it seems that a lot of battleground states will boil down to whether the electorate views the economy or the pandemic as the more pressing issue
I have read repeatedly (and experienced first hand last week) that in Florida, where pandemic denialism is a cultural and political feature, that the economy is the primary issue, so I expect it to swing to Trump
in the Midwest, especially Michigan, Wisconsin, and MN, the pandemic is a more pressing issue to more voters
TX, GA, and NC have more complicated issues of race intersecting all that. hard to see any but NC breaking D, but the turn-out in TX and NC particularly leaves all the past is prologue modeling in shambles
PA will be nerve racking but ultimately I think it goes Biden. I'll be doing my part tomorrow in person