[h2]Top 25 Intel: No. 25 FSU flips the script[/h2] [h3]The Seminoles are trending toward a dominant running attack in '09[/h3]
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By Chris Sprow
ESPN The Magazine
Archive
Getty ImagesNoles running back coach Dexter Carter expects more hard running out of the explosive Thomas.
Dexter Carter can admit it. The former Florida State and NFL running back andcurrent FSU running backs coach knows that in the truly dominant days of Seminoles football, the formula didn't emphasize the showcase running back. Thatguy was just the icing on a dominant passing attack led by the likes of
Casey Weldon,
Danny Kanell, Charlie Ward or
Chris Weinke, bookended by the always-ferocious Mickey Andrews defense. Back then, the backsgot the good vibes and the reps left over.
Not anymore.
Like Pearl Jam, you could very well see another dominant institution of the '90s enjoying a renaissance. The reason why is the oddity. Unlike PJ, who
re-released a standard, FSU is creating a new one. This could be -- yes,FSU faithful -- a frighteningly dominant
rushing attack. The evidence, much like the offensive line returning to Tallahassee this fall, isoverwhelming.
To read more about FSU's rushing renaissance, including the role of Christian Ponder in that, please sign up for ESPNInsider.
The Noles have gone, in three years, from being one of the worst rushing attacks in college football to, this year, possibly one of the best.
[h4]Movin' On Up[/h4]
The FSU running game has gone from miserable to potentially dominant in a few years.
| | | |
Wins | 7 | 7 | 9 |
Yds/gm | 96.5 | 127.5 | 179.1 |
Nat. Rank | 104 | 92 | 31 |
ACC Rank | 12 | 8 | 2 |
Yds/att | 3.46 | 3.72 | 4.82 |
Nat. Rank | 89 | 81 | 23 |
ACC Rank | 8 | 3 | 2 |
[th=""]Year[/th] [th=""]2006[/th] [th=""]2007[/th] [th=""]2008[/th]
During a sour 2006 season that had the War Chants aimed at the coaching staff, the Noles went 7-6, 3-5 in the ACC. The offensive line was a disaster, andthe running game felt it, averaging just 96.5 yards per game, good for 104th in the NCAA. The next year wasn't much better, even with a stable of goodbacks, and it produced another 7-6 season; the rushing "attack" ranked 92nd.
But last year it started to click. Partly due to a better offensive line -- and a healthy one -- plus a quarterback that liked to take off himself --
Christian Ponder ran for 144 yards in a win versus Miami -- the Noles jumped to 31stin rushing, at a hair under 180 ypg. Now they are primed for more.
Jermaine Thomas, a gifted sophomore who averaged 7.0 ypc in 2008, is set to take the bulk of handoffs from Ponder, a shaky passer (14 TDS, 13 INTs in'0
but a fleet runner himself. Best thing about Thomas: He turns it on as the game goes on. According to ESPN Research, Thomas' average of 9.1 yardsin the second and third quarters ranked second in the nation among backs with at least 20 combined carries.
[h4]Big Dividends[/h4]
Jermaine Thomas, just a freshman in 2008, has proved to be a big-play threat, particularly as the game progresses.
| | | | |
1 | 12 | 40 | 3.3 | 22 |
2 | 13 | 121 | 9.3 | 62 |
3 | 15 | 134 | 8.9 | 30 |
4 | 29 | 187 | 6.5 | 16 |
Total | 69 | 482 | 7.0 | 62 |
[th=""]Quarters[/th] [th=""]Att[/th] [th=""]Yards[/th] [th=""]Avg[/th] [th=""]Long[/th]
This is what happens when an experienced offensive line can wear the opposition down, and Carter and the Noles staff is teaching the explosive Thomas andother swift FSU backs to inflict similar punishment.
"[Thomas] has yet to really learn what he's capable of," Carter says. "But he can be a star. He'll remind you at times of [Joe]McKnight at USC, just extremely explosive, but now we're teaching him to run with his pads down, to take contact, and to become a guy getting anywhere from12 to 25 reps a game."
Even with a
brutal schedule, the trend implies -- and Carterbelieves -- the Noles could be a top 10-level rushing team. It'll mean a lot for Ponder if they are, because third and short is a QB's best friend. Andin that scenario Ponder will have another weapon to utilize.
Taiwan Easterling was just a freshman last year, but Ponder found him on thirddown throughout the season. Over a quarter of his 30 catches for 322 yards -- a decent total for a frosh on a team with solid upperclassmen -- happened when itwas time to move the chains. He could become a dependable force in '09.
[h4]Not Down and Out[/h4]
Christian Ponder loses some targets, but not his favorite third-down WR.
| | | | |
Taiwan Easterling | 11 | 8 | 136 | 7 |
Greg Carr | 14 | 7 | 116 | 7 |
Preston Parker | 12 | 7 | 70 | 6 |
Antone Smith | 6 | 5 | 69 | 4 |
[th=""]Player[/th] [th=""]Target[/th] [th=""]Rec[/th] [th=""]Yds[/th] [th=""]1st Dn.[/th]
As always, the Seminoles both lost a lot from Andrews' defense, and expect a deep pool of young talent to be able to step in. The defense loses sixstarters, and every position group is hit.
Everette Brown (DE), Myron Rolle (FS) and
Derek Nicholson (LB) were all impact stars for a defense that was sixth in thecountry against the pass. Of course, because the defections were spread out, not one group is decimated. And if the running game becomes what it should be,Andrews will have plenty of game time to huddle up his defense on the sideline for extra coaching while the offense burns clock on the field.
"It used to be the case in this program that the defense would set the stage early in the season, then the offense would come along," Carter says."But this year the defense is good, but young, and that's where our running game and Jermaine are so important. We can set the stage."
A dominant running game makes life easier for a previously inconsistent quarterback and a defense learning on the fly? This is FSU football?
Well, it is for now. Ten used to be the standard. Seminole win totals, and even Pearl Jam, for that matter. It could be a good summer forboth.
[h2]Top 25 Intel: No. 4 USC[/h2] [h3]The Trojans lose remarkable talent almost every year, but new players always await[/h3]
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By Chris Sprow
ESPN The Magazine
Archive
If you want to play football on Sundays, USC is a pretty good place to playon Saturdays.
Since the advent of the NFL draft in 1967, 294 Trojans have been drafted, the most from any program. It's not really close; the second,third and fourth teams on that list -- Nebraska (254), Notre Dame (24 and Ohio State (243)-- are closely grouped but well behind the Trojans. What's more, this gap isn't based just on the days of Ronnie Lott; it's just as real today. Over the past four years, USC has seen 37 of itsplayers -- two-thirds of an NFL roster -- drafted. That's 10 more than the closest program.
Getty ImagesTaylor Mays unquestionably will be the leader of a depleted USC defense that still hopes to challenge the '08 version.
This isn't just a waltz past the trophy case. It matters now, because in 2009, you'll see the perfect confluence of what USC has cometo represent, both from a talent standpoint and as a program.
Rocky Seto -- a 32-year-old one-time Trojans walk-on who volunteered to be a student assistant while earning a master's degree at USCeight years ago -- was given the defensive coordinator reins in January after previous defensive coordinator Nick Holt left to serve the same role in SteveSarkisian's regime at the University of Washington. (Sarkisian is another former assistantto USC head coach Pete Carroll.)
Seto was handed a defense that just saw eight players snatched up by NFL teams, including five listed as linebackers. (And safetyTaylor Mays was projected to be a top-10 pick, but he decided to stay inschool.)
To continue reading this Top 25 Intel, you must be an ESPN Insider.
Is the void overwhelming? Maybe in some places.
"It feels really normal," Seto said. "Over the years, we've had the same thing happen at running back, quarterback,offensive line, defensive line, and it's just the opportunity for the next guy.
"The recruiting process we plan for years in advance, so now, when you see these guys able to compete and battle for playing time,it's really exciting for us and for them. When the guys see the success and then realize it's their time, [they] tend to capture theopportunity."
That's why a team that saw 11 of its players drafted in April can sit at No. 4 in our preseason rankings. When the Trojans lose a bunchof NFL-capable players, it just means it's time to unleash the next pack.
Consider that, at linebacker, the Trojans now can start ChrisGalippo, a member of a junior class that was the top recruitingclass in the nation in 2007. Galippo was ranked as the top LB in that class, and he gets his chance now. Other LBs, like Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith,will make this a faster group than the 2008 version. Really.
Seto's goal isn't just to get to the ball. "We want to take it away," he said. It starts in practice. Talk to the coacheshere, and you know that at USC, the focus is less on game planning than it is at some schools, and more -- in an almost maniacal sense -- on the level ofcompetition within the program. Seto said even the coaches get into it, trying to get more out of their players than other groups. The model is clear: Playagainst the best in the practice, and it shows on Saturday. It did in 2008. USC had the top defense in the country by more than two points. And the Trojans mauled the strength of sometop teams:
[h4]
Shut it down![/h4]
USC throttled some good rushing attacks in 2008. A look:
| | |
Oregon | 60 | 298.4 |
Ohio State | 71 | 202.6 |
California | 27 | 199.5 |
[th=""]
Team
[/th] [th=""]
YPG vs. USC
[/th] [th=""]
YPG vs. others
[/th]
It's hard to imagine USC being quite as effective against the run in 2009, but Seto isn't ready to say it can't happen. Thedefense was a surprise during the spring, and Seto said, "Honestly, we feel like if we're able to execute on our own practice field, and against ourown offense, we feel like we'll be ready for anybody else."
And if the rushing defense struggles, the pass defense won't. Led by the gifted Mays, the Trojans do return the core of the best passdefense in the country in 2008, a group the led the country in numerous categories, including yards allowed per game (134.4), touchdowns allowed (six) andplays of 20 yards or more allowed (14).
If future Sunday players like Everson Griffen live up to the hypeon the defensive line, the Trojans will make their new coordinator look good.
The key will be focus, the coaches say. USC, punished after losing to a 9-4 team last year when Florida did the same and suffered a kinder fate, doesn't feel it should ever lose.
But in a program in which even the backups get drafted on occasion, a love for Saturdays is a concern.
On offense, that'll need to happen, as a stable of six running backs and plenty of talent at skill positions should give new startingquarterback Aaron Corp the chance to become an overnight star, like most of the guyswho preceded him have become. Corp will be guided by Jeremy Bates, who last year was calling plays for the Denver Broncos, and tutoring JayCutler into a Pro Bowler. He could do worse. The only really necessary area of improvement for the USC offense this season will be to beconsistent on third down. In the Trojans' one loss and two close games in last season's parade of blowouts, third downs were the Achilles'heel.
[h4]
Conversion problems[/h4]
If USC's offense had an Achilles' heel in 2008, it was third downs. Consider:
| | |
Overall Third-Down Conversion | 20.0 | 47.5 |
Third and 5+ Conversion | 0.0 | 37.8 |
[th=""]
Third-Down Situation
[/th] [th=""]
Vs. Oregon State
[/th] [th=""]
Vs. Others
[/th]
But this is USC, and thus we are merely splitting hairs. The running game should shine, and Ronald Johnson and Damian Williams both are home run threats on the outside.
The emphasis, when players are able to practice again in August, will be on refinement, Seto said.
"For August, I'm telling you, this is exactly how we think: We really focus on us. We don't think too much about scouting or theopponent -- we get our technique down, we get our assignments down, we work to hone our skills, and from there, we feel like we have a chance to do some reallygood things," he said.
Carroll said Seto's hiring and the fact that he decided to stay at USC after being offered the same position at Washington underSarkisian are "about continuity."
In a realm that has turned into an NFL factory, that continuity will be a battle this year. The perpetual drain -- playing talent and coaches-- can't always be offset by a deluge of new, can it? We'd say the Trojans will learn quickly in places like Columbus. But that's not really true.The biggest battles here will be in August and with each other.
Saturdays (and Sundays) -- those are just the reward.