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going for j&j on Tuesday
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Nearly half of all adults in the US have had at least one shot, with almost 30% being fully vaccinated. However numbers seem to remain the same or increasing overall, and in some states surging despite claims that the vaccine prevents the spread of infections.
Look at the data of who is testing positive and it’s mostly the younger age groups who haven’t yet been vaccinated.Nearly half of all adults in the US have had at least one shot, with almost 30% being fully vaccinated. However numbers seem to remain the same or increasing overall, and in some states surging despite claims that the vaccine prevents the spread of infections.
Are the vaccines really protecting against new strains?
Nearly half of all adults in the US have had at least one shot, with almost 30% being fully vaccinated. However numbers seem to remain the same or increasing overall, and in some states surging despite claims that the vaccine prevents the spread of infections.
Are the vaccines really protecting against new strains?
Look at the data of who is testing positive and it’s mostly the younger age groups who haven’t yet been vaccinated.
I’ll try to pull some stats later, but it’s been a steady decline in older age groups that follows vaccination rates, and an increase in younger age groups as schools have reopened and mobility (spring break as a driver?) has increased.It also seems there is evidence that new strains are breaking through.
South African variant may 'break through' Pfizer vaccine protection, but vaccine highly effective, Israeli study says
(Updates April 10 story with additional information from researchers)www.reuters.com
Chile has had the second best vaccination rollout in the world after Israel, and is now having a massive surge. They are blaming it on new variants:
Covid Is Surging In Chile Despite High Vaccination Rates — Here’s Why The U.S. Should Take Notice
Chile has given out vaccine doses at a higher rate than the United States or United Kingdom, yet coronavirus cases remain high.www.forbes.com
Any stats to share around that? While there has been an increase in younger cases I haven't seen anything that shows that the cases are MOSTLY young age groups.
And there's ample evidence to know that every strain will eventually make its way here, and spread like fire. But hey, at least we get to watch the Rangers in person and the UFC in Florida.South Africa variant seems to be the most immune to the mRNA vaccines. I havent heard of many cases in the US though.
It does appear that the Sinovac vaccine isn't very effective, even at both doses compared to Pfizer.I’ll try to pull some stats later, but it’s been a steady decline in older age groups that follows vaccination rates, and an increase in younger age groups as schools have reopened and mobility (spring break as a driver?) has increased.
FYI- Chile is using the (~50%) Chinese Sinovac vaccine.
We had a massive decline after the first wave last year as well with no vaccine. This is with restaurants and George Floyd massive assemblies during the summer. The steep decline in late December/January began even before mass vaccinations took effect. Only 300K people were vaccinated fully in NY at the start of February. Yet the chart shows cases were cut in HALF by that time.Vaccine is effective against South Africa variant. There just isn't enough data yet to know how effective.
And yes, the vaccine is crushing it. Just look at this data:
Overall US population, of which over half are not vaccinated:
Nursing home residents, of which almost all have been vaccinated since February:
If the majority of American adults get the vaccine by the end of May, we'll see a similar decrease in overall cases towards zero over the summer. This stubborn "bump" in cases right now would likely be 50-100% higher if nobody was vaccinated.
Another line of evidence, cases by age range at the peak and now:
For the younger age groups, cases are ~1/3rd of what they were at the peak. But for the oldest age groups, which are mostly vaccinated now, it's 1/5th of what they were. There's a lot of variables at play here, but it's good evidence that the vaccine is having an effect. Also, presumably immunity from vaccination will be stronger in younger people, so we should see these numbers start to decline even faster.
That's why I posted the stratification by age and for nursing home residents. I agree we don't know exactly how it'll play out with the variants and on a large-population scale, especially with people relaxing their behavior, but most of the evidence so far indicates we should see a drop in cases as we vaccinate more.We had a massive decline after the first wave last year as well with no vaccine. This is with restaurants and George Floyd massive assemblies during the summer. The steep decline in late December/January began even before mass vaccinations took effect. Only 300K people were vaccinated fully in NY at the start of February. Yet the chart shows cases were cut in HALF by that time.
I think it's too soon to determine the vaccine is crushing it when it comes to transmission, especially as cases are increasing despite a approaching a 50% threshold.
What seems promising is the reduction of fatal/severe cases. We'll see in the coming weeks.
They can do a blood test to look for circulating antibodies. I don't know how easy it is to get though and insurance may not pay unless you have a medical reason for it. And that isn't even conclusive since it's possible to not have antibodies but still have protection through other means.After the two weeks of getting the second shot, how would you know that the vaccine was effective and your body has antibodies?
UpdateGot J&J scheduled for tomorrow. We'll see how it goes.
Got my J&J vaccine yesterday at 3pm and felt fine just a lil more tired than usual for the rest of Sunday. No alcohol and stay hydrated by drinking water and sipped on Powerade the whole day. Went to bed around midnight, woke up in the middle of the night to go pee pee and had some back soreness. Popped 2 tylenol extra strengths and went back to bed.
Feeling pretty normal right now like any other Monday morning.