Originally Posted by
abovelegit1
Originally Posted by PJ and Bompton
i don't buy that overpaid talk. it's not like this contract is gonna prevent the Sox from making any moves, i mean, it's not a small market team who's gonna be stuck with an albatross contract they can't get rid of...the Sox just bought %@%#$$@ Liverpool, $$ isn't a concern to fill the need of what you have to get.
After getting Gonzalez, the Sox put themselves out of the Pujols sweepstakes. factor in that the Sox were looking for a star outfielder, and with limited free agent options this year and next, you'd be looking at trading the farm (which is already hurting from the Gonzo trade) to get a player like Justin Upton. Thus, had to spend the money on Crawford, who will age well and be a great player for another 4 years at least. not to mention i heard the contract will be front loaded, so something like $17 a year at the end...
All of that is nice and all, but the fact remains that the Crawford contract is a massive overpay. Look at the list of biggest contacts in MLB history. Everyone on that list was either one of the 5 or 10 best hitters/pitchers in the majors. Crawford had an OPS of .851 last season, ranked 35th in the majors (some guys ahead of him: Kelly Johnson, Nick Swisher, and Billy Butler), and a career OPS of .780, both nowhere near elite. He had a career year last year, and it's likely that he may repeat his performance, and even surpass it somewhat, but he is what he is. A good, but not great hitter.
So if he's not worth a 142 mil contract because of his offense, than obviously the Sox made the deal due to his other strengths, namely his defense and speed. The thing about his defense is that he plays left field, and as everyone knows Fenway Park's left field has the green monster. Most of Crawford's defensive value lied in his ability to get to pop flies that others couldn't, but if everything is coming off the wall, what's the point of having a speedy left fielder? Also, he doesn't have a great arm; it's average at best.
So they must be paying for his speed. Indeed, Crawford may be the fastest player in the majors, and is sure to wreck havoc on the basepaths. But they gave him a 7 year deal, and historically athletic speed guys tend to lose their burst around 32 years old. And after he turns 32 he'll still have around 3 years left. So the bottom line is that the Sox have upgraded their outfield, but nowhere near to the extent they think they have, and not even close to what they paid for.
Cliffnotes: The BoSox overpaid. Massively.