My biggest fear for a recession is that Trump might fire off all the fiscal bullets in the gun before one hits.
Think about it, the most popular policies to fight a recession are cutting taxes, especially supply side (Republicans) or government spend, especially n infrastructure (Democrats).
*Actually Obama did both during the last recession. His stimulus was decent, but I had issues with it. Not really all his faulty though, mostly Blue Dogs*
Trump wants to do both right away just to get us over 3-4% growth. If we enter a recession after years of huge tax cuts and some kind of infrastructure spending (Trump infrastructure plan is horrible though) then I can't imagine things we would have to do to get out of that recession. We better hope that interest rates are relatively high at the time, and the recession is not too bad.
The economy grew by 1.6% last year. Wanting 3-4% growth is absolutely crazy, even impossible in this current climate. We don't have the population or the productivity to drive growth that would even see us reach 3%.
People seem to forget that we have a huge aging population that can't be easily replaced. And even if Dems wanted to spend on infrastructure, were at a point where the money required for a complete overhaul would result in trillions of dollars.
As it stands, it would take an estimated $3.6 trillion to completely fix and maintain our infrastructure. Dems only want to invest a trillion. With the unforeseen trade wars that this president wants to get into, it's not telling how big that recession will be.