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Looks like Nate Silver will keep his job.. And Old Media will kiss his *** for years now.
***Official Political Discussion Thread***
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Looks like Nate Silver will keep his job.. And Old Media will kiss his *** for years now.
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Because the race is still close and the west coast polls haven't come in yet.
West Coast almost always votes democratic. Cali alone is worth 55 electoral votes, including oregon and washington, its like 70 something all together.
That's why they keep talking about Romney HAS to win FL, OH, VA, and NC. Because there's basically no chance of him winning the west coast.
Hope that helps.
shoeking2101
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When the west coast electoral votes come in its all but over.
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Just to simplify even more, the west coast is projected to be all for Obama, so although they are currently tied, it's likely that Obama has a big lead.
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CA>NY?
mittens isn't winning the popular once the west coast gets done polling.
on that note, just got back from my polling station in socal.
Exactly. This started out as maybe a upset in the making, but nah dawg..that west coast coming through in the clutch
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Damn you dudes are really confident Obama is gonna win.
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This picture from CNN made me lol
"dat mass" potential right here
shoeking2101
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It crucial for Mitt to take Ohio (1or FL ( 29)
without those, I can't imagine mitt getting close to 270 with the west states get counted for
[h1] [/h1]
And he isn't getting either. 100% sure he isn't getting florida and pretty sure he isn't getting Ohio.
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What was Nate predicting? Link?
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Nate Silver da gawd 
pretty much
pretty much
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the discussions in this thread seems much more peaceful then 2008
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And it won't even be close. I mean, Romney lost some really crucial states.
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What does hawaii usually pic dems or rep
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Elizabeth Warren 
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90.9% chance of Obama getting re-elected based on his statistics and algorithms analyzing all the polling, he went out on a huge limb with his numbers
Link: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/06/nate-silver-colbert-election-obama_n_2082041.html
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Some people are saying Fl could come to within 10K votes which means an automatic recount ie a repeat of 2000.
shoeking2101
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My state always does the right thing s/o CA one time
s/o CA one time
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313 average - 223 average..
But if you looked at the map he had 332 because he had FLA going Obama barely
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blue state
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What crucial states has he lost so far. I agree I think Obama will win but to say its not close isnt true. The crucial states are ohio, fl, and Virginia and not a single one of those has been called by any network yet
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Understood. thanks for all the replies
Repped everybody
Repped everybody
shoeking2101
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You are right, however it doesn't seem like he can get that margin down to 10k.
And even with Florida, It doesn't add up. It still won't be enough.
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