***Official Political Discussion Thread***

[witnesskb24]

I’m just here to witness ComboBlaster or whatever his name is go off the deep end

 

[RustyShackleford]

It's a president we're voting for, not a comedian.

You're using the words brain power in a positive context for Trump and expect to be taken seriously? Trump is a funny guy, for the most part because it's just impossible to fathom someone can be that dumb.

Save your breath

Someone let me know that dude got banned from the Alpha Force thread in the Retro forum because he was ranting about a Billie Ellish collab. And about how she is left leaning and sending secret messaging to kids.

He is a peak level weirdo right wing culture warrior. He isn't here to have a serious convo.

 

[HIM]

1. By looking at all their forecasts you can check how they perform. When they say something has a 30% chance of happening over the course of their forecasts it tends to happen only 30% of the time.

They go into depth here

2. Modeling isn't just weighting polling averages, you also have to make decisions the relationship between the variables.

In 2016 the other election models treated all the polls as independent variables.

So the fact that Trump was down by a little bit in the 5 crucial swing states, the chance that all these polls would be wrong was treated as highly improbable.

Nate correctly had polling errors as being correlated. That 3 point polling error in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin is not that unlikely.Plus there were alot of undecided voters,

And so therefore his model gave Trump a strong chance of winning.

Trump won in the way that the model would expect. A correlated polling error accross multiple states and undecided voters breaking for Trump at the end.

He gave Trump a better chance and his model gave you Trumps roadmap to victory. So imo that is pure Nate W.

Good explanation, appreciate it.

 

[Mark Antony]

@osh kosh bosh



JOEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Didn't take long.

 

[spizike231]

Billie Eilish doe

 

[Chopsticks]

Someone call Bernie Sanders

It's not like the dems have any better options

 

[RustyShackleford]

Someone call Bernie Sanders

It's not like the dems have any better options

What was your previous SN?

 

[finessence]

Who is Kamala picking for VP?

Hillary Clinton?

You’ve got an AI generated woman as your avatar… sit this one out. You have bigger fantastical issues

 

[Dave East]

Your totally lost

You’re *

 

[harlemtothebronx]

Explain this to me in sneaker terms.

 

[niketock88]

Save your breath

Someone let me know that dude got banned from the Alpha Force thread in the Retro forum because he was ranting about a Billie Ellish collab. And about how she is left leaning and sending secret messaging to kids.

He is a peak level weirdo right wing culture warrior. He isn't here to have a serious convo.

I never got banned from any thread. I actually just posted in that thread. So because you get emotional about other peoples bipartisan point of views, you gotta make up lies? No wonder Trump wanted to recount.

 

[niketock88]

You’re *

YOUR candidate dropped out and YOUR mad

 

[niketock88]

YOUR candidate dropped out and YOUR mad

You’re*

 

[RustyShackleford]

I never got banned from any thread. I actually just posted in that thread. So because you get emotional about other peoples bipartisan point of views, you gotta make up lies? No wonder Trump wanted to recount.

Ok gotcha

You made weirdo pathetic rants about Billie Ellish

But you didn't get banned

My bad

 

[RustyShackleford]

YOUR candidate dropped out and YOUR mad

 

[Chopsticks]

Biden accepting defeat got all the dems riled up today

 

[niketock88]

Ok gotcha

You made weirdo pathetic rants about Billie Ellish

But you didn't get banned

My bad

The fact that she got her own sneaker because she’s ridiculously popular and has a huge fan base??What is so bad about saying that? Is that any different from Travis Scott? That’s what sneaker companies do. I’m confused as to what this has to do with this thread? Or about who I am?

 

[RustyShackleford]

Biden accepting defeat got all the dems riled up today

What was your previous screen name?

 

[niketock88]

I guess you didn’t get the joke

 

[reconic supreme]

 

[reconic supreme]

 

[mr jordan04]

Not gonna lie, as much as I hate Newsom he had a better chance for the Dems than Kamala

He’s an idiot. But I think you’re right. Californians know how much of an idiot he is, but the rest of the US doesn’t.

Regardless, he’s a lock for a 2028 presidential run.

 

[Chopsticks]

More fake media narratives

Do you think Trump is WORRIED about Kamala?

The level of coping right now is insane

 

[ballinsam23]

Explain this to me in sneaker terms.

Your OG Cement 4s fully crack and are no longer wearable (Biden)

Now you're scrambling for a replacement so you just put a bunch of crap together and create the Spizikes (Dems)

But the third year senior cool kid in school bagging all the thots in Hokas (Trump)

 

[niketock88]

More fake media narratives

Do you think Trump is WORRIED about Kamala?

The level of coping right now is insane

They’re even saying Republicans are going to have a hard time because they “prepared” for biden and now Harris is a curveball. LOL