***Official Political Discussion Thread***

That report about Felicia Moore shutting down strip clubs lowkey hurt her at the polls. Sad to say but Atlanta don’t play about its strip clubs. Strippers vote too and there’s a whole lot of them out here.
 
After McConnell blocked Obama from filling that seat in 2016, the court packing was already underway. McConnell rushing to fill the open seat in 2020 was the bookend to this court packing.

Whether it’s 9 or 21, the court is obviously rigged and yet this current Democratic trifecta has no chance of undoing any of this. I doubt that McConnell adding judges would have motived enough centrists Democratic Senators to add yet more judges at a later date.

Look, it would have been better if Clinton beat Trump in 2016. My issue is with this discourse that the 2016 election is some profound hinge point in history. Before 2016, it was the case that the GOP was a minoritarian, norm breaking party and the Democratic Party is handicapped by too many members, who prize unilateral norm keeping, over social justice or even just stopping fascism.

Who knows, maybe a Hillary Clinton Presidency would change this decades’ long trajectory. But unless she could, her winning in 2016 changes very little in the long run.

2016 is very obviously a profound hinge point in history.

and it seems like many leftist don't want to admit it because
it makes the sore loser-dom post 2016 primary look wildly irresponsible and stupid in hindsight.

I can admit that Hilary had some serious flaws as a candidate and in hindsight, Bernie (probably/ maaaybe) would have won.
but I think leftist need to be able to say; **** post 2016 primary behavior was probably not helpful
and Hilary was right about the stakes of the election.
 
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The whole thread is good but some highlights (the final tweet below is especially good):





I really can't stand pro-lifers, at all.


i need pro lifers to start talking about the costs involved with having a child

or hell how about having issues with school shootings

Quality of life of people because of the burdens of healthcare and just costs of living in general.. access to simple things like education and a decent meal consistently
 
2016 is very obviously a profound hinge point in history.

and it seems like many leftist don't want to admit it because
it makes the sore loser-dom post 2016 primary look wildly irresponsible and stupid in hindsight.

I can admit that Hilary had some serious flaws as a candidate and in hindsight, Bernie (probably/ maaaybe) would have won.
but I think leftist need to be able to say; **** post 2016 primary behavior was probably not helpful
and Hilary was right about the stakes of the election.

2016 was important, so was 2020. I’m just not buying this selective powerlessness narrative put forth by a large number of Democrats.

If someone could tell me how Hillary Clinton, in 2017, would have been able to overcome the awesome power of Joe Manchin and the Senate Parliamentarian, I’d love to here it.

Right now, what I’m hearing is that if Bernie had been nicer to Clinton in early summer 2016, the GOP’s project of minority rule would have been stopped.

I’m not saying that you or Rusty are making this argument but that’s the dominant argument right now. It’s fixating on how a Democrat lost in 2016 in order to avoid confronting the sad reality around the Democrat who did win in 2020.
 
2016 was important, so was 2020. I’m just not buying this selective powerlessness narrative put forth by a large number of Democrats.

If someone could tell me how Hillary Clinton, in 2017, would have been able to overcome the awesome power of Joe Manchin and the Senate Parliamentarian, I’d love to here it.

Right now, what I’m hearing is that if Bernie had been nicer to Clinton in early summer 2016, the GOP’s project of minority rule would have been stopped.

I’m not saying that you or Rusty are making this argument but that’s the dominant argument right now. It’s fixating on how a Democrat lost in 2016 in order to avoid confronting the sad reality around the Democrat who did win in 2020.

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Rusty's pal Matt Y had a good piece on this.

a democrat does 1.5 points better in 2016 and you probably win the senate.
you replace Scalia, and challenges to partisan gerrymandering are decided by a 5-4 liberal court.

2016 is the hinge point, by 2020 its 6-3 conservative court and all hope is lost.
 
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2016 is why i've become much more cold blooded about the need to pander to conservative cultural views.

The situation is so bleak and dire for democrats,
they should be willing to say just about anything to win enough senate seats to end the filibuster,

end gerrymandering and add PR, Guam, US Virgin Islands, and Greenland or wherever as states. :lol:
 
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1638546789659.png


Rusty's pal Matt Y had a good piece on this.

a democrat does 1.5 points better in 2016 and you probably win the senate.
you replace Scalia, and challenges to partisan gerrymandering are decided by a 5-4 liberal court.

2016 is the hinge point, by 2020 its 6-3 conservative court and all hope is lost.
I mentioned Jason Kander a few days ago. Matty stealing my work now too :{
 
Theres def two separate fights going on. Dems will always have the tougher climb because of the diversity of their voters but its getting imperative that we get our own dog whistles and soon.
 
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Rusty's pal Matt Y had a good piece on this.

a democrat does 1.5 points better in 2016 and you probably win the senate.
you replace Scalia, and challenges to partisan gerrymandering are decided by a 5-4 liberal court.

2016 is the hinge point, by 2020 its 6-3 conservative court and all hope is lost.

Again, Clinton winning would be better than Trump winning. Democrats winning more down ballot races in 2016 would have been even better. At the same, good and better in this context means delaying the GOP’s drive to permanent minority rule.

As far as the Supreme Court is concerned, I’d imagine we would not get a Federalist Society appointee to fill Scalia’s seat. Beyond that, though, all bets would be off. The most likely outcome is that McConnell keeps that seat open. Capital would not allow a liberal Court to form.

COVID happens, it would not be as bad. Trump literally threw out a manual on how to deal with pandemics, after all. But Capital and therefore McConnell would still limit the American state’s capacity to respond. There would still be a big economic downturn which would open the door for the GOP to win big in 2020. In 2021, Scalia’s seat gets filled, Ginsberg’s newly vacated seat gets filled and later in the year Kennedy and maybe Thomas retire and those seats get filled.
 
2016 is very obviously a profound hinge point in history.

and it seems like many leftist don't want to admit it because
it makes the sore loser-dom post 2016 primary look wildly irresponsible and stupid in hindsight.

I can admit that Hilary had some serious flaws as a candidate and in hindsight, Bernie (probably/ maaaybe) would have won.
but I think leftist need to be able to say; **** post 2016 primary behavior was probably not helpful
and Hilary was right about the stakes of the election.
I posted it because right now on leftist Twitter, Reddit, and other forums they are trying their best to blame liberals, and "the establishment" for the sad state of affairs in the court right now. Even saying they could have stopped it from happening in years past by "fighting harder" :rolleyes

But the issue with this is that when Clinton was out here warning folk what was at stake, some people chose to ignore it because they didn't like her. Which was ******* stupid.

It's the opposite happening, Bernie warning, and centrist handwaving, I would call that ******* stupid too.

I really don't respect Rex's argument because it sounds like a defection to be defensive. Like sure, the GOP has been and will be hostile to democracy. Clinton would not fix that. But a 5-4 court, no matter how short-lived, would be a powerful firewall for democracy. That is the reason to never give them an inch. The GOP made liberals pay so much for with their wins because they got lucky too. 2010 fell on a redistricting year, Scalia dying after 2014 (another election year people didn't take serious enough), RGB being dumb then years later dying.

I'm in here every day screaming about Manchin, Sinema, and other centrists needing to do something about the filibuster and court. They need to fix the current state of affairs right now because we might not get another chance for maybe 20 years. Hell the GOP has a chance to get a 7-2 court. Maybe 8-1. Things are about to get way worse for everyone.

I agree with RGB being stupid not to retire. I am pissed at Breyer now. I shaded liberal lawyers that wrote stupid **** defending conservative judges.

But it is also true that everyone got a warning this would happen. And some folk, instead of being clear-eyed about things, chose to ignore the important warnings because they didn't like the messenger.
 
2016 is why i've become much more cold blooded about the need to pander to conservative cultural views.

The situation is so bleak and dire for democrats,
they should be willing to say just about anything to win enough senate seats to end the filibuster,

end gerrymandering and add PR, Guam, US Virgin Islands, and Greenland or wherever as states. :lol:
And this is why I am so cold-blooded about clowns like Manchin and Sinema dropping the nonsense and helping the Dems fix things while they have the power to fix things
 
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As far as the Supreme Court is concerned, I’d imagine we would not get a Federalist Society appointee to fill Scalia’s seat. Beyond that, though, all bets would be off. The most likely outcome is that McConnell keeps that seat open. Capital would not allow a liberal Court to form.
"aside from that Mrs. Lincoln how was the play?" :lol:

if a democratic president fills the seat, you 100% get challenges to gerrymandering, the voter suppression cases go differently ect.

that will more than delay GOP's minority rule status.

it requires a lot of mental gymnastics to handwave that.
the stakes of 2020 don't compare.
 
Rusty, I thought I was pretty clear that you aren’t making the argument that Democrats should not fight back in this current moment.

And I thought that I was pretty clear that the 2016 elections had real stakes. If you recall, I voted for Clinton largely because of the implications on the high court.
 
"aside from that Mrs. Lincoln how was the play?" :lol:

if a democratic president fills the seat, you 100% get challenges to gerrymandering, the voter suppression cases go differently ect.

that will more than delay GOP's minority rule status.

it requires a lot of mental gymnastics to handwave that.
the stakes of 2020 don't compare.

Again, it’s unlikely that a Democratic Senate yields a Federalist Society justice (although with Joey Manchin in the mix, anything is possible). But beyond that, it’d be unlikely that we get anyone onto the court and it stays 4-4 until Ginsberg dies and the conservatives control the court, 4-3.
 
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