from hooptrends................
We are now six weeks into free-agency and Cleveland Cavaliers restricted free-agent Tristan Thompson has yet to sign a contract. At the beginning of the free-agency frenzy, it was reported that the Toronto native was close to signing a five-year, $80 million contract with the Cavaliers, but the negotiations eventually ended.
Though Thompson, a top-five pick in the 2011 NBA draft, expects to sign a near-max deal, the Cavaliers are reportedly offering him much less money. Reports from Brian Windhorst of ESPN indicate that if the Cavaliers sign Thompson to a one-year deal he will leave the ball-club in the summer of 2016.
“If [Thompson] is on the qualifying offer, [this] will be his last year with the Cavs,” agent Rich Paul told several media outlets, including ESPN.
The qualifying offer Mr. Paul is referring to is worth $6.8 million, and will allow his client to become an unrestricted free-agent next summer. The thought of Tristan Thompson leaving the Cleveland Cavaliers is, and should be, frightening to most fans. The four-year pro has averaged 10.1 points and 8.4 rebounds throughout his career with the wine and gold.
When the Cavaliers acquired Kevin Love from the Minnesota Timberwolves, Tristan Thompson was forced to switch roles and become a contributor from the bench. In his one season coming from the bench, the 24-year-old averaged 8.5 points and 8 rebounds, including 3.3 offensive rebounds-per-game, which is good enough for top-five in the league.
Thompson’s ability to crash the boards and play in the pick-and-roll has made him one of the top free-agents on the market. During the Cavaliers’ finals run, the former Texas Longhorn filled in for an injured Kevin Love, who had season-ending shoulder surgery during the first round of the playoffs, and failed to disappoint. During the Cavaliers’ tear through the Eastern conference playoffs, Thompson managed to average 9.6 points, 10.8 rebounds and an amazing 4.4 offensive rebounds-per-game.
“If Thompson were to be an unrestricted free-agent next summer”, an NBA GM told ESPN,”and he’s healthy he will probably be one of the top free-agents available.”
Knowing general managers around the association have high praise for Tristan Thompson, I can’t stop asking myself: Is he really worth a max-contract. One could argue that Thompson is simply over-pricing himself based off of the fact he is a bench player whose main contribution is grabbing rebounds, but if you dig a little deeper you may see that Thompson plays a bigger role for the Cavaliers.
An easy way to find out how much “Double T” is actually worth is comparing him to his peers. Throughout free-agency there has been multiple big-men to earn a significant pay raise, and some may be considered not as good as Tristan Thompson.
Enes Kanter: Four-Years, $70 Million ($17 million-per-year)
The Oklahoma City Thunder inked the four-year center to an enormous contract. After spending three seasons with the Utah Jazz where he averaged just 9.3 points and 6.4 rebounds-pet-game, Kanter the product of a three-team trade where the Jazz received Grant Jerrett, Kendrick Perkins, Tibor Pleiss and a 2017 first-round draft pick.
In 26 games with the Thunder, Kanter’s numbers rose significantly. His scoring production increased to 18.7 points-per-game and he managed to haul down a career-high 11.0 rebounds-per-game. Though his time in time in Oklahoma City has been short, and the team was without former MVP Kevin Durant, Enes Kanter improved all-around, leading to a hefty contract.
Tyson Chandler, Four-Years, $52 million ($13 million-per-year)
Chandler, a 14-year veteran, earned his contract based off his protect the paint, grab rebounds, and give a respectable scoring total. Throughout his career, the seven-footer has maintained an average of 8.8 points, 9.3 rebounds and 1.3 blocks-per-game. On top of his respectable numbers, Chandler also has a “Defensive Player of the Year”award (2011-12) and an NBA Championship (2011) under his belt.
Not only did Phoenix sign Chandler based off his ability to block shots, but they also needed his veteran experience. For the past two seasons, the Suns have been on the outskirts of the Western conference playoff picture. Tyson Chandler is the type of player the Suns feel can push them into the eighth seed or better.
Amir Johnson, Two-Years, $24 million ($12 million-per-year)
This signing was surprising to me. Johnson has averaged double-digit points just twice in his career, and the Boston Celtics already have players like Jared Sullinger, Kelly Olynyk and Tyler Zeller on their roster. The only logical explanation I can think of for this move is the C’s needed to replace Brandon Bass, who signed with the Los Angeles Lakers, and Johnson was the next-best option.
Throughout his career with the Detroit Pistons and Toronto Raptors, Johnson has averaged 7.6 points, 5.7 rebounds, 1.1 assists and 1.1 blocks-per-game. Much like the situation with the Celtics, the Raptors had a crowded front-court with players like Jonas Valanciunas, Patrick Patterson, and they have even brought in Bismack Biyombo. Boston will give Amir Johnson the ability to grow his game in more ways than one, so they may hope he grows into a $12 million-per-year-worthy player.
Now where does Tristan Thompson stack up among these players. During the 2014-15 regular season he turned down a four-year, $52 million contract from the Cavaliers. Knowing this, Thompson must value himself higher than Tyson Chandler, who signed an identical contract. Although Chandler averaged more points and blocks than Thompson, he didn’t average as many rebounds — Thompson’s specialty.
As mentioned before, Thompson want’s around $16 million-per-year. This means he is in the same ballpark as Enes Kanter, but isn’t demanding as much money. Though Kanter’s contract size came off as a surprise to most, he did average more points and rebounds than Thompson. It’s difficult to measure how much Kanter contributed to his team’s success since his sample size with the Thunder is relatively small. Nonetheless, he finally lived up to his third overall pick status, which is good enough for the Thunder.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are now over the salary cap, but are still able to sign Thompson because he is a restricted free-agent. If I were to put a price on Tristan Thompson, it’d be anywhere from $13 million-per-year to $15 million-per-year. In my humble opinion, Thompson is pricing himself at just the right price. He really impressed throughout the playoffs when Kevin Love went down with injury, and proved he is a key piece to the Cavaliers.