie | 6-6 wing | 19 years old | Michigan State
32. Orlando Magic: Nikola Jović | 6-11 forward | 18 years old | Mega
33. Toronto Raptors (via DET): Peyton Watson | 6-8 wing | 19 years old | UCLA
34. Oklahoma City Thunder: Caleb Houstan | 6-8 wing | 19 years old | Michigan
35. Los Angeles Lakers (via ORL/IND): Bryce McGowens | 6-7 wing | 19 years old | Nebraska
36. Detroit Pistons (via POR): Kennedy Chandler | 6-0 guard | 19 years old | Tennessee
37. Sacramento Kings: Kendall Brown | 6-8 wing | 19 years old | Baylor
38. San Antonio Spurs (via LAL): Ismaël Kamagate | 6-11 center | 21 years old | Paris Basketball
39. Cleveland Cavaliers (via SAS): Trevor Keels | 6-5 guard | 18 years old | Duke
40. Minnesota Timberwolves (via WAS): Josh Minott | 6-8 forward | 19 years old | Memphis
41. New Orleans Pelicans: Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 6-10 forward | 19 years old | Milwaukee
42. New York Knicks: Ryan Rollins | 6-4 guard | 19 years old | Toledo
43. LA Clippers: Moussa Diabate | 6-10 forward | 20 years old | Michigan
44. Atlanta Hawks: Justin Lewis | 6-8 wing | 20 years old | Marquette
45. Charlotte Hornets: Matteo Spagnolo | 6-6 guard | 19 years old | Vanoli Cremona
46. Portland Trail Blazers (via POR/BKN): Christian Koloko | 7-1 center | 22 years old | Arizona
47. Memphis Grizzlies (via CLE): Jaylin Williams | 6-10 center | 19 years old | Arkansas
48. Minnesota Timberwolves: Jabari Walker | 6-8 forward | 19 years old | Colorado
49. Cleveland Cavaliers (via SAC/CHI): Isaiah Mobley | 6-10 forward | 22 years old | USC
50. Minnesota Timberwolves (via DEN): David Roddy | 6-6 forward | 21 years old | Colorado State
51. Golden State Warriors (via TOR): Dom Barlow | 6-10 forward | 19 years old | Overtime Elite
52. New Orleans Pelicans (via UTA): Ziga Samar | 6-5 guard | 21 years old | Fuelenbrada
53. Boston Celtics: Jared Rhoden | 6-6 wing | 22 years old | Seton Hall
54. Washington (via DAL): JD Davison | 6-3 guard | 19 years old | Alabama
55. Golden State Warriors: Hugo Besson | 6-6 guard | 21 years old | New Zealand Breakers
56. Cleveland Cavaliers (via MIA): Khalifa Diop | 6-11 center | 20 years old | Gran Canaria
57. Portland Trail Blazers (via MEM): Karlo Matkovic | 6-10 center | 21 years old | Mega
58: Indiana Pacers (via PHX): Ron Harper Jr. | 6-6 wing | 22 years old | Rutgers
1. Orlando Magic
Jabari Smith Jr. | 6-10 forward | 19 years old | Auburn
Smith was the guy at No. 1 in the immediate post-lottery mock draft, and he remains that guy here as we move toward the end of draft week. I’m STILL not as certain as some of my media colleagues to call this a lock, even less than two hours away from the event. The Orlando front office is extremely secretive and has done a phenomenal job of keeping this thing under wraps. It has done its due diligence on all of the top group of prospects in differing ways. I don’t think this decision has been made for weeks or anything like that, and we’ll just find out about it on draft night. Also, what were designed leaks to try to persuade Oklahoma City to call them to move up to No. 1? What is accurate? There are a lot of smoke screens across the league right now. I know this is not the answer that bettors want to hear right now as they try to place their bets on who goes No. 1, but I legitimately have thought throughout this process that Orlando’s decision is much more wide open than the consensus would indicate.
Speaking of the odds, the last four days have been an absolute roller coaster in terms of the betting markets. Smith has gone from the -500 range down to the -160 range following a flurry of action on Monday. Then on Wednesday night going into Thursday morning, a flurry of bets placed on Banchero saw the odds actually shift to the point that Banchero was actually the betting favorite despite reporting to the contrary. Following an ESPN report that Smith is still expected to be Orlando’s guy, the markets flipped back to where they sit now, with Smith as something like a -300 favorite. How you want to interpret this information is up to you. Is it market manipulation by bettors who know these markets can be moved? Is it actually based on information? I would find that hard to believe given how secretive Orlando’s front office is, but again, that discretion that the Magic have shown under Jeff Weltman and John Hammond leaves a lot up in the air.
I think the pick is Smith. But I’m not going to pretend to think it’s a done deal.
2. Oklahoma City Thunder
Chet Holmgren | 7-1 center | 20 years old | Gonzaga
Holmgren comes in at No. 2 here, and it’d be a great fit for the Thunder. Oklahoma City has wanted to build a modern team with the ability to have all five players grab-and-go on the break, shoot 3s and provide real offensive skill while still being able to defend. The idealized version of that, in many ways, is Holmgren. He’s an elite rim protector with unbelievable instincts on defense who’s also able to push the pace, shoot from distance, handle the ball a bit and pass. He’s wholly unselfish and an elite finisher at the rim, something that will play very well with Josh Giddey and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. This would be a home run for them at No. 2.
I’ve heard some of the speculation that the Thunder want to take a project player because they’re enamored with the idea of getting Victor Wembanyama at No. 1 in the 2023 NBA Draft, but that seems completely ridiculous. First and foremost, the Thunder aren’t going to win tangibly more games next on the basis of taking one rookie over another rookie. Second, the Thunder have a ton of picks moving forward, but the best they can do in the “Race for Wemby” is a 14 percent chance in the lottery next season. And while Oklahoma City may have a ton of assets moving forward to try to move up in the draft order, I’d be stunned to see anyone move off the No. 1 overall pick next year given how well-regarded Wembanyama is as a generationally valuable prospect. I’ve also heard some speculation that the Thunder may not take Holmgren because that would be two skinny bigs in back-to-back years. Again, the team, in the best-case scenario to get the No. 1 overall pick, has a 14 percent chance to win the lottery. It does not seem like a very Sam Presti move to bank on something with a 14 percent chance of happening to come through. Presti is going to take the best player on their board, point blank. We will see if that is Holmgren or someone else.
3. Houston Rockets
Paolo Banchero | 6-10 forward | 19 years old | Duke
The Rockets get someone that figures to be very high on their board as well with Banchero. Following the Christian Wood trade, it seems clear the Rockets are emptying out their frontcourt for whichever of the top-three frontcourt players falls. His ability to play in a two-man game with last year’s No. 2 overall pick Jalen Green figures to be one of the most exciting combinations in the league in a few years, as Banchero is a monster at punishing smaller players in mismatches and Green is terrific at punishing slower players, meaning you can’t switch actions between the two of them. You also probably can’t effectively drop given how good those two figure to be as shooters. This would be a home run for Houston.
4. Sacramento Kings
Jaden Ivey | 6-4 guard | 20 years old | Purdue
This is where the draft has the potential to get wild. The Kings have picked De’Aaron Fox, Tyrese Haliburton and Davion Mitchell in recent years, which might make you think they wouldn’t take a point guard again. And yet, I’m slotting Ivey here at No. 4 right now for a few reasons. The most important reason is that this pick has been thought to be available in a trade since the lottery, given the fact that it is seen as a four-person top group with Ivey likely being available at No.4 but the Kings still being loaded at the lead guard spot with Fox and Mitchell despite having already moved Haliburton. There have since been reports published publicly, the most prominent of which was ESPN’s prior to Game 6 of the NBA Finals, stating that most teams from the No. 5 to 11 range have reached out.
Honestly, if the Kings’ front office has been told by ownership they need to make the playoffs next year, it makes sense that this pick would come available and is logical this pick would move before the draft. If it does, I would expect the target is Ivey. And even if it doesn’t, the Kings should just take the best player and figure out the roster crunch later. Having said that, the connection here with Keegan Murray is real, and if the team does not get an offer to its liking, Murray is legitimately in play. Our Shams Charania noted earlier this week that the Kings are getting more comfortable with making a selection here.
5. Detroit Pistons
Keegan Murray | 6-8 forward | 21 years old | Iowa
As our Pistons’ beat writer James Edwards has reported multiple times over the course of the draft process — most recently last week — Murray has quite a few fans in the Detroit front office. He would fit exceedingly well with Cade Cunningham and Saddiq Bey offensively as long-term building blocks and would open the door for the team to have a ready-made replacement if it so decides to move on from Jerami Grant this offseason. I think this one would come down to Murray or Arizona wing Bennedict Mathurin. Mathurin had a very strong workout in Detroit and is absolutely in play in this spot.
6. Indiana Pacers
Bennedict Mathurin | 6-6 wing | 20 years old | Arizona
The Pacers are thought to be high on both Ivey and Murray. With the way this falls, neither is available, and the team here selects Mathurin, an athletic shot maker at 6-foot-6 who should be able to step in relatively early because of his ability to play without the ball as a scorer and because of his physical frame that will not have any issues with the NBA translation. He’ll fit in very well with the backcourt mix the Pacers already have in Haliburton, Chris Duarte and Malcolm Brogdon, and could give the team a replacement for Brogdon if they decide to shop him to a contender this offseason. It’s also worth noting that the Pacers are seen as a very active team right now league-wide with a number of options on the table in regard to this pick, the No. 31 pick, and their veterans.
7. Portland Trail Blazers
Dyson Daniels | 6-7 wing | 19 years old | G League Ignite
The Blazers’ acquisition of Jerami Grant on Wednesday should not change this projection. Daniels gives the Blazers something they lack on the perimeter: a glue guy who defends at a high level and does all of the little things while also being an elite defender. Daniels came in at the combine between 6-foot-7 and 6-foot-8 and would be a terrific complement to both Damian Lillard and Anfernee Simons, assuming the latter is re-signed this offseason following his breakout 2021-22 season. Daniels passes really well and generally makes life much easier for his teammates with his unselfishness, his balance and his passing and playmaking.
8. New Orleans Pelicans (via Lakers)
Shaedon Sharpe | 6-6 forward | 19 years old | Kentucky
The Pelicans are also thought to like Mathurin and Daniels, who go each of the two picks ahead of them here. Ousmane Dieng is absolutely a potential option as well as a 6-foot-9 forward with real passing and playmaking ability and some defensive tools. Dieng fits the versatile, positionally flexible archetype the Pelicans have valued in recent years. But the Pelicans are also in a position where they can go upside hunting because the roster is relatively full. Why not take a swing on Sharpe, who has a chance to end up as one of the best players in the class if all things break right?
9. San Antonio Spurs
Jeremy Sochan | 6-9 forward | 19 years old | Baylor
There is some buzz that the Spurs like a big man with this pick. But sources have said not to expect the Spurs to deviate from their board to fit a need over value. They’re trying to accumulate talent more than fill a roster hole — particularly a roster need that might not even really be there given the presence of Jakob Poeltl. This isn’t a comment on who is assuredly higher or lower on their board but rather not to just blindly expect them to only be looking at bigs with this pick. I think they’re looking across the board. Indeed, I’ve gone with Sochan in this update, as his ability to defend multiple positions at the four would be a pretty incredible fit with the team’s perimeter-based core. Don’t be surprised to see any of Johnny Davis, Jalen Duren or Ousmane Dieng here though.
10. Washington Wizards
Johnny Davis | 6-5 wing | 20 years old | Wisconsin
Davis would be a pretty tremendous fit with the Wizards if the Wizards do decide to keep this pick as opposed to moving it in a deal for a starting point guard. Davis has the kind of two-way upside that teams love on the wing, as he’s excellent as a tough switchable defender and he’s good at creating his own shot. I buy Davis as a starting quality player at some point in his career, as he’s a worker with a pretty terrific mindset and demeanor. The Wizards are in a bit of a weird spot if they end up having to keep the pick and Davis ends up off the board at No. 9 to the Spurs if the top-eight fall the way they have here.
11. New York Knicks
AJ Griffin | 6-6 forward | 18 years old | Duke
Griffin is one of the more difficult players to gauge in this class because of his injury history. Teams will absolutely want to get a look at his medicals before selecting him after he missed large portions of his final two high school seasons and then had a knee injury in the preseason prior to his freshman year at Duke. That — along with his inconsistent defensive play this past season — gives him a bit of a wider range on draft night than you would expect for a wing who is this kind of potentially elite shooter. He hit 45 percent from 3 this past season and has as much natural touch as any player in the class. Anywhere starting from mid-lottery to just outside of the lottery is on the table though. The Knicks are one of the teams that have done due diligence into the bigs in this range too, as Mitchell Robinson is an unrestricted free agent and Nerlens Noel is thought to be available in trade scenarios.
12. Oklahoma City Thunder (via LAC)
Ousmane Dieng | 6-9 forward | 19 years old | New Zealand Breakers
The Thunder take Holmgren at the top then follow it here with Dieng, who ticks a lot of boxes for the Thunder as a player with a strong intersection of skill and positional size. He can really pass and handle the ball a bit, both out in transition and off closeouts. He processes the game really well. On top of that, the Thunder have scouted Australia really well in the past, having taken Terrence Ferguson and Josh Giddey in recent years off of similar Next Star deals in the NBL.
13. Charlotte Hornets
Jalen Duren | 6-11 center | 18 years old | Memphis
So here we go, the first true center off the board with Duren landing in Charlotte in what is basically an absolutely perfect landing spot for him. He’ll be able to run the floor and be a lob-catching option for LaMelo Ball, joining Miles Bridges as arguably the highest-flying team in the NBA. One further note here though: This is a good encapsulation of how difficult it is to find landing spots for the centers in this class. If the Spurs and Knicks pass on bigs, the floor becomes lower than you would expect for guys like Duren and Mark Williams. The appetite for true centers has never been lower if they aren’t positionally versatile on defense.
14. Cleveland Cavaliers
Jalen Williams | 6-6 wing | 21 years old | Santa Clara
Williams spikes up the board here for the Cavs. He fills a legitimate positional need while also bringing a lot of high-level skills. He is long at 6-foot-6 with a 7-foot-2 wingspan. He can shoot off the catch and make plays off the pass. He can act as a secondary ballhandler in spots and also has versatility in terms of who he guards on the other end. The Cavs desperately need wing-sized players, so Williams would be a good swing for them. One other note on Williams: I wonder if we see a bit of an arms race from teams looking to acquire him. The Cavaliers and Hawks at No. 14 and 16 are thought to be fans of Williams, so any team looking to acquire him — and there are quite a few that are fans in the late teens and early 20s — may want to call Charlotte at No. 13 and 15 to potentially jump the pecking order to acquire him.
15. Charlotte Hornets (via NOP)
Ochai Agbaji | 6-5 wing | 22 years old | Kansas
The Most Outstanding Player at the Final Four this year, Agbaji’s game translates well to the NBA. He’s an elite, 6-foot-5 catch-and-shoot player, having hit 40.7 percent from 3 on nearly seven attempts per game this past season. He’s also an efficient scorer in transition and has become much more comfortable putting the ball on the deck and handling the ball when necessary.
Defensively, he’s tough, strong and physical for a wing, though he lacks the elite-level measurements that most genuine plus defenders in the NBA possess. He’ll hold his own and won’t make mistakes. He might just end up as a role player, but his solid defensive play and shooting make him a good player for Charlotte to target when looking for running mates with Ball. Under the Michael Jordan ownership regime, the Hornets have also valued high-level collegiate producers as opposed to rawer projects.
16. Atlanta Hawks
Blake Wesley | 6-5 guard | 19 years old | Notre Dame
The Hawks are likely just looking at the best player available on their board here. Watch for Santa Clara’s Jalen Williams if he falls to No. 16, as evaluators believe Williams fits a number of boxes for what the Hawks look for in prospects. Instead, they go Wesley. He wasn’t entirely efficient this past season, but it’s hard to find guards with more upside in terms of making plays off a live dribble. He’s one of the few guys with the upside to be an isolation-level shot creator. If the Hawks want to add more ballhandling around Trae Young, this would be an interesting flier to take.
17. Houston Rockets (via BKN)
Tari Eason | 6-8 forward | 21 years old | LSU
It’s tough to get a handle on where Eason will slot in on draft night. Teams are all over the map on him. Some really have some worries about his decision-making and his right-hand dominance while also being concerned about his shooting mechanics. Others look at how much of a playmaker he is on defense and believe he is tailor-made as a playmaker on that end who is switchable two through five and can create transition opportunities with his disruptiveness. I have a lottery grade on Eason, so I’m more in the boat of the latter. This would be a tremendous pickup for Houston.
18. Chicago Bulls
Mark Williams | 7-0 center | 20 years old | Duke
The Bulls have been rumored to be interested in Rudy Gobert, which says to me they would like to find a great rim-protection option either in place of Nikola Vučević or as a complement to him. Williams falls to No. 18 largely because of the circumstances of who is on the board. The Hornets take Duren, who fell to them. The Cavs are set at No. 14, the Hornets aren’t going to take two true centers, the Hawks have Clint Capela and Onyeka Okongwu, and the Rockets have selected quite a few bigs in the last two classes. Unless someone trades up, again, the floor is lower here for bigs than you would think if the draft goes in a certain way.
19. Minnesota Timberwolves
Malaki Branham | 6-5 wing | 19 years old | Ohio State
Tim Connelly has done well in the past just waiting around and seeing who falls to him. This would be a good example of that, as Branham was seen as a potential lottery pick entering the process. Branham hit 43 percent from 3 this past season and closed the season well for Ohio State. He’s a tough scorer who loves the midrange and is seen as a good swing to take either as a valuable bench scorer or a potential upside starter who could average 20 points per game if his development goes right in the next couple of years.
20. San Antonio Spurs (via TOR)
TyTy Washington Jr. | 6-3 guard | 20 years old | Kentucky
It’s a bit more difficult to find a fit for Washington than you would expect on draft night, which is part of the reason why you have seen his name fall in recent weeks on mock drafts. Still, he fits a number of boxes the Spurs tend to look for in prospects as a guy who is excellent from a skill perspective and processes the game exceedingly well.
21. Denver Nuggets
Christian Braun | 6-7 wing | 21 years old | Kansas
The thought is that Denver is focused on adding some further depth to its backcourt in this draft. Monte Morris has been widely reported, for instance by the Denver Post, as a player the team is getting quite a bit of interest in on the trade market with Jamal Murray returning from injury. With Morris set to return to the bench, the $18 million he has left on his deal over the next two years is certainly a bit expensive for a backup on a team that already has three max players and Aaron Gordon making a substantial amount. They drafted Bones Hyland last year, but if they do look to move Morris’ money to create some salary flexibility, the Nuggets will have more than enough space on the roster for perimeter player additions. I’ve been an enormous fan of Braun throughout the process, ranking him right in this range. He makes a ton of sense for Denver given his shooting, defensive ability and toughness.
22. Memphis Grizzlies (via UTA)
Dalen Terry | 6-7 wing | 19 years old | Arizona
There is a relatively good shot Terry is off the board before this, but he makes so much sense in Memphis as a high-energy culture guy filled on a roster of them. He was All-Defense in the Pac-12 this past season and is a high-level passer and playmaker. He needs to develop his jumper’s consistency a bit, but the Grizzlies have had as much success as anyone at developing players and identifying the right fits for them in the draft. Terry’s range starts near the end of the lottery, and I’d be surprised to see him fall out of the first round.
23. Philadelphia 76ers
Jake LaRavia | 6-8 forward | 20 years old | Wake Forest
It would be a surprise to see LaRavia fall out of the top 35. He’s shot extremely well in pre-draft workouts and has convinced teams he can be a high-volume shooter who makes them. He tested well athletically at the combine and has the kind of confident mindset that tends to be successful at the next level among role players. This 76ers pick is thought to be available in a trade if the right offer comes along.
24. Milwaukee Bucks
MarJon Beauchamp | 6-6 wing | 21 years old | G League Ignite
Beauchamp has an awesome story of perseverance, essentially carving out his own path after choosing not to go to college. He worked his way into getting an Ignite contract and impressed scouts with his willingness to do all of the little things. He defends well on the ball with real switchability because of his 6-foot-11 wingspan. He is aggressive in crashing the glass. He cuts and makes things happen. It’s not an ideal fit for the Bucks necessarily, but this pick has also been widely speculated within league circles to potentially be moved on draft night.
25. San Antonio Spurs (via BOS)
Walker Kessler | 7-1 center | 20 years old | Auburn
Kessler was my pick for college basketball’s national Defensive Player of the Year. He’s a monster interior rim protector who swats shots with impunity and plays well in drop-coverage situations. He averaged a whopping five blocks per game in SEC play this past season, along with 12 points and nine rebounds. Some scouts think he can shoot a bit from the perimeter. And notice how it’s easy to see how the Spurs can find a good option at the center position even if they wait until No. 25 to take one. Kessler and Ismael Kamagate both have late first-round grades from me and are only one tier off where I have Williams and Duren. Some teams see Kessler and Williams as being very comparable prospects.
26. Houston Rockets (via DAL)
Jaden Hardy | 6-4 guard | 19 years old | G League Ignite
The Rockets will likely to best player available here if they end up keeping the pick, and Hardy is a pretty great way to do that. While the team does have a lot of shot-heavy players as it is, you’re just trying to find guys you think can stick in the NBA at this point in the class. I’m a believer that Hardy can do that, due to his mix of shot-creation and potential as a shot maker.
27. Miami Heat
E.J. Liddell | 6-7 forward | 21 years old | Ohio State
The Heat love versatile, tough guys. Liddell is exactly that. He provides a lot of across-the-board value due to his ability to protect the weak side of the rim and guard threes and fours away from the basket. Ultimately, the key will come down to Liddell’s shot, which he knocked down at an effective level this past season but still has scouts concerned as he moves back to NBA distance due to its flat trajectory. But for a team that could potentially not have P.J. Tucker returning, Liddell makes some sense as a bigger forward option.
28. Golden State Warriors
Wendell Moore Jr. | 6-6 wing | 20 years old | Duke
The Warriors won the title in large part because of their depth of talented guys across the positional spectrum. That core is about to get even more expensive moving forward here. In that vein, it is possible the team looks to make a deal off this pick here to save some money. Moore is a tough wing who can really handle the ball and is good defensively. He makes sense for a wide swath of teams, including many below the Warriors in the early second round who could look to acquire this pick.
29. Memphis Grizzlies
Gabriele Procida | 6-8 wing | 20 years old | Fortitudo Bologna
Honestly, this comes from no intel out of Memphis. This is a pure shot in the dark that if Memphis ends up having to keep both picks, it might end up having to stash. And if the Grizzlies end up having to stash, Procida is the guy I can see working for them. Why? I tend to think very similarly to Memphis in terms of draft philosophy, and Procida is a guy whose upside athletically, as a shooter and on defense has a chance to pay major dividends long term.
30. Denver Nuggets (via OKC and PHX)
Andrew Nembhard | 6-4 guard | 22 years old | Gonzaga
Nembhard has been one of the big-time risers of the draft process. At 6-foot-4, he’s a real floor-general type point guard who helped lead Gonzaga to the No. 1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament this year. If the Nuggets do decide to move Monte Morris, getting someone who is older and can be a ready-made backup point guard would be very helpful. A few sources have also noted not to be surprised if this pick gets moved again, given that the 30th overall pick does tend to be seen as a valuable proposition for rebuilding teams given that those teams tend to be at the top of the second round and the extra year of team control can be valuable for them as they build their core.
Second round
31. Indiana Pacers (via HOU): Max Christie | 6-6 wing | 19 years old | Michigan State
32. Orlando Magic: Nikola Jović | 6-11 forward | 18 years old | Mega
33. Toronto Raptors (via DET): Peyton Watson | 6-8 wing | 19 years old | UCLA
34. Oklahoma City Thunder: Caleb Houstan | 6-8 wing | 19 years old | Michigan
35. Los Angeles Lakers (via ORL/IND): Bryce McGowens | 6-7 wing | 19 years old | Nebraska
36. Detroit Pistons (via POR): Kennedy Chandler | 6-0 guard | 19 years old | Tennessee
37. Sacramento Kings: Kendall Brown | 6-8 wing | 19 years old | Baylor
38. San Antonio Spurs (via LAL): Ismaël Kamagate | 6-11 center | 21 years old | Paris Basketball
39. Cleveland Cavaliers (via SAS): Trevor Keels | 6-5 guard | 18 years old | Duke
40. Minnesota Timberwolves (via WAS): Josh Minott | 6-8 forward | 19 years old | Memphis
41. New Orleans Pelicans: Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 6-10 forward | 19 years old | Milwaukee
42. New York Knicks: Ryan Rollins | 6-4 guard | 19 years old | Toledo
43. LA Clippers: Moussa Diabate | 6-10 forward | 20 years old | Michigan
44. Atlanta Hawks: Justin Lewis | 6-8 wing | 20 years old | Marquette
45. Charlotte Hornets: Matteo Spagnolo | 6-6 guard | 19 years old | Vanoli Cremona
46. Portland Trail Blazers (via POR/BKN): Christian Koloko | 7-1 center | 22 years old | Arizona
47. Memphis Grizzlies (via CLE): Jaylin Williams | 6-10 center | 19 years old | Arkansas
48. Minnesota Timberwolves: Jabari Walker | 6-8 forward | 19 years old | Colorado
49. Cleveland Cavaliers (via SAC/CHI): Isaiah Mobley | 6-10 forward | 22 years old | USC
50. Minnesota Timberwolves (via DEN): David Roddy | 6-6 forward | 21 years old | Colorado State
51. Golden State Warriors (via TOR): Dom Barlow | 6-10 forward | 19 years old | Overtime Elite
52. New Orleans Pelicans (via UTA): Ziga Samar | 6-5 guard | 21 years old | Fuelenbrada
53. Boston Celtics: Jared Rhoden | 6-6 wing | 22 years old | Seton Hall
54. Washington (via DAL): JD Davison | 6-3 guard | 19 years old | Alabama
55. Golden State Warriors: Hugo Besson | 6-6 guard | 21 years old | New Zealand Breakers
56. Cleveland Cavaliers (via MIA): Khalifa Diop | 6-11 center | 20 years old | Gran Canaria
57. Portland Trail Blazers (via MEM): Karlo Matkovic | 6-10 center | 21 years old | Mega
58: Indiana Pacers (via PHX): Ron Harper Jr. | 6-6 wing | 22 years old | Rutgers
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This years draft is dog crap compared to last years
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Looks like Sacramento has a hard time developing their prospects post Webber/Divac/Stojackovic/Williams
jpzx
Supporter
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QUITE FRANKLY, IT’S TIME
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if the Kings take Shaedon Sharpe ill know im wrong about him.
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RIP to whoever is unlucky enough to land in Cow Town. Hope Sharpe drops to 7.
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Woj tryna drum up trade value for one?
