***Official Political Discussion Thread***

https://www.cbo.gov/publication/52939

An Amendment in the Nature of a Substitute [LYN17479] as Posted on the Website of the Senate Committee on the Budget on July 19, 2017

CBO and the staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) have completed an estimate of the direct spending and revenue effects of the Obamacare Repeal Reconciliation Act of 2017, an amendment in the nature of a substitute to H.R. 1628, which would repeal many provisions of the Affordable Care Act (ACA). According to the agencies’ analysis, enacting the legislation would decrease deficits by $473 billion over the 2017-2026 period (see figure below).

CBO and JCT estimate that enacting the legislation would affect insurance coverage and premiums primarily in these ways:

  • The number of people who are uninsured would increase by 17 million in 2018, compared with the number under current law. That number would increase to 27 million in 2020, after the elimination of the ACA’s expansion of eligibility for Medicaid and the elimination of subsidies for insurance purchased through the marketplaces established by the ACA, and then to 32 million in 2026.
  • Average premiums in the nongroup market (for individual policies purchased through the marketplaces or directly from insurers) would increase by roughly 25 percent—relative to projections under current law—in 2018. The increase would reach about 50 percent in 2020, and premiums would about double by 2026.
In CBO and JCT’s estimation, under this legislation, about half of the nation’s population would live in areas having no insurer participating in the nongroup market in 2020 because of downward pressure on enrollment and upward pressure on premiums. That share would continue to increase, extending to about three-quarters of the population by 2026.

52939-land-figure1.png

The ways in which individuals, employers, states, insurers, doctors, hospitals, and other affected parties would respond to the changes made by this legislation are all difficult to predict, so the estimates reported here are uncertain. But CBO and JCT have endeavored to develop budgetary estimates that are in the middle of the distribution of potential outcomes.

Pay-as-you-go procedures apply because enacting this legislation would affect direct spending and revenues. CBO and JCT estimate that enacting the legislation would not increase net direct spending or on-budget deficits in any of the four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2027. CBO has not completed an estimate of the potential impact of the legislation on discretionary spending, which would be subject to future appropriation action.

CBO and JCT have reviewed the legislation and determined that it would impose no intergovernmental mandates as defined in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (UMRA). CBO and JCT have determined that the legislation would impose private-sector mandates as defined in UMRA. On the basis of information from JCT, CBO estimates that the aggregate cost of the mandates would exceed the annual threshold established in UMRA for private-sector mandates ($156 million in 2017, adjusted annually for inflation).
 
This man Trump snitching on himself some more.

Famb told the NYT hat if Sessions knew he was gonna recuse himself from the Russia investigation, he should have never taken the AG job.

Mueller will not be fair to him

OJ acted less guilty that this clown
 
Damn McCain diagnosed with brain cancer :frown: :/,makes the senile jokes a lot less funny now...

Even with the stick he's generated recently,still hope the maverick manages to pull through
 
Damn that's rough at any age. Makes his occasional incoherent rambling make more sense now.
Hope he gets well enough to hop up out that hospital bed and go vote to take insurance away from others with brain cancer.
 
Sucks to hear about McCain's situation


That Trump interview...to the NYT nonetheless throws Sessions under the bus, threatens Muellers' squad, accuses Comey of Blackmail and is upset Rosenstein is from Baltimore...

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Damn. This breaks my heart. It's a glioblastoma:

The most common length of survival following diagnosis is 12 to 15 months with less than 3% to 5% of people surviving longer than five years.[2][3] Without treatment survival is typically 3 months.

But if he survived Vietnam maybe he can survive this.

Despite all the stuff we wish he had done differently, I'll always respect him because of this moment. How much I would give for trump to have 1% of the decency that McCain has:

 
Isn't this what took out Ted Kennedy as well?
Yes. He lived for 15 months after diagnosis.

It's disgusting not just that republicans want to reduce health insurance coverage in this country but also that trump wants to severely cut the NIH budget.

edit: Kennedy had a glioma, of which glioblastoma is a particular type. I couldn't find confirmation of which exact glioma Kennedy had.
 
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